比特幣（BTC）價格預測：如果價格恢復失敗，風險降至50,000- $ 60,000

比特幣在過去兩周中產生了令人印象深刻的價格業績，從約85,000美元轉變為高達97,700美元的交易。

Bitcoin has shown an impressive price performance over the past two weeks, recovering from the $85,000 zone to trade as high as $97,700. However, despite this recent bullish performance, the prospects of a long-term price uptrend in the BTC market remain uncertain.

在過去的兩周中，比特幣表現出令人印象深刻的價格性能，從85,000美元的區域恢復到高達97,700美元的交易。但是，儘管最近的看漲表現，但BTC市場的長期價格上漲的前景仍然不確定。

Currently, the premier cryptocurrency is trading at $96,000 as the market continues to consolidate after a 4% price rally in the first two days of May.

目前，主要的加密貨幣在5月的前兩天在4％的價格集會後繼續合併，因此市場的交易價格為96,000美元。

Bitcoin Risk Falls To $50,000-$60,000 If Price Reclaim Fails

如果價格恢復失敗，比特幣風險下降至50,000- $ 60,000

In an X post on Wednesday, a digital market expert with the X handle BALO has stated a necessary price condition for Bitcoin to retain its bullish market structure in the short term. Using the Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci extension/retracement levels, BALO highlights on the weekly BTC/USDT chart that Bitcoin has peaked at around $97,000, which aligns with the top of wave 5.

在周三的X帖子中，Balo的數字市場專家表示，比特幣在短期內保留其看漲市場結構的必要價格條件。 Balo使用Elliott Wave理論和斐波那契擴展水平/反回接頭水平，在每週BTC/USDT圖表上，比特幣的峰值達到了97,000美元左右，這與波第5波的頂部相吻合。

The Elliott Wave Theory operates on the premise that price movement occurs in a recognizable repeating pattern. Generally, it consists of two phases – impulse phase (wave 1-5), which represents the current market trend, followed by the pullback phase, i.e., corrective phase (wave ABC).

Elliott Wave理論在價格轉移以可識別的重複模式發生的前提下運作。通常，它由兩個階段組成 - 脈衝階段（波1-5），代表當前市場趨勢，其次是回調階段，即糾正階段（Wave ABC）。

After completing wave 5 of the impulse phase, prices usually slip into the pullback phase. Thus, BALO’s analysis indicates that Bitcoin is likely to experience a price correction after its most recent rally. However, this bearish prediction can be invalidated if Bitcoin reclaims its next price resistance at $102,000, confirming a long-term bullish intent.

在完成衝動階段的波第5波之後，價格通常會進入回調階段。因此，Balo的分析表明，比特幣在最近的集會後可能會進行價格糾正。但是，如果比特幣以102,000美元的價格收回其下一個價格阻力，則可以使這種看跌的預測無效，這證實了長期看漲的意圖。

If a price rejection occurs at $102,000, Wave A is expected to begin, pushing BTC prices to around $70,000. Afterward, there will be a slight relief bounce to around $102,000, marking Wave B before the last corrective wave (C) sets in, pulling Bitcoin prices as low as $50,000-$60,000. Interestingly, BALO predicts that Bitcoin will enter a bullish market again after this correction, potentially trading as high as $122,000.

如果價格拒絕的價格為102,000美元，則A Wave A將開始，將BTC價格提高到70,000美元左右。之後，將有輕微的緩解彈跳到102,000美元左右，標誌著B wave B（c）設置為B，將比特幣的價格低至50,000至60,000美元。有趣的是，巴羅預測，在此更正後，比特幣將再次進入看漲市場，可能會高達122,000美元。

BTC Price Prediction

BTC價格預測

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $96,106, reflecting a price decline of 1.31% over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has decreased by 38.19%, indicating a significant reduction in market interest despite recent gains. According to data from Coincodex, the general sentiment in the Bitcoin market is bullish, with investors showing a strong level of greed.

在撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易價格為96,106美元，反映了過去24小時的價格下跌1.31％。同時，該資產的日常交易量減少了38.19％，表明儘管最近收益，市場興趣大幅下降。根據Concodex的數據，比特幣市場的普遍情緒是看漲的，投資者表現出強烈的貪婪水平。

Amidst these market conditions, Coincodex analysts predict that Bitcoin will continue its uptrend in the short term, reaching a price of $119,528 in five days. However, they also anticipate a price correction followed by a larger breakout, as indicated by price targets of $111,747 in one month and $136,026 in three months.

在這些市場條件中，Coincodex分析師預測，比特幣將在短期內繼續上漲，在五天內達到119,528美元。但是，他們還預計價格糾正隨後會有更大的突破，這是一個月內111,747美元的價格目標，三個月內的136,026美元。