比特币（BTC）价格预测：如果价格恢复失败，风险降至50,000- $ 60,000

比特币在过去两周中产生了令人印象深刻的价格业绩，从约85,000美元转变为高达97,700美元的交易。

Bitcoin has shown an impressive price performance over the past two weeks, recovering from the $85,000 zone to trade as high as $97,700. However, despite this recent bullish performance, the prospects of a long-term price uptrend in the BTC market remain uncertain.

在过去的两周中，比特币表现出令人印象深刻的价格性能，从85,000美元的区域恢复到高达97,700美元的交易。但是，尽管最近的看涨表现，但BTC市场的长期价格上涨的前景仍然不确定。

Currently, the premier cryptocurrency is trading at $96,000 as the market continues to consolidate after a 4% price rally in the first two days of May.

目前，主要的加密货币在5月的前两天在4％的价格集会后继续合并，因此市场的交易价格为96,000美元。

Bitcoin Risk Falls To $50,000-$60,000 If Price Reclaim Fails

如果价格恢复失败，比特币风险下降至50,000- $ 60,000

In an X post on Wednesday, a digital market expert with the X handle BALO has stated a necessary price condition for Bitcoin to retain its bullish market structure in the short term. Using the Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci extension/retracement levels, BALO highlights on the weekly BTC/USDT chart that Bitcoin has peaked at around $97,000, which aligns with the top of wave 5.

在周三的X帖子中，Balo的数字市场专家表示，比特币在短期内保留其看涨市场结构的必要价格条件。 Balo使用Elliott Wave理论和斐波那契扩展水平/反回接头水平，在每周BTC/USDT图表上，比特币的峰值达到了97,000美元左右，这与波第5波的顶部相吻合。

The Elliott Wave Theory operates on the premise that price movement occurs in a recognizable repeating pattern. Generally, it consists of two phases – impulse phase (wave 1-5), which represents the current market trend, followed by the pullback phase, i.e., corrective phase (wave ABC).

Elliott Wave理论在价格转移以可识别的重复模式发生的前提下运作。通常，它由两个阶段组成 - 脉冲阶段（波1-5），代表当前市场趋势，其次是回调阶段，即纠正阶段（Wave ABC）。

After completing wave 5 of the impulse phase, prices usually slip into the pullback phase. Thus, BALO’s analysis indicates that Bitcoin is likely to experience a price correction after its most recent rally. However, this bearish prediction can be invalidated if Bitcoin reclaims its next price resistance at $102,000, confirming a long-term bullish intent.

在完成冲动阶段的波第5波之后，价格通常会进入回调阶段。因此，Balo的分析表明，比特币在最近的集会后可能会进行价格纠正。但是，如果比特币以102,000美元的价格收回其下一个价格阻力，则可以使这种看跌的预测无效，这证实了长期看涨的意图。

If a price rejection occurs at $102,000, Wave A is expected to begin, pushing BTC prices to around $70,000. Afterward, there will be a slight relief bounce to around $102,000, marking Wave B before the last corrective wave (C) sets in, pulling Bitcoin prices as low as $50,000-$60,000. Interestingly, BALO predicts that Bitcoin will enter a bullish market again after this correction, potentially trading as high as $122,000.

如果价格拒绝的价格为102,000美元，则A Wave A将开始，将BTC价格提高到70,000美元左右。之后，将有轻微的缓解弹跳到102,000美元左右，标志着B wave B（c）设置为B，将比特币的价格低至50,000至60,000美元。有趣的是，巴罗预测，在此更正后，比特币将再次进入看涨市场，可能会高达122,000美元。

BTC Price Prediction

BTC价格预测

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $96,106, reflecting a price decline of 1.31% over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has decreased by 38.19%, indicating a significant reduction in market interest despite recent gains. According to data from Coincodex, the general sentiment in the Bitcoin market is bullish, with investors showing a strong level of greed.

在撰写本文时，比特币的交易价格为96,106美元，反映了过去24小时的价格下跌1.31％。同时，该资产的日常交易量减少了38.19％，表明尽管最近收益，市场兴趣大幅下降。根据Concodex的数据，比特币市场的普遍情绪是看涨的，投资者表现出强烈的贪婪水平。

Amidst these market conditions, Coincodex analysts predict that Bitcoin will continue its uptrend in the short term, reaching a price of $119,528 in five days. However, they also anticipate a price correction followed by a larger breakout, as indicated by price targets of $111,747 in one month and $136,026 in three months.

在这些市场条件中，Coincodex分析师预测，比特币将在短期内继续上涨，在五天内达到119,528美元。但是，他们还预计价格纠正随后会有更大的突破，这是一个月内111,747美元的价格目标，三个月内的136,026美元。