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比特幣公牛試圖從不到97,000美元的價格上漲,試圖確認其在多天整合範圍之上的最新突破。在一周多的時間內停滯了近95,000美元後,比特幣爆發至97,000美元,然後倒轉並形成公允價值差距。
Bitcoin bulls are trying to push higher from just under $97,000, attempting to confirm its latest breakout above a multi-day consolidation range.
比特幣公牛試圖從不到97,000美元的價格上漲,試圖確認其在多天整合範圍之上的最新突破。
After stalling near $95,000 for over a week, Bitcoin broke out to $97,000 before reversing and forming a fair value gap (FVG). This has led to a surge in activity on the Bitcoin blockchain, and the next outlook is whether the current structure holds for a continuation to $100,000 or if this momentum could falter at a zone of resistance.
在一周多的時間裡停滯了近95,000美元之後,比特幣爆發至97,000美元,然後倒轉並形成公允價值差距(FVG)。這導致比特幣區塊鏈活動的活動激增,下一個前景是當前的結構是否可以延續至100,000美元,或者這種勢頭是否可以在阻力區域中搖擺。
Bitcoin Reaches 6-Month Peak In Network Activity
比特幣在網絡活動中達到6個月的高峰
One of the most notable shifts in market dynamics came from the on-chain side. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin just recorded its highest number of active addresses in the past six months.
市場動態中最引人注目的轉變之一來自鏈側。根據加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)的說法,比特幣在過去六個月中剛剛記錄了其主動地址數量最高。
As shared in a post on social media platform X, Martinez noted that 925,914 BTC addresses were active within a single day, which is an unusually high level of engagement on the Bitcoin blockchain. The accompanying Glassnode chart reveals how steep this surge has been, building on a gradual climb that started in the last week of April. Interestingly, the spike in Bitcoin activity coincides with its recent reclaim of the $95,000 price range.
正如在社交媒體平台X上的一篇文章中分享的那樣,馬丁內斯指出,925,914個BTC地址在一天之內就活躍了,這是比特幣區塊鏈上異常高的參與度。隨附的玻璃節圖表揭示了這一激增的陡峭,這是在4月最後一周開始的逐漸攀登的基礎上。有趣的是,比特幣活動的飆升與最近的95,000美元價格範圍的回收相吻合。
Image From X: @ali_charts
x的圖像:@ali_charts
Adding to the bullish case, crypto analyst TehThomas shared a compelling technical analysis that pointed to a breakout continuation toward $100,000. Interpretation of the BTCUSDT 4-hour timeframe shows an almost identical structure to the one seen in mid-April.
加密分析師Tehthomas除Bullish案外,還分享了一項令人信服的技術分析,該分析表明,突破延續了100,000美元。 BTCUSDT 4小時的時間框架的解釋顯示出與4月中旬看到的結構幾乎相同的結構。
Back then, Bitcoin consolidated near $86,000, broke out, left behind a fair value gap (FVG), retested the gap, and rallied nearly $10,000. A mirror image of this pattern is currently unfolding. The Bitcoin price compressed below $95,000, broke through resistance, and created a fresh FVG between $94,200 and $95,000.
當時,比特幣合併了約86,000美元,爆發了,留下了公允價值差距(FVG),重新測試了差距,並集結了近10,000美元。目前正在展開此模式的鏡像。比特幣價格壓縮到95,000美元以下,打破了電阻,並創造了94,200美元至95,000美元的新鮮FVG。
TehThomas noted that the key is not to chase the breakout but to wait for a clean retest of the new FVG. If buyers defend that area as they did earlier this month, the road to $100,000 is structurally intact. However, even though the structure currently favors the bulls, the situation could turn bearish if Bitcoin drops back into the old range below $94,000.
Tehthomas指出,鑰匙不是要追逐突破,而是要等待新的FVG的清潔重新測試。如果買家像本月早些時候為該地區辯護,那麼達到100,000美元的道路在結構上是完整的。但是,即使目前的結構有利於公牛,如果比特幣降至94,000美元以下的舊產品範圍,情況可能會變成看跌。
Bearish Golden Pocket Setup Highlights Risk Ahead
看跌金袋設置突出了未來的風險
Not all analysts are convinced that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 again without a shakeout first. A counterview on the TradingView platform highlights a possible short-term bearish setup based on the BTCUSDT 15-minute chart.
並非所有分析師都堅信比特幣將在沒有搖晃的情況下再次達到100,000美元。 TradingView平台上的反查看圖強調了基於BTCUSDT 15分鐘圖表的可能短期看跌設置。
According to the analyst, the current upward retracement appears corrective rather than impulsive, forming a classic short setup within a strong fair value gap resistance zone. Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin has retraced into a region that aligns with a bearish fair value gap and the golden pocket zone defined by the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci levels.
根據分析師的說法,當前的向上回試似乎是糾正的,而不是衝動,在強大的公允價值間隙阻力區域內形成了經典的簡短設置。技術分析表明,比特幣已回落到與看跌公允價值差距和由0.618至0.65斐波那契水平定義的金色袖珍區域相一致的區域。
As it stands, the fair value gap is sitting between $97,000 and $97,450. Should price fail to break through this supply region, it could reverse and catch bulls off guard.
就目前而言,公允價值差距在97,000美元至97,450美元之間。如果價格未能突破這個供應區,它可能會扭轉並措手不及。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $96,040.
在寫作時,比特幣的交易價格為96,040美元。
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