加密专家说

著名的加密分析师Planb指出了一种历史上重要的技术模式：比特币的200周移动平均线（200WMA）与其200周的几何均值相差

Renowned crypto analyst PlanB has highlighted a historically significant technical pattern in Bitcoin's 200-week moving average (200WMA). According to his analysis, the 200WMA is diverging upward from its 200-week geometric mean, which could be a signal of the potential continuation of the bull market.

著名的加密分析师Planb强调了比特币的200周移动平均线（200WMA）的历史重要技术模式。根据他的分析，200WMA与其200周的几何平均值有所不同，这可能是牛市潜在延续的信号。

This divergence, which PlanB has visualized in a chart shared on X (formerly Twitter), has previously marked the beginning of strong upward trends in 2013, 2017, and 2020/2021.

Planb在X（以前为Twitter）上共享的图表中可视化的这种差异以前标志着2013年，2017年和2020/2021的强劲上升趋势的开始。

"BTC 200WMA (black line) is diverging from the 200W geometric mean (grey line) indicating the bull market is building," PlanB stated.

Planb说：“ BTC 200WMA（黑线）与200W几何平均值（灰线）不同，表明牛市正在建立。”

To put this into perspective, the multi-colored dots in PlanB's chart reflect months until the next halving, showcasing Bitcoin's price action in relation to the halving cycle.

为了透视这一点，Planb图表中的多色点反映了几个月，直到下一个减半，展示了比特币与减半周期相关的价格行动。

As the current trend mirrors past pre-rally behavior, investors may see this as a confirmation of early-stage momentum in the new cycle. However, it's important to note that this divergence could also herald a bear market rally, which would see Bitcoin experience a strong rebound before ultimately succumbing to bearish pressure.

随着当前趋势反映了过去的前进行为，投资者可能会认为这是对新周期中早期势头的确认。但是，重要的是要注意，这种差异也可以预示熊市集会，这将使比特币经历强大的反弹，然后最终屈服于看跌压力。

This divergence is a measure of the 200WMA's slope against the geometric mean, which remains relatively constant over time. A steeper slope on the 200WMA indicates a more significant increase in price over the past 200 weeks, suggesting a build-up of bullish sentiment.

这种差异是对200WMA对几何平均值的斜率的度量，随着时间的流逝，该均值保持相对恒定。 200WMA上的陡峭山坡表明，过去200周​​的价格上涨了更大的上涨，这表明看涨的情感。

Conversely, a shallower slope suggests weaker bullish sentiment or the potential for a bear market rally, where the price rises quickly but does not sustain the upward movement.

相反，较浅的坡度表明，看涨的情绪或熊市集会的潜力较弱，而价格迅速上涨，但不能维持上升的运动。

The variance between the 200WMA and geometric mean can be observed in periods of strong upward or downward trends. When the 200WMA diverges significantly from the geometric mean, it typically signals a reversal of the overarching trend.

在强大的向上或向下趋势的时期中，可以观察到200WMA和几何平均值之间的差异。当200WMA与几何平均值显着不同时，它通常表示总体趋势的逆转。

In the case of divergence, the 200WMA is outpacing the geometric mean, which is a precursor to parabolic price rallies. However, in the instance of convergence, the 200WMA lags behind the geometric mean, which is observed during periods of bear market rallies or when the trend is set to change.

在分歧的情况下，200WMA超过了几何平均值，这是抛物线价格集会的先驱。但是，在收敛的情况下，200WMA落后于几何平均值，这在熊市集会期间或趋势发生变化时观察到。

This technical divergence is a valuable indicator that can provide insights into the prevailing market sentiment and potential shifts in the prevailing trends. As investors follow this pattern and its implications for Bitcoin's price action, they can gain a deeper understanding of the crypto market's dynamic shifts and its response to the halving cycle.

这种技术差异是一个有价值的指标，可以为当前趋势的现行市场情绪和潜在变化提供见解。随着投资者遵循这种模式及其对比特币价格行动的影响，他们可以更深入地了解加密货币市场的动态转变及其对减半周期的反应。

As the crypto market continues to evolve, examining these technical patterns and their historical context can offer valuable clues about the market's direction and the potential for sustained bullish or bearish pressure.

随着加密货币市场的不断发展，研究这些技术模式及其历史背景可以为市场的方向以及持续看涨或看跌压力的潜力提供宝贵的线索。

The post Bitcoin’s 200WMA Divergence Signals Bull Market Momentum, Says Crypto Expert appeared first on CCNR.

Crypto Expert说，Bitcoin后的200WMA Divergence表示牛市的动力。

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