加密專家說

著名的加密分析師Planb指出了一種歷史上重要的技術模式：比特幣的200週移動平均線（200WMA）與其200週的幾何均值相差

Renowned crypto analyst PlanB has highlighted a historically significant technical pattern in Bitcoin's 200-week moving average (200WMA). According to his analysis, the 200WMA is diverging upward from its 200-week geometric mean, which could be a signal of the potential continuation of the bull market.

著名的加密分析師Planb強調了比特幣的200週移動平均線（200WMA）的歷史重要技術模式。根據他的分析，200WMA與其200週的幾何平均值有所不同，這可能是牛市潛在延續的信號。

This divergence, which PlanB has visualized in a chart shared on X (formerly Twitter), has previously marked the beginning of strong upward trends in 2013, 2017, and 2020/2021.

Planb在X（以前為Twitter）上共享的圖表中可視化的這種差異以前標誌著2013年，2017年和2020/2021的強勁上升趨勢的開始。

"BTC 200WMA (black line) is diverging from the 200W geometric mean (grey line) indicating the bull market is building," PlanB stated.

Planb說：“ BTC 200WMA（黑線）與200W幾何平均值（灰線）不同，表明牛市正在建立。”

To put this into perspective, the multi-colored dots in PlanB's chart reflect months until the next halving, showcasing Bitcoin's price action in relation to the halving cycle.

為了透視這一點，Planb圖表中的多色點反映了幾個月，直到下一個減半，展示了比特幣與減半週期相關的價格行動。

As the current trend mirrors past pre-rally behavior, investors may see this as a confirmation of early-stage momentum in the new cycle. However, it's important to note that this divergence could also herald a bear market rally, which would see Bitcoin experience a strong rebound before ultimately succumbing to bearish pressure.

隨著當前趨勢反映了過去的前進行為，投資者可能會認為這是對新周期中早期勢頭的確認。但是，重要的是要注意，這種差異也可以預示熊市集會，這將使比特幣經歷強大的反彈，然後最終屈服於看跌壓力。

This divergence is a measure of the 200WMA's slope against the geometric mean, which remains relatively constant over time. A steeper slope on the 200WMA indicates a more significant increase in price over the past 200 weeks, suggesting a build-up of bullish sentiment.

這種差異是對200WMA對幾何平均值的斜率的度量，隨著時間的流逝，該均值保持相對恆定。 200WMA上的陡峭山坡表明，過去200週​​的價格上漲了更大的上漲，這表明看漲的情感。

Conversely, a shallower slope suggests weaker bullish sentiment or the potential for a bear market rally, where the price rises quickly but does not sustain the upward movement.

相反，較淺的坡度表明，看漲的情緒或熊市集會的潛力較弱，而價格迅速上漲，但不能維持上升的運動。

The variance between the 200WMA and geometric mean can be observed in periods of strong upward or downward trends. When the 200WMA diverges significantly from the geometric mean, it typically signals a reversal of the overarching trend.

在強大的向上或向下趨勢的時期中，可以觀察到200WMA和幾何平均值之間的差異。當200WMA與幾何平均值顯著不同時，它通常表示總體趨勢的逆轉。

In the case of divergence, the 200WMA is outpacing the geometric mean, which is a precursor to parabolic price rallies. However, in the instance of convergence, the 200WMA lags behind the geometric mean, which is observed during periods of bear market rallies or when the trend is set to change.

在分歧的情況下，200WMA超過了幾何平均值，這是拋物線價格集會的先驅。但是，在收斂的情況下，200WMA落後於幾何平均值，這在熊市集會期間或趨勢發生變化時觀察到。

This technical divergence is a valuable indicator that can provide insights into the prevailing market sentiment and potential shifts in the prevailing trends. As investors follow this pattern and its implications for Bitcoin's price action, they can gain a deeper understanding of the crypto market's dynamic shifts and its response to the halving cycle.

這種技術差異是一個有價值的指標，可以為當前趨勢的現行市場情緒和潛在變化提供見解。隨著投資者遵循這種模式及其對比特幣價格行動的影響，他們可以更深入地了解加密貨幣市場的動態轉變及其對減半週期的反應。

As the crypto market continues to evolve, examining these technical patterns and their historical context can offer valuable clues about the market's direction and the potential for sustained bullish or bearish pressure.

隨著加密貨幣市場的不斷發展，研究這些技術模式及其歷史背景可以為市場的方向以及持續看漲或看跌壓力的潛力提供寶貴的線索。

The post Bitcoin’s 200WMA Divergence Signals Bull Market Momentum, Says Crypto Expert appeared first on CCNR.

Crypto Expert說，Bitcoin後的200WMA Divergence表示牛市的動力。

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