未來前鋒麥克萊恩表示，內部民意調查沒有公開民意調查顯示的“樂觀”

支持卡馬拉·哈里斯總統競選的主要外部支出團體的創始人表示，他們自己的民意調查並不像公眾民意調查所顯示的那樣“樂觀”

CHICAGO (Reuters) - The founder of the main outside spending group backing Kamala Harris’ presidential bid said on Monday their own opinion polling is less “rosy” than public polls suggest and warned that Democrats face much closer races in key states.

芝加哥（路透社） - 支持卡馬拉·哈里斯總統競選的主要外部支出團體的創始人周一表示，他們自己的民意調查並不像公眾民意調查所顯示的那樣“樂觀”，並警告說民主黨在關鍵州面臨更加激烈的競爭。

Harris enters the Democratic National Convention with a wave of public polls showing her already reshaping a race that strongly favored Republican Donald Trump in the final weeks of President Joe Biden’s candidacy.

當哈里斯進入民主黨全國代表大會時，一波民調顯示，她已經重塑了一場在喬·拜登總統候選資格的最後幾週強烈支持共和黨人唐納德·川普的競選。

Harris leads in a compilation of national polls by FiveThirtyEight 46.6% to 43.8% for Trump, and has pulled ahead in several public battleground state polls.

哈里斯在 FiveThirtyEight 的全國民意調查中以 46.6% 比 43.8% 領先川普，並在幾個公共戰場州民意調查中領先。

But Chauncey McLean, president of Future Forward, a super political action committee, or super PAC, that has raised hundreds of millions of dollars to back Harris in the Nov. 5 election, said their own polls show a tighter race.

但超級政治行動委員會「未來前進」(Future Forward) 主席昌西·麥克萊恩(Chauncey McLean) 已籌集數億美元支持哈里斯參加11 月5 日的選舉，他表示，他們自己的民意調查顯示，競爭更加激烈。

“Our numbers are much less rosy than what you’re seeing in the public,” said McLean, who rarely talks publicly.

「我們的數字遠沒有你在公眾中看到的那麼樂觀，」很少公開演講的麥克萊恩說。

Future Forward has created a massive polling operation that created and tested some 500 digital and television ads for Biden and some 200 for Harris. They have talked to some 375,000 Americans in the weeks after Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee on July 22.

Future Forward 進行了大規模民意調查，為拜登製作並測試了約 500 個數位廣告和電視廣告，為哈里斯製作了約 200 個廣告。哈里斯於 7 月 22 日成為民主黨推定候選人後的幾週內，他們與約 375,000 名美國人進行了交談。

McLean said the group has at least $250 million left to spend, planning a wave of advertising from digital to television between Labor Day on Sept. 2 and Election Day.

麥克萊恩表示，該組織至少還有 2.5 億美元可支出，計劃在 9 月 2 日勞動節和選舉日之間從數位到電視進行一波廣告浪潮。

Super PACs can raise unlimited sums of money from corporations, unions, associations and individuals, then spend unlimited amounts to overtly advocate for or against political candidates.

超級政治行動委員會可以從公司、工會、協會和個人籌集無限金額的資金，然後花費無限的資金公開支持或反對政治候選人。

McLean said the majority of Harris’ momentum in the immediate aftermath of Biden dropping out was from young voters of color, and that has opened up Sunbelt states such as Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, states which Democrats had largely written off in the final days of the Biden campaign.

麥克萊恩表示，拜登退出後，哈里斯的大部分動力來自年輕的有色人種選民，這打開了內華達州、亞利桑那州、喬治亞州和北卡羅來納州等陽光地帶州的大門，這些州在民主黨在選舉中基本上被取消了。

“She has multiple paths,” with seven states in play, a complete turnaround from when Biden was on the ticket, he said. The other states include Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.

他說，“她有多種道路”，涉及七個州，這與拜登競選時相比完全不同。其他州包括賓州、威斯康辛州和密西根州。

McLean said Pennsylvania remains the most consequential state in the group’s analysis and he called the race a “coin flip” based on its polls. He says Harris must win one of three states – Pennsylvania, North Carolina or Georgia – to win the White House.

麥克萊恩表示，賓州仍然是該組織分析中最重要的州，他根據民調稱這次競選為「拋硬幣」。他說哈里斯必須贏得三個州之一——賓夕法尼亞州、北卡羅來納州或喬治亞州——才能入主白宮。

He warned that Harris has yet to fully rebuild the Biden coalition of Blacks, Hispanics and young voters that brought him the White House in 2020.

他警告說，哈里斯尚未完全重建由黑人、西班牙裔和年輕選民組成的拜登聯盟，而正是這個聯盟讓他在 2020 年入主白宮。

McLean said polling shows the public wants more detailed policy positions from Harris.

麥克萊恩表示，民調顯示民眾希望哈里斯提供更詳細的政策立場。

He says they don’t want “white papers,” but they also don’t want platitudes. He says they need more concrete examples of how she may differ from Biden and make their lives easier economically.

他說他們不想要“白皮書”，但他們也不想要陳腔濫調。他說，他們需要更多具體的例子來說明她與拜登有何不同，並讓他們的經濟生活更輕鬆。

The race is as tight as ever, McLean said.

麥克萊恩說，比賽一如既往地激烈。

“We have it tight as a tick, and pretty much across the board,” he said.

「我們的管理非常嚴格，而且幾乎是全面的，」他說。

(Reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Heather Timmons and Jonathan Oatis)

（Jarrett Renshaw 和 Trevor Hunnicutt 報告；Heather Timmons 和 Jonathan Oatis 編輯）