未来前锋麦克莱恩表示，内部民意调查没有公开民意调查显示的“乐观”

支持卡马拉·哈里斯总统竞选的主要外部支出团体的创始人表示，他们自己的民意调查并不像公众民意调查所显示的那样“乐观”

CHICAGO (Reuters) - The founder of the main outside spending group backing Kamala Harris’ presidential bid said on Monday their own opinion polling is less “rosy” than public polls suggest and warned that Democrats face much closer races in key states.

芝加哥（路透社） - 支持卡马拉·哈里斯总统竞选的主要外部支出团体的创始人周一表示，他们自己的民意调查并不像公众民意调查所显示的那样“乐观”，并警告说民主党在关键州面临着更加激烈的竞争。

Harris enters the Democratic National Convention with a wave of public polls showing her already reshaping a race that strongly favored Republican Donald Trump in the final weeks of President Joe Biden’s candidacy.

哈里斯进入民主党全国代表大会时，一波民意调查显示，她已经重塑了一场在乔·拜登总统候选资格的最后几周强烈支持共和党人唐纳德·特朗普的竞选。

Harris leads in a compilation of national polls by FiveThirtyEight 46.6% to 43.8% for Trump, and has pulled ahead in several public battleground state polls.

哈里斯在 FiveThirtyEight 的全国民意调查中以 46.6% 比 43.8% 领先特朗普，并在几个公共战场州民意调查中领先。

But Chauncey McLean, president of Future Forward, a super political action committee, or super PAC, that has raised hundreds of millions of dollars to back Harris in the Nov. 5 election, said their own polls show a tighter race.

但超级政治行动委员会“未来前进”(Future Forward) 主席昌西·麦克莱恩 (Chauncey McLean) 已筹集数亿美元支持哈里斯参加 11 月 5 日的选举，他表示，他们自己的民意调查显示，竞争更加激烈。

“Our numbers are much less rosy than what you’re seeing in the public,” said McLean, who rarely talks publicly.

“我们的数字远没有你在公众中看到的那么乐观，”很少公开讲话的麦克莱恩说。

Future Forward has created a massive polling operation that created and tested some 500 digital and television ads for Biden and some 200 for Harris. They have talked to some 375,000 Americans in the weeks after Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee on July 22.

Future Forward 开展了大规模民意调查，为拜登制作并测试了约 500 个数字广告和电视广告，为哈里斯制作了约 200 个广告。哈里斯于 7 月 22 日成为民主党推定候选人后的几周内，他们与约 375,000 名美国人进行了交谈。

McLean said the group has at least $250 million left to spend, planning a wave of advertising from digital to television between Labor Day on Sept. 2 and Election Day.

麦克莱恩表示，该组织至少还有 2.5 亿美元可支出，计划在 9 月 2 日劳动节和选举日之间从数字到电视进行一波广告浪潮。

Super PACs can raise unlimited sums of money from corporations, unions, associations and individuals, then spend unlimited amounts to overtly advocate for or against political candidates.

超级政治行动委员会可以从公司、工会、协会和个人那里筹集无限金额的资金，然后花费无限的资金公开支持或反对政治候选人。

McLean said the majority of Harris’ momentum in the immediate aftermath of Biden dropping out was from young voters of color, and that has opened up Sunbelt states such as Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, states which Democrats had largely written off in the final days of the Biden campaign.

麦克莱恩表示，拜登退出后，哈里斯的大部分动力来自年轻的有色人种选民，这打开了内华达州、亚利桑那州、佐治亚州和北卡罗来纳州等阳光地带州的大门，这些州在民主党在选举中基本上被取消了。拜登竞选活动的最后几天。

“She has multiple paths,” with seven states in play, a complete turnaround from when Biden was on the ticket, he said. The other states include Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.

他说，“她有多种道路”，涉及七个州，这与拜登竞选时相比完全不同。其他州包括宾夕法尼亚州、威斯康星州和密歇根州。

McLean said Pennsylvania remains the most consequential state in the group’s analysis and he called the race a “coin flip” based on its polls. He says Harris must win one of three states – Pennsylvania, North Carolina or Georgia – to win the White House.

麦克莱恩表示，宾夕法尼亚州仍然是该组织分析中最重要的州，他根据民调称这次竞选为“抛硬币”。他说哈里斯必须赢得三个州之一——宾夕法尼亚州、北卡罗来纳州或佐治亚州——才能入主白宫。

He warned that Harris has yet to fully rebuild the Biden coalition of Blacks, Hispanics and young voters that brought him the White House in 2020.

他警告说，哈里斯尚未完全重建由黑人、西班牙裔和年轻选民组成的拜登联盟，正是这个联盟让他在 2020 年入主白宫。

McLean said polling shows the public wants more detailed policy positions from Harris.

麦克莱恩表示，民意调查显示公众希望哈里斯提供更详细的政策立场。

He says they don’t want “white papers,” but they also don’t want platitudes. He says they need more concrete examples of how she may differ from Biden and make their lives easier economically.

他说他们不想要“白皮书”，但他们也不想要陈词滥调。他说，他们需要更多具体的例子来说明她与拜登有何不同，并让他们的经济生活更轻松。

The race is as tight as ever, McLean said.

麦克莱恩说，比赛一如既往地激烈。

“We have it tight as a tick, and pretty much across the board,” he said.

“我们的管理非常严格，而且几乎是全面的，”他说。

(Reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Heather Timmons and Jonathan Oatis)

（Jarrett Renshaw 和 Trevor Hunnicutt 报道；Heather Timmons 和 Jonathan Oatis 编辑）