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隨著ETH的繼續攀升,觀察兩個關鍵的阻力最重要。第一個是200天的指數移動平均線(EMA)。
Our baseline scenario was that ETH would hit the $3,000 a few months after consolidating and then a few months after breaking above that consolidation rectangle shown in the chart.
我們的基準情況是,ETH在合併後的幾個月後,將達到3,000美元,然後在圖表中顯示的合併矩形超過該固結矩形之後的幾個月。
However, this consolidation period lasted much less than expected and the token has moved rapidly toward the $3,000
但是,這個合併期的持續時間遠遠低於預期,而令牌已經迅速邁向了3,000美元
after breaking out of the rectangle and pivoting up. Also, the token has been moving up much faster than expected. In fact, ETH moved from oversold to overbought in just a month.
突破矩形並樞轉後。而且,令牌的移動速度比預期的要快得多。實際上,ETH在短短一個月內從超賣到超額購買。
The fact that ETH hit overbought so quickly is not an indication that the uptrend has exhausted its strength. In fact, it is just an early signal of how strong this reversal has been
ETH如此迅速地命中的事實並不能表明上升趨勢已經耗盡了它的實力。實際上,這只是這種逆轉多麼強的早期信號
Considering these early signals and the strength with which ETH is rising. We could now revisit that $3,000 forecast.
考慮到這些早期信號以及ETH的力量上升的力量。現在,我們可以重新訪問3,000美元的預測。
Can ETH Make a New ATH?Two key resistances are the most relevant to watch as ETH continues to climb. The first is the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). ETH just tagged that indicator today and it has retreated from it already.
ETH可以做出新的ATH嗎?隨著ETH繼續攀登,觀看的兩個關鍵阻力是最相關的。第一個是200天的指數移動平均線(EMA)。 ETH只是在今天標記了該指標,並且已經從中撤退了。
This indicator, which is currently trading at $2,450, has been acting as a dynamic resistance since March 2023. Moreover, selling pressure above this level will likely be high. Hence, buyers need to show enough commitment to the rally to push through that important threshold.
該指標目前的交易價格為2,450美元,自2023年3月以來一直充當動態阻力。此外,銷售壓力高於此水平可能會很高。因此,買家需要表現出足夠的承諾,以推動這一重要的門檻。
Another resistance to pay attention to is the 2021 all-time high (ATH) at $2,870. After having tested this resistance zone on several occasions in August and September, the price ultimately broke through it in early October.
要注意的另一種阻力是2021年曆史最高(ATH),價格為2,870美元。在八月和9月的幾次測試了該抵抗區後,價格最終在10月初打破了。
This move was largely driven by a massive wave of liquidity that had been building at this level for several months. Once this liquidity was used up, the price pulled back slightly, retesting the lower boundary of this wave at around $2,600.
這一舉動在很大程度上是由在此級別上建立了幾個月的大量流動性驅動的。一旦用完了此流動性,價格就會稍微退縮,將此波的下邊界重新測試約為2,600美元。
However, this pullback was short-lived as sellers emerged above $2,870, aiming to defend the 2021 ATH. As a result, the price bounced back up, suggesting that buyers are still in control and prepared to defend this crucial price point.
但是,隨著賣家的出現超過2,870美元,旨在捍衛2021 ATH,這種回調是短暫的。結果,價格反彈,表明買家仍處於控制之中,並準備捍衛這個關鍵的價格點。
From this perspective, the 2021 ATH serves as a strong support level, which could pose difficulties for sellers in continuing to exert downward pressure on the token.
從這個角度來看,2021 ATH是一個強大的支持水平,這可能會使賣方繼續向代幣施加向下壓力,這可能會造成困難。
To sum up, as ETH continues to rise, two key resistances will be crucial to watch. The 200-day EMA, currently at $2,450, is a dynamic resistance with high selling pressure. On the other hand, the 2021 ATH at $2,870 is a strong support level that sellers may find difficult to overcome. The strength of this move could propel ETH to new highs.
總而言之,隨著ETH繼續上升,兩個關鍵的阻力將至關重要。 200天EMA目前為2,450美元,是一種動態阻力,銷售壓力很高。另一方面,2021 ATH的價格為2,870美元,是賣方可能難以克服的強大支持水平。這一舉動的力量可以推動ETH提升到新的高點。
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