ETH可以做一个新的ATH吗？

随着ETH的继续攀升，观察两个关键的阻力最重要。第一个是200天的指数移动平均线（EMA）。

Our baseline scenario was that ETH would hit the $3,000 a few months after consolidating and then a few months after breaking above that consolidation rectangle shown in the chart.

我们的基准情况是，ETH在合并后的几个月后，将达到3,000美元，然后在图表中显示的合并矩形超过该固结矩形之后的几个月。

However, this consolidation period lasted much less than expected and the token has moved rapidly toward the $3,000

但是，这个合并期的持续时间远远低于预期，而令牌已经迅速迈向了3,000美元

after breaking out of the rectangle and pivoting up. Also, the token has been moving up much faster than expected. In fact, ETH moved from oversold to overbought in just a month.

突破矩形并枢转后。而且，令牌的移动速度比预期的要快得多。实际上，ETH在短短一个月内从超卖到超额购买。

The fact that ETH hit overbought so quickly is not an indication that the uptrend has exhausted its strength. In fact, it is just an early signal of how strong this reversal has been

ETH如此迅速地命中的事实并不能表明上升趋势已经耗尽了它的实力。实际上，这只是这种逆转多么强的早期信号

Considering these early signals and the strength with which ETH is rising. We could now revisit that $3,000 forecast.

考虑到这些早期信号以及ETH的力量上升的力量。现在，我们可以重新访问3,000美元的预测。

Can ETH Make a New ATH?Two key resistances are the most relevant to watch as ETH continues to climb. The first is the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). ETH just tagged that indicator today and it has retreated from it already.

ETH可以做出新的ATH吗？随着ETH继续攀登，观看的两个关键阻力是最相关的。第一个是200天的指数移动平均线（EMA）。 ETH只是在今天标记了该指标，并且已经从中撤退了。

This indicator, which is currently trading at $2,450, has been acting as a dynamic resistance since March 2023. Moreover, selling pressure above this level will likely be high. Hence, buyers need to show enough commitment to the rally to push through that important threshold.

该指标目前的交易价格为2,450美元，自2023年3月以来一直充当动态阻力。此外，销售压力高于此水平可能会很高。因此，买家需要表现出足够的承诺，以推动这一重要的门槛。

Another resistance to pay attention to is the 2021 all-time high (ATH) at $2,870. After having tested this resistance zone on several occasions in August and September, the price ultimately broke through it in early October.

要注意的另一种阻力是2021年历史最高（ATH），价格为2,870美元。在八月和9月的几次测试了该抵抗区后，价格最终在10月初打破了。

This move was largely driven by a massive wave of liquidity that had been building at this level for several months. Once this liquidity was used up, the price pulled back slightly, retesting the lower boundary of this wave at around $2,600.

这一举动在很大程度上是由在此级别上建立了几个月的大量流动性驱动的。一旦用完了此流动性，价格就会稍微退缩，将此波的下边界重新测试约为2,600美元。

However, this pullback was short-lived as sellers emerged above $2,870, aiming to defend the 2021 ATH. As a result, the price bounced back up, suggesting that buyers are still in control and prepared to defend this crucial price point.

但是，随着卖家的出现超过2,870美元，旨在捍卫2021 ATH，这种回调是短暂的。结果，价格反弹，表明买家仍处于控制之中，并准备捍卫这个关键的价格点。

From this perspective, the 2021 ATH serves as a strong support level, which could pose difficulties for sellers in continuing to exert downward pressure on the token.

从这个角度来看，2021 ATH是一个强大的支持水平，这可能会使卖方继续向代币施加向下压力，这可能会造成困难。

To sum up, as ETH continues to rise, two key resistances will be crucial to watch. The 200-day EMA, currently at $2,450, is a dynamic resistance with high selling pressure. On the other hand, the 2021 ATH at $2,870 is a strong support level that sellers may find difficult to overcome. The strength of this move could propel ETH to new highs.

总而言之，随着ETH继续上升，两个关键的阻力将至关重要。 200天EMA目前为2,450美元，是一种动态阻力，销售压力很高。另一方面，2021 ATH的价格为2,870美元，是卖方可能难以克服的强大支持水平。这一举动的力量可以推动ETH提升到新的高点。