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加密貨幣新聞文章

美國5月CPI持平,超出預期;比特幣漲至 6.92 萬美元

2024/06/12 21:01

疲軟的通膨數據可能對最近承受壓力的數位資產價格有利。

美國5月CPI持平,超出預期;比特幣漲至 6.92 萬美元

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unchanged in May, data showed on Friday, coming in lower than expected and offering some respite to recently battered digital asset prices as the headline inflation rate remained below the Federal Reserve's 2% target for a second month.

週五數據顯示,美國5 月份消費者物價指數(CPI) 持平,低於預期,為最近遭受重創的數位資產價格提供了一些喘息機會,因為總體通膨率連續第二個月低於聯準會2% 的目標。

The CPI was flat last month, compared to economists' forecasts for a 0.1% rise and following a 0.3% increase in April.

繼 4 月上漲 0.3% 後,上個月 CPI 與經濟學家預測的上漲 0.1% 持平。

Over the past 12 months, CPI was up 3.3%, lower than both the projections and the previous month's reading at 3.4%.

過去 12 個月,CPI 上漲 3.3%,低於預測和上個月的 3.4%。

The core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% in May, better than forecasts for a 0.3% rise and versus 0.3% in April. Year-over-year, core CPI rose 3.4% against expectations for 3.5% and April's 3.6%.

5 月不包括食品和能源成本的核心 CPI 上漲 0.2%,優於預期的 0.3% 漲幅,4 月為 0.3%。核心 CPI 年增 3.4%,預期 3.5%,4 月為 3.6%。

Bitcoin (BTC) welcomed the soft inflation reading, jumping to $69,400, up nearly 4% over the past 24 hours.

比特幣(BTC)迎來疲軟的通膨數據,躍升至 69,400 美元,在過去 24 小時內上漲近 4%。

After inflation readings fell rapidly in 2022 and 2023 as the Fed jacked up interest rates, the trend stalled in the previous months at stubbornly higher levels than the 2% target. This shift poured cold water on market participants' expectations of rate cuts.

隨著聯準會升息,通膨數據在 2022 年和 2023 年迅速下降,但這一趨勢在前幾個月陷入停滯,始終高於 2% 的目標水準。這項轉變為市場參與者的降息預期潑了一盆冷水。

Early this year, traders anticipated five or six 25 basis points (bps) cuts in 2024 by the end of December, which shrunk to one or two before today's CPI report with the first cut not anticipated until September, the CME FedWatch Tool showed.

芝商所FedWatch 工具顯示,今年早些時候,交易員預計到2024 年12 月底將有五到六次降息25 個基點(bps),在今天的CPI 報告發布之前降幅已縮減至一到兩個,首次降息預計要到9 月才會出現。

Crypto prices have been "highly sensitive" to U.S. economic data recently, K33 Research noted in a report earlier this week. The recent hotter inflation figures and resulting diminished hopes for rate cuts propelled bitcoin's tumble from all-time high prices above $73,000 in March to below $57,000 in May.

K33 Research 在本週稍早的一份報告中指出,加密貨幣價格最近對美國經濟數據「高度敏感」。最近通膨數據升溫以及由此導致的降息希望減弱,推動比特幣價格從 3 月高於 73,000 美元的歷史高點跌至 5 月低於 57,000 美元。

Traders expect that looser monetary conditions will fuel the crypto rally's next leg to record prices.

交易員預計,寬鬆的貨幣環境將推動加密貨幣價格下一波上漲,創下歷史新高。

Contrasting the U.S. expectations, several key central banks globally have already started to lower benchmark rates with the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada cutting rates last week, which helped to propel the U.S. dollar index (DXY) to a one-month high.

與美國的預期相反,全球幾家主要央行已開始降低基準利率,歐洲央行和加拿大央行上週紛紛降息,這有助於推動美元指數(DXY)升至一個月高點。

Investors will also watch closely the Fed's "dot plot" to be released later today of the Federal Market Open Committee members' interest rate projection, which could move asset prices.

投資者還將密切關注聯準會今天晚些時候發布的聯邦市場公開委員會成員利率預測的“點陣圖”,這可能會影響資產價格。

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