美国5月CPI持平，超出预期；比特币涨至 6.92 万美元

疲软的通胀数据可能对最近承受压力的数字资产价格有利。

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was unchanged in May, data showed on Friday, coming in lower than expected and offering some respite to recently battered digital asset prices as the headline inflation rate remained below the Federal Reserve's 2% target for a second month.

周五数据显示，美国 5 月份消费者价格指数 (CPI) 持平，低于预期，为最近遭受重创的数字资产价格提供了一些喘息机会，因为总体通胀率连续第二个月低于美联储 2% 的目标。

The CPI was flat last month, compared to economists' forecasts for a 0.1% rise and following a 0.3% increase in April.

继 4 月份上涨 0.3% 后，上个月 CPI 与经济学家预测的上涨 0.1% 持平。

Over the past 12 months, CPI was up 3.3%, lower than both the projections and the previous month's reading at 3.4%.

过去 12 个月，CPI 上涨 3.3%，低于预测和上个月的 3.4%。

The core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% in May, better than forecasts for a 0.3% rise and versus 0.3% in April. Year-over-year, core CPI rose 3.4% against expectations for 3.5% and April's 3.6%.

5 月份不包括食品和能源成本的核心 CPI 上涨 0.2%，好于预期的 0.3% 涨幅，4 月份为 0.3%。核心 CPI 同比上涨 3.4%，预期为 3.5%，4 月份为 3.6%。

Bitcoin (BTC) welcomed the soft inflation reading, jumping to $69,400, up nearly 4% over the past 24 hours.

比特币（BTC）迎来疲软的通胀数据，跃升至 69,400 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨近 4%。

After inflation readings fell rapidly in 2022 and 2023 as the Fed jacked up interest rates, the trend stalled in the previous months at stubbornly higher levels than the 2% target. This shift poured cold water on market participants' expectations of rate cuts.

随着美联储加息，通胀数据在 2022 年和 2023 年迅速下降，但这一趋势在前几个月陷入停滞，始终高于 2% 的目标水平。这一转变给市场参与者的降息预期泼了一盆冷水。

Early this year, traders anticipated five or six 25 basis points (bps) cuts in 2024 by the end of December, which shrunk to one or two before today's CPI report with the first cut not anticipated until September, the CME FedWatch Tool showed.

芝商所 FedWatch 工具显示，今年早些时候，交易员预计到 2024 年 12 月底将有五到六次降息 25 个基点 (bps)，在今天的 CPI 报告发布之前降幅已缩减至一到两个，首次降息预计要到 9 月份才会出现。

Crypto prices have been "highly sensitive" to U.S. economic data recently, K33 Research noted in a report earlier this week. The recent hotter inflation figures and resulting diminished hopes for rate cuts propelled bitcoin's tumble from all-time high prices above $73,000 in March to below $57,000 in May.

K33 Research 在本周早些时候的一份报告中指出，加密货币价格最近对美国经济数据“高度敏感”。最近通胀数据升温以及由此导致的降息希望减弱，推动比特币价格从 3 月份高于 73,000 美元的历史高点跌至 5 月份低于 57,000 美元。

Traders expect that looser monetary conditions will fuel the crypto rally's next leg to record prices.

交易员预计，宽松的货币环境将推动加密货币价格下一波上涨，创下历史新高。

Contrasting the U.S. expectations, several key central banks globally have already started to lower benchmark rates with the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada cutting rates last week, which helped to propel the U.S. dollar index (DXY) to a one-month high.

与美国的预期相反，全球几家主要央行已开始降低基准利率，欧洲央行和加拿大央行上周纷纷降息，这有助于推动美元指数(DXY)升至一个月高点。

Investors will also watch closely the Fed's "dot plot" to be released later today of the Federal Market Open Committee members' interest rate projection, which could move asset prices.

投资者还将密切关注美联储今天晚些时候发布的联邦市场公开委员会成员利率预测的“点阵图”，这可能会影响资产价格。