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美聯儲的利率設定委員會將今天開會,討論美國的貨幣政策。但是,無論會議的結果如何,亞瑟·海斯(Arthur Hayes),
The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee is set to meet today and tomorrow to discuss US monetary policies.
美聯儲的利率設定委員會將在今天和明天開會,討論美國的貨幣政策。
But whatever the outcome of the meeting, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer at Maelstrom, is bullish on Bitcoin’s price.
但是,無論會議的結果如何,Bitmex的聯合創始人兼Maelstrom首席投資官Arthur Hayes對比特幣的價格看漲。
That’s because “the setup is perfect for a rally” including cryptocurrencies, he said in a recent interview during the Token2049 conference in Dubai.
他在最近在迪拜舉行的Token2049會議上的一次採訪中說,這是因為“設置非常適合集會”,包括加密貨幣。
There is “a lot of fear, uncertainty, doubt in the markets,” Hayes said. “The monetary authorities, especially in America, cannot handle that, so they’re going to resort to money printing.”
海斯說,“市場上有很多恐懼,不確定性,懷疑”。 “貨幣當局,尤其是在美國,無法應付這一點,因此他們將訴諸於貨幣印刷。”
He alluded to the myriad market uncertainties present currently including the dwindling primacy of dollars, and armed conflicts around the world.
他暗示了目前目前存在的無數市場不確定性,包括美元的逐漸偏好,以及全球武裝衝突。
Hayes said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant will try to coordinate with the Fed to combat shaky government bond markets. That will lead to money printing, Hayes said, which will drive a surge in Bitcoin as investors pile into more risk.
海耶斯說,財政部長斯科特·貝辛特(Scott Bessant)將嘗試與美聯儲協調,以打擊搖搖欲墜的政府債券市場。海斯說,這將導致印刷資金,這將推動比特幣的激增,因為投資者佔據了更大的風險。
Hayes’ comments echo previous statements where he predicted that these policies will drive Bitcoin’s price to just shy of $200,000, slightly lower than his previous $250,000 estimates.
海斯的評論與以前的聲明相呼應,他預測這些政策將使比特幣的價格略高於200,000美元,略低於他以前的25萬美元估計。
“The next time Trump ramps up the tariff rhetoric or refuses to reduce tariffs on China, Bitcoin will rally in anticipation of the monetary mandarins running the money printing press at max Brrrrr levels to ensure bond market volatility remains muted,” Hayes previously wrote.
“下次特朗普提高關稅言論或拒絕降低中國的關稅時,比特幣將集結為預期在Max Brrrrr水平上運營貨幣印刷機的貨幣普通話,以確保債券市場波動保持淡淡,” Hayes先前寫道。
“Any investor with US stock and bonds is looking for something whose value is anti-establishment,” Hayes also wrote previously. “Physically, that’s gold [and] digitally, that’s Bitcoin.”
海斯(Hayes)也寫道:“任何擁有美國股票和債券的投資者都在尋找具有反建立價值的東西。” “從物理上講,這是黃金(數字上),那是比特幣。”
April 9 — one week after US President Donald Trump unveiled his sweeping tariff programme and the same day he initiated a 90-day pause on certain aspects of the trade war— was the bottom of the market, Hayes predicted.
4月9日 - 美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)公佈了他的全面關稅計劃,同一天,他在貿易戰的某些方面開始了90天的停頓,這是市場的底部。
Hayes’ comments came ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday this week.
海斯的評論在本週週二和星期三的聯邦公開市場委員會會議上發表。
Investors watch these meetings closely for clues to the central bank’s view on interest rates. Low interest rates usually traders to tap into risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies and equities.
投資者密切關注這些會議,以了解中央銀行對利率的看法。低利率通常交易者利用加密貨幣和股票等風險資產。
That’s one of the reasons why Bitcoin surged when the central bank slashed rates in September and November.
這就是當中央銀行在9月和11月削減利率時比特幣飆升的原因之一。
Investors overwhelmingly expect the Fed to keep interest rates where they are. Contracts linked to Fed policy bets put the chances of a rate cut as low as 2.3%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
投資者壓倒性地希望美聯儲將利率保留在原地。根據CME Group的FedWatch工具,與美聯儲政策下注有關的合同將降低的利率降低到2.3%的機會。
Those chances rise to 28.4% for the FOMC’s June meeting, and to 72.8% at its July meeting.
在FOMC的6月會議上,這些機會上升至28.4%,在7月的會議上增加到72.8%。
“The May FOMC meeting looks like a placeholder, more so after the strong jobs report,” Bank of America strategists said in a recent note. “The Fed will likely remain on hold, and we expect no change in Chair [Jerome] Powell’s tone from his recent speeches.”
美國銀行戰略師在最近的一份報告中說:“在強大的就業報告之後,五月FOMC會議看起來像是佔位符。” “美聯儲很可能會擱置,我們預計[杰羅姆]鮑威爾最近演講的語氣不會改變。”
Andrew Flanagan is a markets correspondent for DL News. Have a tip? Reach out to aflanagan@dlnews.com.
安德魯·弗拉納根(Andrew Flanagan)是DL新聞的市場通訊員。有小費嗎?與aflanagan@dlnews.com接觸。
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