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美联储的利率设定委员会将今天开会,讨论美国的货币政策。但是,无论会议的结果如何,亚瑟·海斯(Arthur Hayes),
The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee is set to meet today and tomorrow to discuss US monetary policies.
美联储的利率设定委员会将在今天和明天开会,讨论美国的货币政策。
But whatever the outcome of the meeting, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer at Maelstrom, is bullish on Bitcoin’s price.
但是,无论会议的结果如何,Bitmex的联合创始人兼Maelstrom首席投资官Arthur Hayes对比特币的价格看涨。
That’s because “the setup is perfect for a rally” including cryptocurrencies, he said in a recent interview during the Token2049 conference in Dubai.
他在最近在迪拜举行的Token2049会议上的一次采访中说,这是因为“设置非常适合集会”,包括加密货币。
There is “a lot of fear, uncertainty, doubt in the markets,” Hayes said. “The monetary authorities, especially in America, cannot handle that, so they’re going to resort to money printing.”
海斯说,“市场上有很多恐惧,不确定性,怀疑”。 “货币当局,尤其是在美国,无法应付这一点,因此他们将诉诸于货币印刷。”
He alluded to the myriad market uncertainties present currently including the dwindling primacy of dollars, and armed conflicts around the world.
他暗示了目前目前存在的无数市场不确定性,包括美元的逐渐偏好,以及全球武装冲突。
Hayes said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant will try to coordinate with the Fed to combat shaky government bond markets. That will lead to money printing, Hayes said, which will drive a surge in Bitcoin as investors pile into more risk.
海耶斯说,财政部长斯科特·贝辛特(Scott Bessant)将尝试与美联储协调,以打击摇摇欲坠的政府债券市场。海斯说,这将导致印刷资金,这将推动比特币的激增,因为投资者占据了更大的风险。
Hayes’ comments echo previous statements where he predicted that these policies will drive Bitcoin’s price to just shy of $200,000, slightly lower than his previous $250,000 estimates.
海斯的评论与以前的声明相呼应,他预测这些政策将使比特币的价格略高于200,000美元,略低于他以前的25万美元估计。
“The next time Trump ramps up the tariff rhetoric or refuses to reduce tariffs on China, Bitcoin will rally in anticipation of the monetary mandarins running the money printing press at max Brrrrr levels to ensure bond market volatility remains muted,” Hayes previously wrote.
“下次特朗普提高关税言论或拒绝降低中国的关税时,比特币将集结为预期在Max Brrrrr水平上运营货币印刷机的货币普通话,以确保债券市场波动保持淡淡,” Hayes先前写道。
“Any investor with US stock and bonds is looking for something whose value is anti-establishment,” Hayes also wrote previously. “Physically, that’s gold [and] digitally, that’s Bitcoin.”
海斯(Hayes)也写道:“任何拥有美国股票和债券的投资者都在寻找具有反建立价值的东西。” “从物理上讲,这是黄金(数字上),那是比特币。”
April 9 — one week after US President Donald Trump unveiled his sweeping tariff programme and the same day he initiated a 90-day pause on certain aspects of the trade war— was the bottom of the market, Hayes predicted.
4月9日 - 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)公布了他的全面关税计划,同一天,他在贸易战的某些方面开始了90天的停顿,这是市场的底部。
Hayes’ comments came ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday this week.
海斯的评论在本周周二和星期三的联邦公开市场委员会会议上发表。
Investors watch these meetings closely for clues to the central bank’s view on interest rates. Low interest rates usually traders to tap into risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies and equities.
投资者密切关注这些会议,以了解中央银行对利率的看法。低利率通常交易者利用加密货币和股票等风险资产。
That’s one of the reasons why Bitcoin surged when the central bank slashed rates in September and November.
这就是当中央银行在9月和11月削减利率时比特币飙升的原因之一。
Investors overwhelmingly expect the Fed to keep interest rates where they are. Contracts linked to Fed policy bets put the chances of a rate cut as low as 2.3%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
投资者压倒性地希望美联储将利率保留在原地。根据CME Group的FedWatch工具,与美联储政策下注有关的合同将降低的利率降低到2.3%的机会。
Those chances rise to 28.4% for the FOMC’s June meeting, and to 72.8% at its July meeting.
在FOMC的6月会议上,这些机会上升至28.4%,在7月的会议上增加到72.8%。
“The May FOMC meeting looks like a placeholder, more so after the strong jobs report,” Bank of America strategists said in a recent note. “The Fed will likely remain on hold, and we expect no change in Chair [Jerome] Powell’s tone from his recent speeches.”
美国银行战略师在最近的一份报告中说:“在强大的就业报告之后,五月FOMC会议看起来像是占位符。” “美联储很可能会搁置,我们预计[杰罗姆]鲍威尔最近演讲的语气不会改变。”
Andrew Flanagan is a markets correspondent for DL News. Have a tip? Reach out to aflanagan@dlnews.com.
安德鲁·弗拉纳根(Andrew Flanagan)是DL新闻的市场通讯员。有小费吗?与aflanagan@dlnews.com接触。
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