比特幣將徹底改變政治，而不是取代它

即使超級比特幣化成為現實，比特幣成為從當前法定體系廢墟中崛起的貨幣體系的中心，國家仍將是國際關係的主導地位。

Despite the grandiose claims of Bitcoin maximalists, who envision a future where Bitcoin will completely replace the state and usher in an era of stateless anarcho-capitalism, a closer examination reveals a more nuanced and surprising scenario.

儘管比特幣最大化主義者提出了宏偉的主張，他們設想未來比特幣將完全取代國家並迎來一個無國家的無政府資本主義時代，但仔細研究就會發現一個更加微妙和令人驚訝的場景。

Even in a hyperbitcoinized world, where Bitcoin becomes the central pillar of the monetary system that emerges from the ruins of the fiat system, the state will persist as the dominant force in international relations, rising like a phoenix from the ashes of its predecessors.

即使在一個超級比特幣化的世界裡，比特幣成為從法定體系廢墟中崛起的貨幣體系的核心支柱，國家也將繼續作為國際關係的主導力量，像鳳凰一樣從其前輩的灰燼中涅槃重生。

As Max Weber observed over a century ago in his seminal essay "Economy and Society," the state will continue to wield legal coercion and violence as its distinctive and specific means of action. This stems from its essence as an aspiring monopolist of force internally and a sovereign entity externally (rex superiorem non recognoscentes).

正如馬克斯·韋伯一個多世紀前在他的開創性論文《經濟與社會》中所觀察到的那樣，國家將繼續運用法律強制和暴力作為其獨特和具體的行動手段。這源自於其本質上是一個對內有抱負的武力壟斷者和對外的主權實體（rex Superiorem non recognoscentes）。

Thanks to Bitcoin, the state will undergo diverse and novel transformations, which are currently difficult to envision. It will certainly face significant challenges and reductions compared to its present state, encompassing changes in geographical reach, resources, competencies, and ambitions. However, even with the desires of anarcho-capitalists and staunchest libertarians, the state will not completely vanish as a societal organizational structure.

感謝比特幣，國家將經歷多樣化和新穎的轉變，這是目前難以想像的。與目前的狀態相比，它肯定會面臨重大挑戰和減少，包括地理範圍、資源、能力和雄心的變化。然而，即使有無政府資本主義者和最堅定的自由主義者的願望，國家作為社會組織結構也不會完全消失。

While the voluntary, transactional, and cooperative aspects of human interactions will likely dominate in a hyperbitcoinized world, they will not be the exclusive components.

雖然人類互動的自願、交易和合作方面可能會在超級比特幣化的世界中佔據主導地位，但它們不會是唯一的組成部分。

There will always be individuals who choose to resort to force to assert their beliefs, simply because it is a feasible and convenient option. Furthermore, a certain level of violence is inherent to our nature as beings with animal instincts, and as long as humans inhabit this planet, violence will exist. Consequently, as long as violence persists, there will be efforts to organize, legitimize, and regulate it. This leads to the inevitable 'historical necessity' of the state as a regulator and concentrator of power among individuals.

總是會有人選擇訴諸武力來維護自己的信仰，只因為這是一個可行且方便的選擇。此外，作為具有動物本能的生物，一定程度的暴力是我們與生俱來的，只要人類居住在這個星球上，暴力就會存在。因此，只要暴力持續存在，就會有人努力組織、合法化和監管。這導致了國家作為個人權力的調節者和集中者的不可避免的「歷史必然性」。

Whether originating from a social pact among equals, imposed from above through annexation or invasion, or emerging from an anarchic "man is a wolf to man" scenario where the strongest dominates and seizes control, the state has evolved through various forms over time - from tribal societies to nation-states to empires - and has been upheld by diverse political systems such as monocracy, oligarchy, democracy, and more.

無論是源自於平等之間的社會契約，透過吞併或入侵自上而下強加的，還是從「人是狼對人」的無政府狀態中出現的，即最強者占主導地位並奪取控制權，隨著時間的推移，國家已經透過各種形式演變- 從從部落社會到民族國家再到帝國，並受到獨裁、寡頭、民主等多種政治制度的支持。

The 'new state' in a global Bitcoin system will be stripped of extensive monetary power, significantly limiting its ability to accumulate debts and manipulate currency. Consequently, it will need to downsize in both scale and scope, reverting to its core functions: legislating, adjudicating, ensuring security, and providing defense. In an ideal scenario, it would resemble a minimalist state, such as the one favored by minarchists, voluntarily embraced by its citizens and founded on mutual consent. This envisioned state could be a small entity, akin to a city-state among many others, or a compact nation-state centered around religious, linguistic, ethnic, and moral identities that surely won’t fade away with the advent of a Bitcoin world.

全球比特幣系統中的「新國家」將被剝奪廣泛的貨幣權力，極大地限制其累積債務和操縱貨幣的能力。因此，它需要縮小規模和範圍，恢復其核心職能：立法、裁決、確保安全和提供防禦。在理想的情況下，它會類似於一個極簡主義國家，例如受極簡主義者青睞的國家，其公民自願接受並建立在相互同意的基礎上。這個設想的國家可以是一個小實體，類似於一個城邦等，也可以是一個以宗教、語言、種族和道德身份為中心的緊湊的民族國家，這些身份肯定不會隨著比特幣世界的出現而消失。

This future trajectory suggests a global landscape reminiscent of past political examples such as medieval Italy with its city-states, or ancient China with its pre-imperial states, or sixth-century BC Greece with its poleis, or even the American West of the nineteenth century. Hopefully, with a much lower degree of political violence compared to the former examples thanks to a significantly higher average material well-being - a result of enormous technological progress that provides an abundance of goods, discouraging predatory human impulses driven by resource scarcity - and an unparalleled level of commercial and informational interconnectedness compared to historical precedents.

這種未來軌跡暗示著一種全球景觀，讓人想起過去的政治例子，例如中世紀的義大利及其城邦，或古代中國及其前帝國國家，或公元前六世紀的希臘及其城邦，甚至十九世紀的美國西部世紀。希望與前面的例子相比，政治暴力的程度要低得多，這要歸功於平均物質福利的顯著提高——這是巨大的技術進步的結果，提供了豐富的商品，抑制了由資源稀缺驅動的人類掠奪性衝動——以及與歷史先例相比，商業和資訊互聯程度無與倫比。

Technological progress has facilitated and will continue to facilitate communication as a solution to the prisoner's dilemma and widespread trade as a beneficial alternative to war.

技術進步已經並將繼續促進交流作為囚徒困境的解決方案，並促進廣泛的貿易作為戰爭的有益替代方案。

That being said, we should not expect perpetual peace as Kant envisioned. Interstate war will probably be rarer and a last resort in such an environment, but it will not be entirely excluded from the realm of possibilities. Some communities would still attempt to use coercive means to achieve their goals at the expense of their neighbors ending up in war. However, this infrequent occurrence will likely result in shedding less blood and resources than today, given the reduced capacity/economic power of the new state, as well as the prevailing interests in peaceful trade and the fresh historical memory of the fresh historical memory of the horrors of warfare and warfare states in our era.

話雖如此，我們不該期待康德所設想的永久和平。在這種環境下，州際戰爭可能會更加罕見，成為最後的手段，但也不會完全排除它的可能性。有些社區仍然會嘗試使用強製手段來實現其目標，而犧牲鄰國最終陷入戰爭。然而，鑑於新國家的能力/經濟實力下降，以及和平貿易的普遍利益和新的歷史記憶，這種罕見的情況可能會導致比今天更少的血液和資源。 。

In this hypothetical context, with multitudes of small sovereign states, intense trade, and relative international anarchy, there will be a proliferation of diplomatic activities, a flourishing of bilateral and multilateral alliances, and this is where the Bitcoin network will come again into play.

在這種假設的背景下，由於存在眾多的小主權國家、激烈的貿易和相對的國際無政府狀態，外交活動將會激增，雙邊和多邊聯盟將會蓬勃發展，而這正是比特幣網絡將再次發揮作用的地方。

What better place for states to ratify and archive agreements and treaties than on Bitcoin's layer 1?

對各國來說，還有什麼比比特幣第一層更好的地方來批准和存檔協議和條約呢？

Diplomatic negotiations indeed share many similarities with commercial ones. In one case, they revolve around bargaining between states and treaties; in the other, they revolve around contracts. Just as contracts are not concluded in the absence of trust among merchants, treaties are not ratified without trust among states. Therefore, a certain degree

外交談判確實與商業談判有許多相似之處。在一種情況下，它們圍繞著國家和條約之間的討價還價；另一方面，它們圍繞著合約。正如商人之間缺乏信任就無法締結合同一樣，國家之間缺乏信任也無法批准條約。因此，在一定程度上