比特币将彻底改变政治，而不是取代它

即使超级比特币化成为现实，比特币成为从当前法定体系废墟中崛起的货币体系的中心，国家仍将是国际关系的主导地位。

Despite the grandiose claims of Bitcoin maximalists, who envision a future where Bitcoin will completely replace the state and usher in an era of stateless anarcho-capitalism, a closer examination reveals a more nuanced and surprising scenario.

尽管比特币最大化主义者提出了宏伟的主张，他们设想未来比特币将完全取代国家并迎来一个无国家的无政府资本主义时代，但仔细研究就会发现一个更加微妙和令人惊讶的场景。

Even in a hyperbitcoinized world, where Bitcoin becomes the central pillar of the monetary system that emerges from the ruins of the fiat system, the state will persist as the dominant force in international relations, rising like a phoenix from the ashes of its predecessors.

即使在一个超级比特币化的世界里，比特币成为从法定体系废墟中崛起的货币体系的核心支柱，国家也将继续作为国际关系的主导力量，像凤凰一样从其前辈的灰烬中涅槃重生。

As Max Weber observed over a century ago in his seminal essay "Economy and Society," the state will continue to wield legal coercion and violence as its distinctive and specific means of action. This stems from its essence as an aspiring monopolist of force internally and a sovereign entity externally (rex superiorem non recognoscentes).

正如马克斯·韦伯一个多世纪前在他的开创性论文《经济与社会》中所观察到的那样，国家将继续运用法律强制和暴力作为其独特和具体的行动手段。这源于其本质上是一个对内有抱负的武力垄断者和对外的主权实体（rex Superiorem non recognoscentes）。

Thanks to Bitcoin, the state will undergo diverse and novel transformations, which are currently difficult to envision. It will certainly face significant challenges and reductions compared to its present state, encompassing changes in geographical reach, resources, competencies, and ambitions. However, even with the desires of anarcho-capitalists and staunchest libertarians, the state will not completely vanish as a societal organizational structure.

感谢比特币，国家将经历多样化和新颖的转变，这是目前难以想象的。与目前的状态相比，它肯定会面临重大挑战和减少，包括地理范围、资源、能力和雄心的变化。然而，即使有无政府资本主义者和最坚定的自由主义者的愿望，国家作为一种社会组织结构也不会完全消失。

While the voluntary, transactional, and cooperative aspects of human interactions will likely dominate in a hyperbitcoinized world, they will not be the exclusive components.

虽然人类互动的自愿、交易和合作方面可能会在超级比特币化的世界中占据主导地位，但它们不会是唯一的组成部分。

There will always be individuals who choose to resort to force to assert their beliefs, simply because it is a feasible and convenient option. Furthermore, a certain level of violence is inherent to our nature as beings with animal instincts, and as long as humans inhabit this planet, violence will exist. Consequently, as long as violence persists, there will be efforts to organize, legitimize, and regulate it. This leads to the inevitable 'historical necessity' of the state as a regulator and concentrator of power among individuals.

总会有人选择诉诸武力来维护自己的信仰，仅仅因为这是一个可行且方便的选择。此外，作为具有动物本能的生物，一定程度的暴力是我们与生俱来的，只要人类居住在这个星球上，暴力就会存在。因此，只要暴力持续存在，就会有人努力对其进行组织、合法化和监管。这导致了国家作为个人权力的调节者和集中者的不可避免的“历史必然性”。

Whether originating from a social pact among equals, imposed from above through annexation or invasion, or emerging from an anarchic "man is a wolf to man" scenario where the strongest dominates and seizes control, the state has evolved through various forms over time - from tribal societies to nation-states to empires - and has been upheld by diverse political systems such as monocracy, oligarchy, democracy, and more.

无论是源于平等之间的社会契约，通过吞并或入侵自上而下强加的，还是从“人是狼对人”的无政府状态中出现的，即最强者占主导地位并夺取控制权，随着时间的推移，国家已经通过各种形式演变 - 从从部落社会到民族国家再到帝国，并受到独裁、寡头、民主等多种政治制度的支持。

The 'new state' in a global Bitcoin system will be stripped of extensive monetary power, significantly limiting its ability to accumulate debts and manipulate currency. Consequently, it will need to downsize in both scale and scope, reverting to its core functions: legislating, adjudicating, ensuring security, and providing defense. In an ideal scenario, it would resemble a minimalist state, such as the one favored by minarchists, voluntarily embraced by its citizens and founded on mutual consent. This envisioned state could be a small entity, akin to a city-state among many others, or a compact nation-state centered around religious, linguistic, ethnic, and moral identities that surely won’t fade away with the advent of a Bitcoin world.

全球比特币系统中的“新国家”将被剥夺广泛的货币权力，极大地限制其积累债务和操纵货币的能力。因此，它需要缩小规模和范围，恢复其核心职能：立法、裁决、确保安全和提供防御。在理想的情况下，它会类似于一个极简主义国家，比如受极简主义者青睐的国家，其公民自愿接受并建立在相互同意的基础上。这个设想的国家可以是一个小实体，类似于一个城邦等，也可以是一个以宗教、语言、种族和道德身份为中心的紧凑的民族国家，这些身份肯定不会随着比特币世界的出现而消失。

This future trajectory suggests a global landscape reminiscent of past political examples such as medieval Italy with its city-states, or ancient China with its pre-imperial states, or sixth-century BC Greece with its poleis, or even the American West of the nineteenth century. Hopefully, with a much lower degree of political violence compared to the former examples thanks to a significantly higher average material well-being - a result of enormous technological progress that provides an abundance of goods, discouraging predatory human impulses driven by resource scarcity - and an unparalleled level of commercial and informational interconnectedness compared to historical precedents.

这种未来轨迹暗示着一种全球景观，让人想起过去的政治例子，例如中世纪的意大利及其城邦，或古代中国及其前帝国国家，或公元前六世纪的希腊及其城邦，甚至十九世纪的美国西部世纪。希望与前面的例子相比，政治暴力的程度要低得多，这要归功于平均物质福利的显着提高——这是巨大的技术进步的结果，提供了丰富的商品，抑制了由资源稀缺驱动的人类掠夺性冲动——以及与历史先例相比，商业和信息互联程度无与伦比。

Technological progress has facilitated and will continue to facilitate communication as a solution to the prisoner's dilemma and widespread trade as a beneficial alternative to war.

技术进步已经并将继续促进交流作为囚徒困境的解决方案，并促进广泛的贸易作为战争的有益替代方案。

That being said, we should not expect perpetual peace as Kant envisioned. Interstate war will probably be rarer and a last resort in such an environment, but it will not be entirely excluded from the realm of possibilities. Some communities would still attempt to use coercive means to achieve their goals at the expense of their neighbors ending up in war. However, this infrequent occurrence will likely result in shedding less blood and resources than today, given the reduced capacity/economic power of the new state, as well as the prevailing interests in peaceful trade and the fresh historical memory of the fresh historical memory of the horrors of warfare and warfare states in our era.

话虽如此，我们不应该期待康德所设想的永久和平。在这种环境下，州际战争可能会更加罕见，成为最后的手段，但也不会完全排除它的可能性。一些社区仍然会尝试使用强制手段来实现其目标，而牺牲邻国最终陷入战争。然而，鉴于新国家的能力/经济实力下降，以及和平贸易的普遍利益和新的历史记忆，这种罕见的情况可能会导致比今天更少的鲜血和资源。我们这个时代战争和战争状态的恐怖。

In this hypothetical context, with multitudes of small sovereign states, intense trade, and relative international anarchy, there will be a proliferation of diplomatic activities, a flourishing of bilateral and multilateral alliances, and this is where the Bitcoin network will come again into play.

在这种假设的背景下，由于存在众多的小主权国家、激烈的贸易和相对的国际无政府状态，外交活动将会激增，双边和多边联盟将会蓬勃发展，而这正是比特币网络将再次发挥作用的地方。

What better place for states to ratify and archive agreements and treaties than on Bitcoin's layer 1?

对于各国来说，还有什么比比特币第一层更好的地方来批准和存档协议和条约呢？

Diplomatic negotiations indeed share many similarities with commercial ones. In one case, they revolve around bargaining between states and treaties; in the other, they revolve around contracts. Just as contracts are not concluded in the absence of trust among merchants, treaties are not ratified without trust among states. Therefore, a certain degree

外交谈判确实与商业谈判有许多相似之处。在一种情况下，它们围绕着国家和条约之间的讨价还价；另一方面，它们围绕合同。正如商人之间缺乏信任就无法缔结合同一样，国家之间缺乏信任也无法批准条约。因此，在一定程度上