比特幣（BTC）的價格預測從$ 122,000到驚人的$ 700,000

每年，比特幣的支持者都會做出看漲的價格預測，並預計領先的加密貨幣將達到預測的價格點並超越它。

This year, like every other, Bitcoin’s price predictions are nothing short of bold and ambitious. As the leading cryptocurrency continues to capture the attention of investors and institutions alike, the predictions for where Bitcoin will hit and what price point it will go beyond have varied wildly.

與其他所有人一樣，今年比特幣的價格預測簡直是大膽而雄心勃勃的。隨著領先的加密貨幣繼續吸引投資者和機構的關注，對比特幣將在哪裡打的預測以及它將超出的價格越來越多。

The lowest price predictions come from CFO-X Survey and 10x Research, with their predictions of $150,000 and $122,000, respectively. CFO-X's prediction is based on their sentiment index, which they believe is currently at extreme bearish levels, setting the stage for a powerful rally. On the other hand, 10x Research's prediction is derived from a technical rally, which they see unfolding in the second half of 2024.

價格最低的預測來自CFO-X調查和10倍研究，其預測分別為150,000美元和122,000美元。 CFO-X的預測基於他們的情感指數，他們認為目前處於極端看跌水平，為強大的集會奠定了基礎。另一方面，10X研究的預測源自技術集會，他們認為在2024年下半年展開。

Another low price prediction comes from investment banking firm H.C. Wainwright, who predicts that Bitcoin could reach $135,000 to $285,000. This prediction is built on a quintile modeling that considers the varying stages of the Bitcoin cycle.

另一個低價預測來自投資銀行公司HC Wainwright，他預測比特幣可以達到135,000美元至285,000美元。該預測建立在五分之一的建模上，該建模考慮了比特幣週期的不同階段。

Within the $200,000 range, Standard Chartered predicts that institutional flows and Marco hedging will be the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price surge to $200,000.

在200,000美元的範圍內，標準憲章預測，機構的流量和Marco Hedging將是比特幣價格上漲至200,000美元的主要驅動力。

At the same time, H.C. Wainwright's analysts believe that the halving cycle and the increasing regulatory clarity in the U.S. could propel Bitcoin to new highs of $225,000.

同時，HC Wainwright的分析師認為，在美國的減半週期和越來越多的監管清晰度可能會推動比特幣的新高點225,000美元。

Two well-known figures in the Bitcoin space, Fundstrat's Tom Lee and Bitcoin proponent Anthony Pompliano, both agree on a $250,000 price prediction.

Fundstrat的Tom Lee和Bitcoin支持者Anthony Pompliano在比特幣領域的兩個著名數字都同意25萬美元的價格預測。

Pomp, in particular, highlights a Bitcoin liquidity boom and demand shock, which he sees as key drivers of the cryptocurrency's price rally.

尤其是龐貝，強調了比特幣的流動性繁榮和需求衝擊，他認為這是加密貨幣價格集會的關鍵動力。

While the price predictions vary widely, one thing that most of the institutions agree on is that institutional interest will be crucial for Bitcoin's price performance in the coming years.

儘管價格預測差異很大，但大多數機構都同意的一件事是，機構利益對於未來幾年的比特幣價格表現至關重要。

Among the top investment firms surveyed by Bloomberg, only two made price predictions for Bitcoin this year.

在彭博社調查的頂級投資公司中，今年只有兩個對比特幣的價格預測。

VanEck predicts that Bitcoin could rise to $180,000, tying his prediction to an institutional roadmap and suggests a possible price retrace from the last bull market.

Vaneck預測，比特幣可能會上升至18萬美元，將他的預測與機構路線圖聯繫在一起，並暗示可能從上一個牛市進行價格回顧。

At the same time, 21st Capital's predicts that Bitcoin could reach $135,000, which is based on quintile modeling and suggests a possible upsurge to $285,000.

同時，第21 Capital的預測，比特幣可以達到135,000美元，這是基於五分之一的建模，並建議可能提高至285,000美元。

The highest price prediction comes from BlackRock's Larry Fink, who is convinced that a 2-5% institutional allocation can boost a long-term price rally and predicts that Bitcoin could reach $700,000.

最高的價格預測來自貝萊德（Blackrock）的拉里·芬克（Larry Fink），他堅信2-5％的機構分配可以提高長期價格集會，並預測比特幣可以達到70萬美元。

"If we get about 2 to 5 percent of the big money institutions putting money in -- which is an optimistic scenario -- we could be looking at a price of $700,000 in the long term," Fink said in an interview with the German newspaper Die Zeit.

芬克在接受德國報紙《死時》採訪時說：“如果我們獲得大約2％至5％的大貨幣機構投入資金 - 這是一個樂觀的情況 - 從長遠來看，我們可能會尋找70萬美元的價格。”

This prediction is based on Fink's belief that the cryptocurrency market is currently too small to handle large-scale institutional interest. With more institutions entering the market, the market cap of cryptocurrencies would increase significantly, which is necessary to accommodate the large sums of money that institutions typically invest.

該預測是基於Fink的信念，即加密貨幣市場目前太小，無法處理大規模的機構利益。隨著越來越多的機構進入市場，加密貨幣的市值將大大增加，這對於容納機構通常投資的大量資金是必不可少的。

"The total market cap of cryptocurrencies is currently about $2 trillion. In comparison, the stock market has a market cap of about $70 trillion and the bond market about $150 trillion," explained Fink.

Fink解釋說：“加密貨幣的總市值目前約為2萬億美元。相比之下，股市的市值約為700萬億美元，債券市場約為1500萬億美元。”

"For institutions to invest in any meaningful way, the crypto market would need to expand at least tenfold, to $20 trillion. Only then could institutions allocate, say, 5 percent of their portfolio to crypto without causing any significant price fluctuations."

“為了使機構以任何有意義的方式進行投資，加密貨幣市場將至少將至少十倍擴大到20萬億美元。只有那時，機構才能將其投資組合的5％分配給加密貨幣，而不會引起任何顯著的價格波動。”

Another venture capitalist, Chamath Palihapitiya, known for his bold predictions and early investments in companies like Facebook and SpaceX, predicts that Bitcoin could hit $500,000.

另一位風險投資家Chamath Palihapitiya以其大膽的預測和在Facebook和SpaceX等公司的早期投資而聞名，他預測比特幣可能達到500,000美元。

Palihapitiya's prediction is largely based on his view of Bitcoin as a monetary escape valve and the potential impact of a global economic crisis on the crypto market.

Palihapitiya的預測在很大程度上是基於他對比特幣作為貨幣逃生閥的看法以及全球經濟危機對加密市場的潛在影響。

"My prediction is that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 if there's a real crisis and all the money flows into Bitcoin as a monetary escape valve," Palihapitiya said in an interview earlier this year.

Palihapitiya在今年早些時候的一次採訪中說：“我的預測是，如果存在真正的危機，所有資金作為貨幣逃生閥流入比特幣，則比特幣可以達到500,000美元。”

The predictions from these key Bitcoin investors and institutions vary widely, and it remains to be seen which, if any, will come to pass. However, one thing is clear: interest in Bitcoin is heating up, and as more institutions enter the market, the cryptocurrency's price could be driven to even greater heights.

這些關鍵比特幣投資者和機構的預測差異很大，還有待觀察的是，如果有的話，它將通過。但是，很明顯：對比特幣的興趣正在加熱，隨著越來越多的機構進入市場，加密貨幣的價格可能會被驅動到更高的高度。