比特币（BTC）的价格预测从$ 122,000到惊人的$ 700,000

每年，比特币的支持者都会做出看涨的价格预测，并预计领先的加密货币将达到预测的价格点并超越它。

This year, like every other, Bitcoin’s price predictions are nothing short of bold and ambitious. As the leading cryptocurrency continues to capture the attention of investors and institutions alike, the predictions for where Bitcoin will hit and what price point it will go beyond have varied wildly.

与其他所有人一样，今年比特币的价格预测简直是大胆而雄心勃勃的。随着领先的加密货币继续吸引投资者和机构的关注，对比特币将在哪里打的预测以及它将超出的价格越来越多。

The lowest price predictions come from CFO-X Survey and 10x Research, with their predictions of $150,000 and $122,000, respectively. CFO-X's prediction is based on their sentiment index, which they believe is currently at extreme bearish levels, setting the stage for a powerful rally. On the other hand, 10x Research's prediction is derived from a technical rally, which they see unfolding in the second half of 2024.

价格最低的预测来自CFO-X调查和10倍研究，其预测分别为150,000美元和122,000美元。 CFO-X的预测基于他们的情感指数，他们认为目前处于极端看跌水平，为强大的集会奠定了基础。另一方面，10X研究的预测源自技术集会，他们认为在2024年下半年展开。

Another low price prediction comes from investment banking firm H.C. Wainwright, who predicts that Bitcoin could reach $135,000 to $285,000. This prediction is built on a quintile modeling that considers the varying stages of the Bitcoin cycle.

另一个低价预测来自投资银行公司HC Wainwright，他预测比特币可以达到135,000美元至285,000美元。该预测建立在五分之一的建模上，该建模考虑了比特币周期的不同阶段。

Within the $200,000 range, Standard Chartered predicts that institutional flows and Marco hedging will be the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price surge to $200,000.

在200,000美元的范围内，标准宪章预测，机构的流量和Marco Hedging将是比特币价格上涨至200,000美元的主要驱动力。

At the same time, H.C. Wainwright's analysts believe that the halving cycle and the increasing regulatory clarity in the U.S. could propel Bitcoin to new highs of $225,000.

同时，HC Wainwright的分析师认为，在美国的减半周期和越来越多的监管清晰度可能会推动比特币的新高点225,000美元。

Two well-known figures in the Bitcoin space, Fundstrat's Tom Lee and Bitcoin proponent Anthony Pompliano, both agree on a $250,000 price prediction.

Fundstrat的Tom Lee和Bitcoin支持者Anthony Pompliano在比特币领域的两个著名数字都同意25万美元的价格预测。

Pomp, in particular, highlights a Bitcoin liquidity boom and demand shock, which he sees as key drivers of the cryptocurrency's price rally.

尤其是庞贝，强调了比特币的流动性繁荣和需求冲击，他认为这是加密货币价格集会的关键动力。

While the price predictions vary widely, one thing that most of the institutions agree on is that institutional interest will be crucial for Bitcoin's price performance in the coming years.

尽管价格预测差异很大，但大多数机构都同意的一件事是，机构利益对于未来几年的比特币价格表现至关重要。

Among the top investment firms surveyed by Bloomberg, only two made price predictions for Bitcoin this year.

在彭博社调查的顶级投资公司中，今年只有两个对比特币的价格预测。

VanEck predicts that Bitcoin could rise to $180,000, tying his prediction to an institutional roadmap and suggests a possible price retrace from the last bull market.

Vaneck预测，比特币可能会上升至18万美元，将他的预测与机构路线图联系在一起，并暗示可能从上一个牛市进行价格回顾。

At the same time, 21st Capital's predicts that Bitcoin could reach $135,000, which is based on quintile modeling and suggests a possible upsurge to $285,000.

同时，第21 Capital的预测，比特币可以达到135,000美元，这是基于五分之一的建模，并建议可能提高至285,000美元。

The highest price prediction comes from BlackRock's Larry Fink, who is convinced that a 2-5% institutional allocation can boost a long-term price rally and predicts that Bitcoin could reach $700,000.

最高的价格预测来自贝莱德（Blackrock）的拉里·芬克（Larry Fink），他坚信2-5％的机构分配可以提高长期价格集会，并预测比特币可以达到70万美元。

"If we get about 2 to 5 percent of the big money institutions putting money in -- which is an optimistic scenario -- we could be looking at a price of $700,000 in the long term," Fink said in an interview with the German newspaper Die Zeit.

芬克在接受德国报纸《死时》采访时说：“如果我们获得大约2％至5％的大货币机构投入资金 - 这是一个乐观的情况 - 从长远来看，我们可能会寻找70万美元的价格。”

This prediction is based on Fink's belief that the cryptocurrency market is currently too small to handle large-scale institutional interest. With more institutions entering the market, the market cap of cryptocurrencies would increase significantly, which is necessary to accommodate the large sums of money that institutions typically invest.

该预测是基于Fink的信念，即加密货币市场目前太小，无法处理大规模的机构利益。随着越来越多的机构进入市场，加密货币的市值将大大增加，这对于容纳机构通常投资的大量资金是必不可少的。

"The total market cap of cryptocurrencies is currently about $2 trillion. In comparison, the stock market has a market cap of about $70 trillion and the bond market about $150 trillion," explained Fink.

Fink解释说：“加密货币的总市值目前约为2万亿美元。相比之下，股市的市值约为700万亿美元，债券市场约为1500万亿美元。”

"For institutions to invest in any meaningful way, the crypto market would need to expand at least tenfold, to $20 trillion. Only then could institutions allocate, say, 5 percent of their portfolio to crypto without causing any significant price fluctuations."

“为了使机构以任何有意义的方式进行投资，加密货币市场将至少将至少十倍扩大到20万亿美元。只有那时，机构才能将其投资组合的5％分配给加密货币，而不会引起任何显着的价格波动。”

Another venture capitalist, Chamath Palihapitiya, known for his bold predictions and early investments in companies like Facebook and SpaceX, predicts that Bitcoin could hit $500,000.

另一位风险投资家Chamath Palihapitiya以其大胆的预测和在Facebook和SpaceX等公司的早期投资而闻名，他预测比特币可能达到500,000美元。

Palihapitiya's prediction is largely based on his view of Bitcoin as a monetary escape valve and the potential impact of a global economic crisis on the crypto market.

Palihapitiya的预测在很大程度上是基于他对比特币作为货币逃生阀的看法以及全球经济危机对加密市场的潜在影响。

"My prediction is that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 if there's a real crisis and all the money flows into Bitcoin as a monetary escape valve," Palihapitiya said in an interview earlier this year.

Palihapitiya在今年早些时候的一次采访中说：“我的预测是，如果存在真正的危机，所有资金作为货币逃生阀流入比特币，则比特币可以达到500,000美元。”

The predictions from these key Bitcoin investors and institutions vary widely, and it remains to be seen which, if any, will come to pass. However, one thing is clear: interest in Bitcoin is heating up, and as more institutions enter the market, the cryptocurrency's price could be driven to even greater heights.

这些关键比特币投资者和机构的预测差异很大，还有待观察的是，如果有的话，它将通过。但是，很明显：对比特币的兴趣正在加热，随着越来越多的机构进入市场，加密货币的价格可能会被驱动到更高的高度。