Bitmex創始人說，比特幣的最佳日子在遙不可及 - 這就是為什麼

Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes相信比特幣的價格可能會在未來幾年內攀升至100萬美元，這是由宏觀經濟部隊和轉移投資者情緒轉移的。

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has expressed optimism over Bitcoin's future price potential, reaching over $1 million within a few years due to a confluence of macroeconomic factors and shifting investor sentiment.

Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes對比特幣的未來價格潛力表示樂觀，由於宏觀經濟因素和轉移投資者的情緒，在幾年內達到了超過100萬美元。

In a recent interview, Hayes highlighted the expanding U.S. government debt and the ensuing monetary easing as key drivers for Bitcoin's bullish trajectory.

在最近的一次採訪中，海斯強調了美國政府債務的不斷擴大，隨後的貨幣放寬是比特幣的看漲軌蹟的關鍵驅動力。

Contrasting the political parties' lack of focus on fiscal discipline, Hayes asserted that neither party has proposed any real solutions to reduce the deficit.

與政黨對財政紀律的關注相比，海耶斯聲稱，既沒有一方都提出了任何真正的解決方案來減少赤字。

"The trajectory of the deficit is still massively upward, whether it’s Biden or Trump or whoever else is in charge, both parties agree on this. Both parties agree that we're going to keep spending more and more money," Hayes said.

海斯說：“赤字的軌跡仍然大大向上，無論是拜登還是特朗普，還是其他負責人，雙方都同意。雙方都同意，我們將繼續花費越來越多的錢。”

Citing rising costs tied to entitlement programs, defense spending, and growing interest payments, he noted that both parties are in agreement on continuing to increase spending despite the ballooning deficit.

他援引與權利計劃，國防支出和不斷增長的利息支付相關的上漲成本，他指出，儘管存在赤字，雙方都同意繼續增加支出。

"We're going to keep spending more and more money. Both parties agree on this. Both parties agree that we're going to have a massively structurally unbalanced budget, where we're going to have to keep cutting programs or raising taxes to levels that would really hamper economic activity," Hayes added.

Hayes補充說：“我們將繼續花費越來越多的錢。雙方都同意這一同意。雙方都同意，我們將擁有大量結構上不平衡的預算，我們將不得不繼續削減計劃或將稅收提高到真正妨礙經濟活動的水平。”

According to Hayes, the structural spending pressures—such as increased military budgets and mandatory payments like Social Security and Medicare—make it nearly impossible for the U.S. government to cut back without triggering serious disruption.

據海斯說，結構性支出壓力，例如增加的軍事預算和社會保障和醫療保險等強制性付款 - 使美國政府幾乎不可能在不引發嚴重破壞的情況下減少退縮。

This unsustainable path, he suggests, will lead to further devaluation of the dollar, making Bitcoin an attractive hedge for institutions and individuals alike, especially in an era of U.S. global dominance coming to an end.

他認為，這條不可持續的道路將導緻美元進一步貶值，使比特幣成為機構和個人的有吸引力的樹籬，尤其是在美國全球統治地位的時代。

"It's really a perfect storm for Bitcoin. We're also now seeing Bitcoin enter the institutional mainstream in a big way with the status of a strategic reserve asset, which is really the last figment of Bitcoin optimism that we need to see play out for the price to really, truly, massively increase."

“對於比特幣來說，這確實是一場完美的風暴。我們現在也看到比特幣以戰略儲備資產的狀態以很大的方式進入機構主流，這確實是比特幣樂觀的最後一個小數字，我們需要看到，這是真正，真正，大量增長的價格。”

He also emphasized that Bitcoin's growing status as a strategic reserve asset is now entering the institutional mainstream.

他還強調，比特幣作為戰略儲備資產的日益增長的地位現在正在進入機構主流。

With regulated ETFs now trading and an evolving perception of Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, Hayes believes the digital currency is transitioning from a speculative bet to a long-term macro hedge — particularly in an era of waning U.S. global dominance.

由於受管制ETF的交易和對比特幣作為避風港資產的不斷發展的看法，海斯認為，數字貨幣正在從投機性賭注過渡到長期的宏觀對沖，尤其是在美國全球統治地位的時代。

"It's really a perfect storm for Bitcoin. We're also now seeing Bitcoin enter the institutional mainstream in a big way with the status of a strategic reserve asset, which is really the last figment of Bitcoin optimism that we need to see play out for the price to really, truly, massively increase."

“對於比特幣來說，這確實是一場完美的風暴。我們現在也看到比特幣以戰略儲備資產的狀態以很大的方式進入機構主流，這確實是比特幣樂觀的最後一個小數字，我們需要看到，這是真正，真正，大量增長的價格。”

According to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, the macroeconomic trends and shifting narratives create a unique environment where Bitcoin could experience a "generational wealth transfer" over the next few years.

根據Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes的說法，宏觀經濟趨勢和敘事的變化創造了一個獨特的環境，比特幣在未來幾年內可以體驗“世代相傳的財富轉移”。