亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）表示，到2028年底，比特幣（BTC）價格將超過100萬美元。

到2028年底

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is set to surge to over US$1 million (AU$1.55 million) by the end of 2028, according to Arthur Hayes, the outspoken co-founder and former CEO of crypto exchange BitMex.

Crypto Exchange Bitmex的前首席執行官Arthur Hayes表示，到2028年底，比特幣（BTC）的價格將在2028年底上漲至155萬美元以上（AU 155萬美元）。

In a May 15 blog post, Hayes explained his theory that global economic conditions are aligning to create a perfect storm that could see Bitcoin’s price explode. In particular, Hayes argues that “foreign capital repatriation” and the “devaluation” of US Treasuries will drive investors to Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, as other more traditional asset classes begin to struggle.

在5月15日的博客文章中，海斯解釋說，他的理論是，全球經濟狀況正在保持一致，以創造一場完美的風暴，可以看到比特幣的價格爆炸。海耶斯特別認為，隨著其他更傳統的資產類別開始掙扎，“外國資本遣返”和美國國債的“貶值”將推動投資者作為避風港的資產。

This flight to Bitcoin will occur before the end of 2028 because that’s when the next US presidential election takes place, according to the former BitMex chief, who said now is the time for investors to take their chances on Bitcoin while the pro-crypto Trump administration remains in power.

前比特梅克斯負責人說，飛往比特幣的航班將發生在2028年底之前，因為這是下一次美國總統大選發生的時候，據前比特梅克斯負責人說，現在是投資者在比特幣上奪取機會的時候了，而親克萊特托·特朗普政府仍在執政。

“We know that Team Trump views Bitcoin positively due to the changes initiated at the various regulatory agencies. We also know that they are aware of the Chinese population’s participation in Bitcoin, which bodes well for the cryptocurrency in the long run because the Chinese government is an economic powerhouse and its citizens are quick to adopt new technologies and trends. Finally, we can assume that they are not blind to the growing interest in Bitcoin among younger generations in the US and around the world,” Hayes wrote.

“我們知道，由於各個監管機構的變化，特朗普團隊對比特幣產生了積極的看法。我們也知道他們意識到中國人口對比特幣的參與，從長遠來看，這對中國的加密貨幣來說是一個很好的體現，因為中國政府是經濟的強國，其公民及其在各個方面都不斷提高新技術和趨勢。世界，”海斯寫道。

“Therefore, I believe that the Trump administration would be supportive of anything that could benefit the American people economically, especially during a time of crisis. Allowing Americans to use the Bitcoin global capital life boat would certainly be viewed favorably by the administration, especially if it meant saving the country from a macroeconomic collapse.”

“因此，我認為，特朗普政府將支持任何可以從經濟上受益的人，尤其是在危機時期。允許美國人使用比特幣全球資本救生艇，肯定會受到政府的優勢，特別是如果這意味著拯救國家免於宏觀經濟崩潰。”

Global Economic Policies Will Push Investors Towards Bitcoin, Says Hayes

海耶斯說，全球經濟政策將使投資者推向比特幣。

According to Hayes, macroeconomic factors such as the war in Ukraine, the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and the Chinese government's economic priorities are converging to create an environment where traditional financial assets, such as US treasuries, will be devalued.

據海斯說，諸如烏克蘭戰爭，美聯儲的貨幣政策以及中國政府的經濟重點等宏觀經濟因素正在匯聚，以創造一個環境，在這種環境中，將貶低傳統的金融資產，例如美國財政部。

This devaluation will lead to governments implementing “capital controls” to prioritize investment in their domestic industries and prop up their economies, which will also limit investors' access to foreign investments. However, Hayes said that this will not apply to Bitcoin.

這種貶值將導致政府實施“資本管制”，以優先考慮其國內行業的投資並支持其經濟，這也將限制投資者對外國投資的機會。但是，海斯說，這不適用於比特幣。

“As long as there is the internet, you will be able to sell fiat for Bitcoin. Even if centralized exchanges are banned, or banks are forbidden from processing Bitcoin-related transactions, you will still be able to exchange fiat for Bitcoin. I am confident of this because of how things work in China,” he said.

他說：“只要有互聯網，您就可以出售比特幣的菲亞特。即使禁止了集中式交易，或者禁止銀行處理與比特幣相關的交易，您仍然能夠對比特幣進行交換。我對中國工作的方式有信心，”他說。

China has effectively banned Bitcoin trading since 2017, but Chinese investors still trade Bitcoin peer-to-peer as the government has limited power to control this kind of trading.

自2017年以來，中國有效地禁止了比特幣交易，但中國投資者仍在交易比特幣對等交易，因為政府對控制這種交易的權力有限。

“If the Trump administration wanted to prevent the American people from using the Bitcoin life boat, they would have to intervene directly and ban cryptocurrencies entirely, which seems unlikely given their previous statements and actions. After all, why would they want to stop the American people from accessing a useful asset class that could help them during a time of need?” said Hayes.

“如果特朗普政府想防止美國人民使用比特幣救生艇，他們將不得不直接進行干預並完全禁止加密貨幣，這似乎不太可能考慮到他們以前的陳述和行動。畢竟，為什麼他們願意阻止美國人民獲得有用的資產類別，以便在需要時可以幫助他們？”海斯說。

“The time is now to make hay while the sun king takes a shine to Bitcoin. We can only hope that he continues to do so, and that we, the subjects of his reign, will be able to benefit from his favor.”

“現在是時候製作乾草了，而太陽國王則對比特幣發光了。我們只能希望他繼續這樣做，而我們統治的主題我們將能夠從他的支持中受益。”

Of course, there’s no shortage of high-profile crypto investors happy to tell you what they think the future holds. Last September, Michael Saylor — perhaps the world’s most bullish Bitcoin bull — predicted a Bitcoin price of US$13 million (AU$20.3 million) within 20 years. And last March, Cathie Wood, the CEO of Ark Invest, disclosed that her company now forecasts Bitcoin breaking US$1 million before 2030.

當然，不乏備受矚目的加密投資者很樂意告訴您他們認為未來的情況。去年9月，邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）（也許是世界上最看漲的比特幣公牛）預測，比特幣價格在20年內將在1300萬美元（2030萬美元）。去年三月，方舟投資首席執行官凱西·伍德（Cathie Wood）透露，她的公司現在預測比特幣將在2030年之前打破100萬美元。