亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）表示，到2028年底，比特币（BTC）价格将超过100万美元。

到2028年底

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is set to surge to over US$1 million (AU$1.55 million) by the end of 2028, according to Arthur Hayes, the outspoken co-founder and former CEO of crypto exchange BitMex.

Crypto Exchange Bitmex的前首席执行官Arthur Hayes表示，到2028年底，比特币（BTC）的价格将在2028年底上涨至155万美元以上（AU 155万美元）。

In a May 15 blog post, Hayes explained his theory that global economic conditions are aligning to create a perfect storm that could see Bitcoin’s price explode. In particular, Hayes argues that “foreign capital repatriation” and the “devaluation” of US Treasuries will drive investors to Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, as other more traditional asset classes begin to struggle.

在5月15日的博客文章中，海斯解释说，他的理论是，全球经济状况正在保持一致，以创造一场完美的风暴，可以看到比特币的价格爆炸。海耶斯特别认为，随着其他更传统的资产类别开始挣扎，“外国资本遣返”和美国国债的“贬值”将推动投资者作为避风港的资产。

This flight to Bitcoin will occur before the end of 2028 because that’s when the next US presidential election takes place, according to the former BitMex chief, who said now is the time for investors to take their chances on Bitcoin while the pro-crypto Trump administration remains in power.

前比特梅克斯负责人说，飞往比特币的航班将发生在2028年底之前，因为这是下一次美国总统大选发生的时候，据前比特梅克斯负责人说，现在是投资者在比特币上夺取机会的时候了，而亲克莱特托·特朗普政府仍在执政。

“We know that Team Trump views Bitcoin positively due to the changes initiated at the various regulatory agencies. We also know that they are aware of the Chinese population’s participation in Bitcoin, which bodes well for the cryptocurrency in the long run because the Chinese government is an economic powerhouse and its citizens are quick to adopt new technologies and trends. Finally, we can assume that they are not blind to the growing interest in Bitcoin among younger generations in the US and around the world,” Hayes wrote.

“我们知道，由于各个监管机构的变化，特朗普团队对比特币产生了积极的看法。我们也知道他们意识到中国人口对比特币的参与，从长远来看，这对中国的加密货币来说是一个很好的体现，因为中国政府是经济的强国，其公民及其在各个方面都不断提高新技术和趋势。世界，”海斯写道。

“Therefore, I believe that the Trump administration would be supportive of anything that could benefit the American people economically, especially during a time of crisis. Allowing Americans to use the Bitcoin global capital life boat would certainly be viewed favorably by the administration, especially if it meant saving the country from a macroeconomic collapse.”

“因此，我认为，特朗普政府将支持任何可以从经济上受益的人，尤其是在危机时期。允许美国人使用比特币全球资本救生艇，肯定会受到政府的优势，特别是如果这意味着拯救国家免于宏观经济崩溃。”

Global Economic Policies Will Push Investors Towards Bitcoin, Says Hayes

海耶斯说，全球经济政策将使投资者推向比特币。

According to Hayes, macroeconomic factors such as the war in Ukraine, the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and the Chinese government's economic priorities are converging to create an environment where traditional financial assets, such as US treasuries, will be devalued.

据海斯说，诸如乌克兰战争，美联储的货币政策以及中国政府的经济重点等宏观经济因素正在汇聚，以创造一个环境，在这种环境中，将贬低传统的金融资产，例如美国财政部。

This devaluation will lead to governments implementing “capital controls” to prioritize investment in their domestic industries and prop up their economies, which will also limit investors' access to foreign investments. However, Hayes said that this will not apply to Bitcoin.

这种贬值将导致政府实施“资本管制”，以优先考虑其国内行业的投资并支持其经济，这也将限制投资者对外国投资的机会。但是，海斯说，这不适用于比特币。

“As long as there is the internet, you will be able to sell fiat for Bitcoin. Even if centralized exchanges are banned, or banks are forbidden from processing Bitcoin-related transactions, you will still be able to exchange fiat for Bitcoin. I am confident of this because of how things work in China,” he said.

他说：“只要有互联网，您就可以出售比特币的菲亚特。即使禁止了集中式交易，或者禁止银行处理与比特币相关的交易，您仍然能够对比特币进行交换。我对中国工作的方式有信心，”他说。

China has effectively banned Bitcoin trading since 2017, but Chinese investors still trade Bitcoin peer-to-peer as the government has limited power to control this kind of trading.

自2017年以来，中国有效地禁止了比特币交易，但中国投资者仍在交易比特币对等交易，因为政府对控制这种交易的权力有限。

“If the Trump administration wanted to prevent the American people from using the Bitcoin life boat, they would have to intervene directly and ban cryptocurrencies entirely, which seems unlikely given their previous statements and actions. After all, why would they want to stop the American people from accessing a useful asset class that could help them during a time of need?” said Hayes.

“如果特朗普政府想防止美国人民使用比特币救生艇，他们将不得不直接进行干预并完全禁止加密货币，这似乎不太可能考虑到他们以前的陈述和行动。毕竟，为什么他们愿意阻止美国人民获得有用的资产类别，以便在需要时可以帮助他们？”海斯说。

“The time is now to make hay while the sun king takes a shine to Bitcoin. We can only hope that he continues to do so, and that we, the subjects of his reign, will be able to benefit from his favor.”

“现在是时候制作干草了，而太阳国王则对比特币发光了。我们只能希望他继续这样做，而我们统治的主题我们将能够从他的支持中受益。”

Of course, there’s no shortage of high-profile crypto investors happy to tell you what they think the future holds. Last September, Michael Saylor — perhaps the world’s most bullish Bitcoin bull — predicted a Bitcoin price of US$13 million (AU$20.3 million) within 20 years. And last March, Cathie Wood, the CEO of Ark Invest, disclosed that her company now forecasts Bitcoin breaking US$1 million before 2030.

当然，不乏备受瞩目的加密投资者很乐意告诉您他们认为未来的情况。去年9月，迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）（也许是世界上最看涨的比特币公牛）预测，比特币价格在20年内将在1300万美元（2030万美元）。去年三月，方舟投资首席执行官凯西·伍德（Cathie Wood）透露，她的公司现在预测比特币将在2030年之前打破100万美元。