今天的比特幣（BTC）價格：BTC爆炸超過$ 104,000，目標$ 109,396電阻

當今的比特幣價格略高於104,000美元，這標誌著本週早期的低點接近101,300美元的關鍵恢復。

Bitcoin price today is trading just above $104,000, marking a critical recovery from the week’s earlier lows near $101,300. After consolidating within a descending triangle on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin price action finally broke to the upside, reclaiming key short-term EMAs and inching toward the resistance cluster near $104,900.

當今的比特幣價格略高於104,000美元，這標誌著本週早期的低點接近101,300美元的重大回收率。在4小時圖表上的下降三角形中合併後，比特幣的價格動作終於破壞了上行，收回了關鍵的短期EMAS，並朝著抵抗群集邁進了104,900美元。

However, despite the breakout, bullish momentum has not followed through strongly, as Bitcoin price volatility remains subdued below the Fibonacci resistance and daily highs. The current structure suggests a delicate balance between renewed optimism and overhead supply, especially as the market navigates macroeconomic uncertainty and cooling momentum signals.

然而，儘管突破了，但看漲的勢頭並未強烈遵循，因為比特幣價格波動率仍然低於斐波那契的抵抗力和每日高點。當前的結構表明，新的樂觀和間接費用之間的平衡是微妙的平衡，尤其是當市場導航宏觀經濟不確定性和冷卻動量信號時。

Bitcoin Price 4H Chart: Breakout Confirmed, But Is It Sustainable?

比特幣價格4H圖表：突破證實，但是可持續嗎？

On the 4-hour chart, BTC broke above a downward sloping triangle, with price retesting the $104,000 zone and briefly spiking toward $104,200. This confirms a bullish breakout, as noted by the double trendline break visible on both the 30-min and 4H setups.

在4小時的圖表上，BTC在下降的三角形上方打破，價格重新測試了104,000美元，並短暫飆升至104,200美元。這證實了看漲的突破，正如在30分鐘和4H設置上可見的雙重趨勢突破所指出的那樣。

Still, upside is facing friction. The 0.786 Fib zone from the weekly retracement lies just overhead near $104,900, which aligns with the upper Bollinger Band and red resistance zone on multiple intraday charts.

儘管如此，上升空間仍面臨摩擦。每週回撤的0.786 FIB區域位於$ 104,900附近的頭頂，與上布林帶和紅色阻力區一致，並在多個盤中圖上與紅色阻力區保持一致。

The price remains above the 20/50/100/200 EMAs (with the 20-EMA at $103,350), signaling underlying bullish structure — but the breakout is losing follow-through.

價格保持在20/50/100/200 EMAS（20-EMA為$ 103,350）之上，這是基本的看漲結構的信號 - 但突破正在失去後續。

Meanwhile, Stochastic RSI on the 4H chart has entered overbought territory (87.87), which may suggest some short-term exhaustion unless backed by strong volume.

同時，4H圖表上的隨機RSI進入了過多的領土（87.87），除非得到強量的支持，否則這可能暗示一些短期疲憊。

Bitcoin Price Daily Chart: Still Bullish but Overextended Near Fib Cluster

比特幣價格每日圖表：仍然看漲，但在Fib群集附近過度擴張

The daily timeframe remains structurally bullish, with BTC having cleanly broke above $100,000 and establishing higher lows from the $96,000 support zone. The Bitcoin price update on May 16 shows candles consolidating below weekly highs with a clear resistance zone capping price at $104,900-$105,000.

每日時間框架仍然在結構上看漲，而BTC則在100,000美元以上打破了100,000美元，並從96,000美元的支持區建立了更高的低點。 5月16日的比特幣價格更新顯示，蠟燭鞏固了以下每周高點，電阻區的上限價格為104,900-105,000美元。

Weekly Fibonacci levels from the December 2024 high to March 2025 low suggest the next significant resistance at 0.786 near $104,919, and further above, the 1.0 level near $109,396, which may act as a final bullish target if momentum resumes.

從2024年12月高到2025年3月的每週斐波那契水平，低於$ 104,919的下一個明顯阻力，並在104,919美元的範圍內，1.0級別接近109,396美元，如果動量恢復，這可能是最終的看漲目標。

However, any dip below the reclaimed trendline near $101,300 would invalidate the bullish breakout. For now, buyers continue to defend that level with conviction.

但是，任何低於回收的趨勢線接近101,300美元的下降都將使看漲的突破無效。目前，買家繼續以定罪來捍衛這一水平。

Bitcoin Price Indicators: RSI Cooling Off, MACD Holding, Momentum Mixed

比特幣價格指標：RSI冷卻，MACD持有，動量混合

The 30-min RSI is currently at 58.91, having hit a high of 60.17, which indicates neutral-to-bullish strength without being overbought. On the same chart, MACD remains positive but has flattened out (+287.31 vs. +274), pointing to waning momentum in the short term.

30分鐘的RSI目前為58.91，達到60.17的高度，表明中性的強度而沒有被過分購買。在同一張圖表上，MACD保持積極狀態，但已扁平化（+287.31 vs. +274），指出短期內的勢頭。

On higher timeframes, the Ichimoku cloud on the 4H chart shows BTC decisively above the Kumo, with Tenkan at $104,051 and Kijun at $103,109, offering short-term dynamic support. However, the flat Kumo top may act as resistance if upside weakens again.

在較高的時間範圍內，4H圖表上的Ichimoku雲在庫莫（Kumo）上方果斷地顯示了BTC，Tenkan的價格為104,051美元，Kijun為103,109美元，提供了短期動態支持。但是，如果上升再次削弱，則平坦的kumo頂部可能起到阻力。

Why Bitcoin Price Going Up Today?

為什麼今天的比特幣價格上漲？

The question of why Bitcoin price going up today can be traced to the technical reclaim of key intraday EMAs, breakout from a falling triangle, and bullish confirmation on the Ichimoku cloud.

為什麼今天的比特幣價格上漲的問題可以追溯到關鍵的日內EMAS的技術回收，從三角形下降的突破以及對Ichimoku Cloud的看漲確認。

The combination of rising EMAs and narrowing Bollinger Bands had hinted at a potential breakout — and bulls delivered. However, follow-through is now dependent on breaking the psychological barrier and sustaining volume-backed moves.

崛起的EMAS和狹窄的Bollinger樂隊的結合暗示了潛在的突破，並且公牛交付了。但是，隨後的直接取決於打破心理障礙和持續支持的動作。

May 17 Outlook: Can BTC Price Close Above $105K?

5月17日Outlook：BTC價格可以關閉超過$ 105K嗎？

Looking ahead, bulls must defend $103,350-$103,800 to prevent a reversion to the mean. If BTC can hold above the 4H trendline and reclaim $104,900, the path toward $106,000 and $109,000 (weekly high) opens. On the downside, a rejection could drag price back toward $101,300, or worse, $99,600, where the 100-EMA sits.

展望未來，公牛必須為$ 103,350- $ 103,800辯護，以防止均值恢復。如果BTC可以持有超過4H趨勢線並收回$ 104,900，則通往106,000美元的道路和109,000美元（每周高）開放。不利的一面是，拒絕可能會將價格拖回101,300美元，或更糟糕的是，$ 99,600，位於100-EMA所在的地方。

For now, Bitcoin holds a bullish bias, but with decreasing momentum, buyers must remain cautious and watch for strong reaction near Fib and trendline resistances.

目前，比特幣具有看漲的偏見，但隨著勢頭的降低，買家必須保持謹慎，並關注Fib和趨勢線阻力的強烈反應。