今天的比特币（BTC）价格：BTC爆炸超过$ 104,000，目标$ 109,396电阻

当今的比特币价格略高于104,000美元，这标志着本周早期的低点接近101,300美元的关键恢复。

Bitcoin price today is trading just above $104,000, marking a critical recovery from the week’s earlier lows near $101,300. After consolidating within a descending triangle on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin price action finally broke to the upside, reclaiming key short-term EMAs and inching toward the resistance cluster near $104,900.

当今的比特币价格略高于104,000美元，这标志着本周早期的低点接近101,300美元的重大回收率。在4小时图表上的下降三角形中合并后，比特币的价格动作终于破坏了上行，收回了关键的短期EMAS，并朝着抵抗群集迈进了104,900美元。

However, despite the breakout, bullish momentum has not followed through strongly, as Bitcoin price volatility remains subdued below the Fibonacci resistance and daily highs. The current structure suggests a delicate balance between renewed optimism and overhead supply, especially as the market navigates macroeconomic uncertainty and cooling momentum signals.

然而，尽管突破了，但看涨的势头并未强烈遵循，因为比特币价格波动率仍然低于斐波那契的抵抗力和每日高点。当前的结构表明，新的乐观和间接费用之间的平衡是微妙的平衡，尤其是当市场导航宏观经济不确定性和冷却动量信号时。

Bitcoin Price 4H Chart: Breakout Confirmed, But Is It Sustainable?

比特币价格4H图表：突破证实，但是可持续吗？

On the 4-hour chart, BTC broke above a downward sloping triangle, with price retesting the $104,000 zone and briefly spiking toward $104,200. This confirms a bullish breakout, as noted by the double trendline break visible on both the 30-min and 4H setups.

在4小时的图表上，BTC在下降的三角形上方打破，价格重新测试了104,000美元，并短暂飙升至104,200美元。这证实了看涨的突破，正如在30分钟和4H设置上可见的双重趋势突破所指出的那样。

Still, upside is facing friction. The 0.786 Fib zone from the weekly retracement lies just overhead near $104,900, which aligns with the upper Bollinger Band and red resistance zone on multiple intraday charts.

尽管如此，上升空间仍面临摩擦。每周回撤的0.786 FIB区域位于$ 104,900附近的头顶，与上布林带和红色阻力区一致，并在多个盘中图上与红色阻力区保持一致。

The price remains above the 20/50/100/200 EMAs (with the 20-EMA at $103,350), signaling underlying bullish structure — but the breakout is losing follow-through.

价格保持在20/50/100/200 EMAS（20-EMA为$ 103,350）之上，这是基本的看涨结构的信号 - 但突破正在失去后续。

Meanwhile, Stochastic RSI on the 4H chart has entered overbought territory (87.87), which may suggest some short-term exhaustion unless backed by strong volume.

同时，4H图表上的随机RSI进入了过多的领土（87.87），除非得到强量的支持，否则这可能暗示一些短期疲惫。

Bitcoin Price Daily Chart: Still Bullish but Overextended Near Fib Cluster

比特币价格每日图表：仍然看涨，但在Fib群集附近过度扩张

The daily timeframe remains structurally bullish, with BTC having cleanly broke above $100,000 and establishing higher lows from the $96,000 support zone. The Bitcoin price update on May 16 shows candles consolidating below weekly highs with a clear resistance zone capping price at $104,900-$105,000.

每日时间框架仍然在结构上看涨，而BTC则在100,000美元以上打破了100,000美元，并从96,000美元的支持区建立了更高的低点。 5月16日的比特币价格更新显示，蜡烛巩固了以下每周高点，电阻区的上限价格为104,900-105,000美元。

Weekly Fibonacci levels from the December 2024 high to March 2025 low suggest the next significant resistance at 0.786 near $104,919, and further above, the 1.0 level near $109,396, which may act as a final bullish target if momentum resumes.

从2024年12月高到2025年3月的每周斐波那契水平，低于$ 104,919的下一个明显阻力，并在104,919美元的范围内，1.0级别接近109,396美元，如果动量恢复，这可能是最终的看涨目标。

However, any dip below the reclaimed trendline near $101,300 would invalidate the bullish breakout. For now, buyers continue to defend that level with conviction.

但是，任何低于回收的趋势线接近101,300美元的下降都将使看涨的突破无效。目前，买家继续以定罪来捍卫这一水平。

Bitcoin Price Indicators: RSI Cooling Off, MACD Holding, Momentum Mixed

比特币价格指标：RSI冷却，MACD持有，动量混合

The 30-min RSI is currently at 58.91, having hit a high of 60.17, which indicates neutral-to-bullish strength without being overbought. On the same chart, MACD remains positive but has flattened out (+287.31 vs. +274), pointing to waning momentum in the short term.

30分钟的RSI目前为58.91，达到60.17的高度，表明中性的强度而没有被过分购买。在同一张图表上，MACD保持积极状态，但已扁平化（+287.31 vs. +274），指出短期内的势头。

On higher timeframes, the Ichimoku cloud on the 4H chart shows BTC decisively above the Kumo, with Tenkan at $104,051 and Kijun at $103,109, offering short-term dynamic support. However, the flat Kumo top may act as resistance if upside weakens again.

在较高的时间范围内，4H图表上的Ichimoku云在库莫（Kumo）上方果断地显示了BTC，Tenkan的价格为104,051美元，Kijun为103,109美元，提供了短期动态支持。但是，如果上升再次削弱，则平坦的kumo顶部可能起到阻力。

Why Bitcoin Price Going Up Today?

为什么今天的比特币价格上涨？

The question of why Bitcoin price going up today can be traced to the technical reclaim of key intraday EMAs, breakout from a falling triangle, and bullish confirmation on the Ichimoku cloud.

为什么今天的比特币价格上涨的问题可以追溯到关键的日内EMAS的技术回收，从三角形下降的突破以及对Ichimoku Cloud的看涨确认。

The combination of rising EMAs and narrowing Bollinger Bands had hinted at a potential breakout — and bulls delivered. However, follow-through is now dependent on breaking the psychological barrier and sustaining volume-backed moves.

崛起的EMAS和狭窄的Bollinger乐队的结合暗示了潜在的突破，并且公牛交付了。但是，随后的直接取决于打破心理障碍和持续支持的动作。

May 17 Outlook: Can BTC Price Close Above $105K?

5月17日Outlook：BTC价格可以关闭超过$ 105K吗？

Looking ahead, bulls must defend $103,350-$103,800 to prevent a reversion to the mean. If BTC can hold above the 4H trendline and reclaim $104,900, the path toward $106,000 and $109,000 (weekly high) opens. On the downside, a rejection could drag price back toward $101,300, or worse, $99,600, where the 100-EMA sits.

展望未来，公牛必须为$ 103,350- $ 103,800辩护，以防止均值恢复。如果BTC可以持有超过4H趋势线并收回$ 104,900，则通往106,000美元的道路和109,000美元（每周高）开放。不利的一面是，拒绝可能会将价格拖回101,300美元，或更糟糕的是，$ 99,600，位于100-EMA所在的地方。

For now, Bitcoin holds a bullish bias, but with decreasing momentum, buyers must remain cautious and watch for strong reaction near Fib and trendline resistances.

目前，比特币具有看涨的偏见，但随着势头的降低，买家必须保持谨慎，并关注Fib和趋势线阻力的强烈反应。