Polkadot（DOT）价格预测：当前的价格行动和市场结构

Polkadot（DOT）的日子更好。曾经被誉为核心级别的0层基础设施令牌，其最近的价格行动使许多贸易商处于边缘状态。

Polkadot (DOT) price has seen better days. Once touted as a core Layer-0 infrastructure token, its recent price action has left many traders on edge.

Polkadot（DOT）价格已经过了更好的日子。一旦被吹捧为核心层的0层基础架构令牌，其最近的价格行动使许多交易者处于边缘状态。

As May 12, 2025 unfolds, DOT is sitting at a critical support level after a multi-week consolidation and a sharp recent dip. With trading volume unfolding and moving averages pointing downward, investors are asking : is DOT price preparing for a rebound, or will the support finally give way?

随着2025年5月12日的展开，DOT经过多周的合并和最近的急剧下降后，DOT正处于关键的支持水平。随着交易量的展开和移动平均值向下指向，投资者在问：点价格是为篮板做准备，还是支持最终会给你吗？

Polkadot Price Prediction: Current Price Action and Market Structure

Polkadot价格预测：当前的价格行动和市场结构

As of the latest candle close, DOT is trading around $3.98, with hourly charts revealing sustained selling pressure. The price has decisively broken below the short-term support range around $4.10, and has lost grip of all key short-term moving averages (20, 50, and 100 SMA). The hourly 200 SMA, which often acts as the final defense for bullish momentum, is well above the price at $4.16 — now serving as stiff resistance.

截至最新的蜡烛关闭时，DOT的交易约为3.98美元，每小时图表显示持续的销售压力。该价格已果断地低于短期支持范围约4.10美元，并且失去了所有主要的短期移动平均值（20、50和100 SMA）的控制。每小时200 SMA通常是看涨势头的最终防御，远高于4.16美元的价格，现在具有僵硬的抵抗力。

On the daily chart, DOT price rejection from the 100 SMA (currently at $4.48) capped the recent rally. The 50 SMA is currently positioned at $4.06, and the price is now sitting just below it. This confluence suggests a weakening bullish structure with an increasing risk of further decline if DOT closes a few more candles below $4.00.

在每日图表上，DOT价格拒绝的100 SMA（目前为$ 4.48）封顶了最近的集会。目前，50 SMA的价格为4.06美元，现在的价格位于其下方。这种融合表明，如果DOT关闭了一些低于$ 4.00的蜡烛，则其看涨结构减弱，进一步下降的风险增加。

Volume and ADL Analysis: Bearish Divergence

数量和ADL分析：看跌差异

Looking at the Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL), DOT shows a concerning pattern. Despite slight upticks in price during late April, the ADL failed to make a corresponding higher high. This divergence signals that smart money may be exiting positions during price relief rallies. On the hourly chart, the ADL continues its slow descent, confirming that bearish sentiment is currently stronger than what surface-level price action suggests.

查看累积/分布线（ADL），DOT显示出有关模式。尽管4月下旬的价格略有上涨，但ADL仍未获得相应的高高。这种差异表明，智能货币可能会在价格释放集会期间退出职位。在每小时图表上，ADL继续下降缓慢，证实看跌的情绪目前比表面级别的价格动作更强大。

Volume has also dried up, meaning there's little conviction from buyers to defend the $4 mark. Unless a catalyst emerges to spike demand, this stagnation may lead to a stronger downside move in the coming sessions.

数量也已经干燥，这意味着买家几乎没有信念$ 4。除非出现催化剂的需求催化剂，否则这种停滞可能会导致即将到来的会议中更强大的下行行动。

Key Support and Resistance Levels

关键支持和阻力水平

Polkadot Price Prediction: Bounce or Breakdown?

Polkadot价格预测：反弹还是崩溃？

The broader chart structure indicates that Polkadot price is at a decision point. If DOT price loses the $3.90 support with volume, it could swiftly drop to $3.60 or even test $3.30 — a level not seen since Q1 2023. However, if bulls manage to reclaim $4.10 and sustain above the 50 and 100 daily SMA, a short-term rally to $4.50 or even $5.00 becomes plausible, especially if the crypto market as a whole regains momentum.

更广泛的图表结构表明Polkadot价格处于决策点。如果Dot Price在数量下损失了3.90美元的支持，则可能会迅速降至3.60美元，甚至可以测试3.30美元，这是第1季度2023年以来未见的水平。但是，如果公牛设法收回$ 4.10并维持超过50和100的每日SMA，那么短期内的涨幅，即$ 4.50，甚至$ 5.00，甚至$ 5.00，尤其是Plaaus-aussible，尤其是Crypto Market as a Prepto Market as a Play ant the Regpto Mange and Anter Anter Anty Momentsmym Moment and Anter Anmy Momment ang Alty Moment ang Anty Momment。

Momentum indicators on lower timeframes hint at a possible oversold bounce, but without volume confirmation, any relief may be short-lived.

较低时间范围的动量指标暗示可能会超出弹跳，但没有数量确认，任何救济都可能是短暂的。

Polkadot Price May Outlook

Polkadot价格可能会前景

May could be make-or-break for DOT price. The current technical landscape suggests caution, as Polkadot price is at risk of losing its footing. However, these conditions also often precede strong reversal rallies — if bulls show up. A decisive reclaim of $4.10 would flip the script in favor of buyers, while sustained weakness below $3.90 could open the floodgates for deeper losses.

可能是DOT价格的成败。当前的技术格局表明谨慎，因为Polkadot的价格有失去立足点的风险。但是，如果公牛出现，这些条件也经常在强烈的逆转集会之前。 $ 4.10的决定性收回将使剧本转向买家，而低于3.90美元的持续弱点可以打开闸门，以实现更深入的损失。