Polkadot（DOT）價格預測：當前的價格行動和市場結構

Polkadot（DOT）的日子更好。曾經被譽為核心級別的0層基礎設施令牌，其最近的價格行動使許多貿易商處於邊緣狀態。

Polkadot (DOT) price has seen better days. Once touted as a core Layer-0 infrastructure token, its recent price action has left many traders on edge.

Polkadot（DOT）價格已經過了更好的日子。一旦被吹捧為核心層的0層基礎架構令牌，其最近的價格行動使許多交易者處於邊緣狀態。

As May 12, 2025 unfolds, DOT is sitting at a critical support level after a multi-week consolidation and a sharp recent dip. With trading volume unfolding and moving averages pointing downward, investors are asking : is DOT price preparing for a rebound, or will the support finally give way?

隨著2025年5月12日的展開，DOT經過多周的合併和最近的急劇下降後，DOT正處於關鍵的支持水平。隨著交易量的展開和移動平均值向下指向，投資者在問：點價格是為籃板做準備，還是支持最終會給你嗎？

Polkadot Price Prediction: Current Price Action and Market Structure

Polkadot價格預測：當前的價格行動和市場結構

As of the latest candle close, DOT is trading around $3.98, with hourly charts revealing sustained selling pressure. The price has decisively broken below the short-term support range around $4.10, and has lost grip of all key short-term moving averages (20, 50, and 100 SMA). The hourly 200 SMA, which often acts as the final defense for bullish momentum, is well above the price at $4.16 — now serving as stiff resistance.

截至最新的蠟燭關閉時，DOT的交易約為3.98美元，每小時圖表顯示持續的銷售壓力。該價格已果斷地低於短期支持範圍約4.10美元，並且失去了所有主要的短期移動平均值（20、50和100 SMA）的控制。每小時200 SMA通常是看漲勢頭的最終防禦，遠高於4.16美元的價格，現在具有僵硬的抵抗力。

On the daily chart, DOT price rejection from the 100 SMA (currently at $4.48) capped the recent rally. The 50 SMA is currently positioned at $4.06, and the price is now sitting just below it. This confluence suggests a weakening bullish structure with an increasing risk of further decline if DOT closes a few more candles below $4.00.

在每日圖表上，DOT價格拒絕的100 SMA（目前為$ 4.48）封頂了最近的集會。目前，50 SMA的價格為4.06美元，現在的價格位於其下方。這種融合表明，如果DOT關閉了一些低於$ 4.00的蠟燭，則其看漲結構減弱，進一步下降的風險增加。

Volume and ADL Analysis: Bearish Divergence

數量和ADL分析：看跌差異

Looking at the Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL), DOT shows a concerning pattern. Despite slight upticks in price during late April, the ADL failed to make a corresponding higher high. This divergence signals that smart money may be exiting positions during price relief rallies. On the hourly chart, the ADL continues its slow descent, confirming that bearish sentiment is currently stronger than what surface-level price action suggests.

查看累積/分佈線（ADL），DOT顯示出有關模式。儘管4月下旬的價格略有上漲，但ADL仍未獲得相應的高高。這種差異表明，智能貨幣可能會在價格釋放集會期間退出職位。在每小時圖表上，ADL繼續下降緩慢，證實看跌的情緒目前比表面級別的價格動作更強大。

Volume has also dried up, meaning there's little conviction from buyers to defend the $4 mark. Unless a catalyst emerges to spike demand, this stagnation may lead to a stronger downside move in the coming sessions.

數量也已經乾燥，這意味著買家幾乎沒有信念$ 4。除非出現催化劑的需求催化劑，否則這種停滯可能會導致即將到來的會議中更強大的下行行動。

Key Support and Resistance Levels

關鍵支持和阻力水平

Polkadot Price Prediction: Bounce or Breakdown?

Polkadot價格預測：反彈還是崩潰？

The broader chart structure indicates that Polkadot price is at a decision point. If DOT price loses the $3.90 support with volume, it could swiftly drop to $3.60 or even test $3.30 — a level not seen since Q1 2023. However, if bulls manage to reclaim $4.10 and sustain above the 50 and 100 daily SMA, a short-term rally to $4.50 or even $5.00 becomes plausible, especially if the crypto market as a whole regains momentum.

更廣泛的圖表結構表明Polkadot價格處於決策點。如果Dot Price在數量下損失了3.90美元的支持，則可能會迅速降至3.60美元，甚至可以測試3.30美元，這是第1季度2023年以來未見的水平。但是，如果公牛設法收回$ 4.10並維持超過50和100的每日SMA，那麼短期內的漲幅，即$ 4.50，甚至$ 5.00，甚至$ 5.00，尤其是Plaaus-aussible，尤其是Crypto Market as a Prepto Market as a Play ant the Regpto Mange and Anter Anter Anty Momentsmym Moment and Anter Anmy Momment ang Alty Moment ang Anty Momment。

Momentum indicators on lower timeframes hint at a possible oversold bounce, but without volume confirmation, any relief may be short-lived.

較低時間範圍的動量指標暗示可能會超出彈跳，但沒有數量確認，任何救濟都可能是短暫的。

Polkadot Price May Outlook

Polkadot價格可能會前景

May could be make-or-break for DOT price. The current technical landscape suggests caution, as Polkadot price is at risk of losing its footing. However, these conditions also often precede strong reversal rallies — if bulls show up. A decisive reclaim of $4.10 would flip the script in favor of buyers, while sustained weakness below $3.90 could open the floodgates for deeper losses.

可能是DOT價格的成敗。當前的技術格局表明謹慎，因為Polkadot的價格有失去立足點的風險。但是，如果公牛出現，這些條件也經常在強烈的逆轉集會之前。 $ 4.10的決定性收回將使劇本轉向買家，而低於3.90美元的持續弱點可以打開閘門，以實現更深入的損失。