Dogecoin（Doge）价格显示了一周的销售压力后恢复的迹象

在销售压力和市场不确定性一周之后，Doge Price显示出恢复的迹象。滑到$ 0.1750之后

Dogecoin (DOGE) price has shown signs of recovery following a week of selling pressure and market uncertainty. After slipping below the $0.1750 support zone earlier in May, the meme coin price rebounded sharply over the weekend.

Dogecoin（Doge）的价格显示了一周的销售压力和市场不确定性后的恢复迹象。在5月初下跌低于0.1750美元的支持区后，模因硬币价格在周末急剧反弹。

Analysts and on-chain indicators are beginning to signal the formation of a local bottom and the possibility of a strong bullish reversal.

分析师和链上指标开始表明形成了局部底部，并可能出现强烈看涨的逆转。

Dogecoin Price Breaks Downtrend Channel and Retests $0.1750

Dogecoin价格破坏了下降频道并重新测试了$ 0.1750

On the hourly chart, DOGE price broke out of a defined descending channel, ending a short-term bearish trend that had weighed on prices for several days. The breakout occurred near $0.1720, a level marked by heavy intraday resistance. Following the breakout, Dogecoin price rallied past the $0.1750 level and now consolidates just above that zone.

在每小时图表上，Doge Price从定义的下降渠道中断出来，结束了短期的看跌趋势，几天的价格已经打算了价格。突破发生在$ 0.1720，这是一个以沉重的盘中电阻标记的水平。突破之后，Dogecoin Price越过了0.1750美元的水平，现在巩固了该区域的上方。

This breakout pattern was first identified by Trader Tardigrade, who pointed to the bullish structure on the one-hour timeframe. The move marked the first technical signal of strength for DOGE since its rejection from $0.182 in late April.

Trader Tardigrade首先确定了这种突破模式，他指出了一个小时的时间范围的看涨结构。此举标志着Doge自4月下旬拒绝$ 0.182以来的第一个技术信号。

According to current support levels, $0.1685 and $0.16 50 remain key downside zones to watch. Meanwhile, overhead resistance lies at $0.1780, $0.1850, and the $0.20 psychological level. If these levels are cleared, analysts suggest a mid-term path could form toward $0.50 and beyond.

根据当前的支持水平，$ 0.1685和0.16美元50仍然是要观看的关键下行区。同时，高架阻力为0.1780美元，0.1850美元和0.20美元的心理水平。如果清除了这些水平，分析师认为中期路径可能会形成$ 0.50及以上的$ 0.50。

Long-Term Analysts Point to Structural Bottom Formation on Dogecoin Price

长期分析师指出了狗果价格的结构底部形成

Additional bullish signals have emerged from long-term chart watchers. According to the Investments CEO, the DOGE/USDT weekly chart showeda clear higher low and a trendline retest. The analyst shared a chart indicating a projected breakout that may extend as high as $1.16 in the next major leg up, should the current setup hold.

长期观察者出现了其他看涨信号。据投资首席执行官称，Doge/USDT每周图表显示出更高的低点和趋势线的重新测试。分析师分享了一张图表，指示预计的突破，如果当前的设置持有，则在下一个主要工作中可能会延长高达1.16美元。

Echoing this view, pseudonymous analyst Astronomer noted that DOGE price may have already bottomed after establishing support near $0.165. Drawing comparisons to October 2020, when Dogecoin price rallied over 500%, the analyst highlighted a similar structure forming now. The thesis is based on high time-frame market cycles, with altcoins typically finding their lows shortly after Bitcoin does.

化名分析师天文学家回应了这一观点，指出，在建立支撑量接近0.165美元之后，Doge价格可能已经触底了。与2020年10月的绘图比较，当Dogecoin价格上涨500％以上时，分析师现在强调了类似的结构。该论文基于较高的时间框架市场周期，在比特币之后不久，Altcoins通常会发现其低点。

Astronomer added that spot holdings and defined risk zones near current levels make DOGE price an attractive asymmetric opportunity. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 2-day chart is also showing a mild bullish divergence, which often precedes trend reversals in such macro structures.

天文学家补充说，现货持有和在当前水平附近定义的风险区域使道门价格成为有吸引力的非对称机会。 2天图表上的相对强度指数（RSI）也显示出轻度的看涨差异，这通常是在此类宏结构中趋势逆转之前的。

Whale Activity Sparks Accumulation Speculation

鲸鱼活动激发积累猜测

Recent on-chain data further supports the possibility of renewed accumulation. A large transaction involving 100 million DOGE, worth approximately $17.5 million, was moved to a private wallet earlier this week. This transfer coincided with increased exchange outflows, often interpreted as a bullish signal when coins are moved off platforms for long-term storage.

最近的链上数据进一步支持了新的积累的可能性。一项涉及1亿个门槛的大型交易，价值约1750万美元，本周早些时候已转移到私人钱包。这种转移与增加的交换流出相吻合，当硬币从平台上移开以进行长期存储时，通常被解释为看涨信号。

While some wallet groups continue to show distribution patterns, particularly those holding 10 million to 100 million DOGE, wallets with larger holdings have reversed their behavior. Wallets with between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE resumed net buying since April 8th.

虽然一些钱包群体继续显示出分配方式，尤其是那些拥有1000万至1亿个门槛的人，但拥有较大持股的钱包却扭转了其行为。自4月8日以来，拥有1亿至10亿多名的钱包恢复了净购买。

The number of active addresses in the system has not increased a lot recently. Daily activity matches only 3.4% of the high mark from November 2023. The slow retail buying activity shows the retail market still faces challenges, while larger investors drive these latest price increases.

系统中的活动地址的数量最近没有增加很多。每日活动仅符合2023年11月起高分的3.4％。零售缓慢的购买活动表明，零售市场仍然面临挑战，而较大的投资者推动了这些最新价格上涨。

Metrics Show Divergence Between Cap and Realized Value

指标显示CAP和实现价值之间的分歧

Between early April and May 6, Dogecoin’s market capitalization rose from $21 billion to $26.4 billion. But the realized cap, which measures coins’ value according to their last move price, fell slightly from $21.5 billion to $21.3 billion.

在4月初至5月6日之间，Dogecoin的市值从210亿美元增至264亿美元。但是实现的上限根据其上次搬迁的价格来衡量硬币的价值，从215亿美元下降到213亿美元。

In particular, this divergence implies a portion of the recent increase of price is driven by speculative trades rather than by strong on-chain fundamentals. The rally is being held by conviction holders rather than widespread retail demand, as long-term holders have not significantly increased selling activity.

特别是，这种分歧意味着最近价格上涨的一部分是由投机行业而不是强大的链基本面驱动的。由于长期持有人没有显着增加销售活动，因此由定罪持有人而不是广泛的零售需求举行集会。

According to technical analysts, a strong breakout will only happen when DOGE price stays above $0.1850 and reaches $0.20 levels. A successful journey over $0.1850 would signal a path toward a technical retest of $0.28 to $0.30 and push the market towards $0.50 and $1.16 when all conditions turn bullish.

根据技术分析师的说法，只有在Doge价格保持在0.1850美元并达到0.20美元的水平时，才会发生强大的突破。超过$ 0.1850的成功旅程将指示通往0.28美元至0.30美元的技术重新测试的道路，并在所有条件变成看涨时，将市场推向0.50美元和1.16美元。