Dogecoin（Doge）價格顯示了一周的銷售壓力後恢復的跡象

在銷售壓力和市場不確定性一周之後，Doge Price顯示出恢復的跡象。滑到$ 0.1750之後

Dogecoin (DOGE) price has shown signs of recovery following a week of selling pressure and market uncertainty. After slipping below the $0.1750 support zone earlier in May, the meme coin price rebounded sharply over the weekend.

Dogecoin（Doge）的價格顯示了一周的銷售壓力和市場不確定性後的恢復跡象。在5月初下跌低於0.1750美元的支持區後，模因硬幣價格在周末急劇反彈。

Analysts and on-chain indicators are beginning to signal the formation of a local bottom and the possibility of a strong bullish reversal.

分析師和鏈上指標開始表明形成了局部底部，並可能出現強烈看漲的逆轉。

Dogecoin Price Breaks Downtrend Channel and Retests $0.1750

Dogecoin價格破壞了下降頻道並重新測試了$ 0.1750

On the hourly chart, DOGE price broke out of a defined descending channel, ending a short-term bearish trend that had weighed on prices for several days. The breakout occurred near $0.1720, a level marked by heavy intraday resistance. Following the breakout, Dogecoin price rallied past the $0.1750 level and now consolidates just above that zone.

在每小時圖表上，Doge Price從定義的下降渠道中斷出來，結束了短期的看跌趨勢，幾天的價格已經打算了價格。突破發生在$ 0.1720，這是一個以沉重的盤中電阻標記的水平。突破之後，Dogecoin Price越過了0.1750美元的水平，現在鞏固了該區域的上方。

This breakout pattern was first identified by Trader Tardigrade, who pointed to the bullish structure on the one-hour timeframe. The move marked the first technical signal of strength for DOGE since its rejection from $0.182 in late April.

Trader Tardigrade首先確定了這種突破模式，他指出了一個小時的時間範圍的看漲結構。此舉標誌著Doge自4月下旬拒絕$ 0.182以來的第一個技術信號。

According to current support levels, $0.1685 and $0.16 50 remain key downside zones to watch. Meanwhile, overhead resistance lies at $0.1780, $0.1850, and the $0.20 psychological level. If these levels are cleared, analysts suggest a mid-term path could form toward $0.50 and beyond.

根據當前的支持水平，$ 0.1685和0.16美元50仍然是要觀看的關鍵下行區。同時，高架阻力為0.1780美元，0.1850美元和0.20美元的心理水平。如果清除了這些水平，分析師認為中期路徑可能會形成$ 0.50及以上的$ 0.50。

Long-Term Analysts Point to Structural Bottom Formation on Dogecoin Price

長期分析師指出了狗果價格的結構底部形成

Additional bullish signals have emerged from long-term chart watchers. According to the Investments CEO, the DOGE/USDT weekly chart showeda clear higher low and a trendline retest. The analyst shared a chart indicating a projected breakout that may extend as high as $1.16 in the next major leg up, should the current setup hold.

長期觀察者出現了其他看漲信號。據投資首席執行官稱，Doge/USDT每週圖表顯示出更高的低點和趨勢線的重新測試。分析師分享了一張圖表，指示預計的突破，如果當前的設置持有，則在下一個主要工作中可能會延長高達1.16美元。

Echoing this view, pseudonymous analyst Astronomer noted that DOGE price may have already bottomed after establishing support near $0.165. Drawing comparisons to October 2020, when Dogecoin price rallied over 500%, the analyst highlighted a similar structure forming now. The thesis is based on high time-frame market cycles, with altcoins typically finding their lows shortly after Bitcoin does.

化名分析師天文學家回應了這一觀點，指出，在建立支撐量接近0.165美元之後，Doge價格可能已經觸底了。與2020年10月的繪圖比較，當Dogecoin價格上漲500％以上時，分析師現在強調了類似的結構。該論文基於較高的時間框架市場週期，在比特幣之後不久，Altcoins通常會發現其低點。

Astronomer added that spot holdings and defined risk zones near current levels make DOGE price an attractive asymmetric opportunity. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 2-day chart is also showing a mild bullish divergence, which often precedes trend reversals in such macro structures.

天文學家補充說，現貨持有和在當前水平附近定義的風險區域使道門價格成為有吸引力的非對稱機會。 2天圖表上的相對強度指數（RSI）也顯示出輕度的看漲差異，這通常是在此類宏結構中趨勢逆轉之前的。

Whale Activity Sparks Accumulation Speculation

鯨魚活動激發積累猜測

Recent on-chain data further supports the possibility of renewed accumulation. A large transaction involving 100 million DOGE, worth approximately $17.5 million, was moved to a private wallet earlier this week. This transfer coincided with increased exchange outflows, often interpreted as a bullish signal when coins are moved off platforms for long-term storage.

最近的鏈上數據進一步支持了新的積累的可能性。一項涉及1億個門檻的大型交易，價值約1750萬美元，本週早些時候已轉移到私人錢包。這種轉移與增加的交換流出相吻合，當硬幣從平台上移開以進行長期存儲時，通常被解釋為看漲信號。

While some wallet groups continue to show distribution patterns, particularly those holding 10 million to 100 million DOGE, wallets with larger holdings have reversed their behavior. Wallets with between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE resumed net buying since April 8th.

雖然一些錢包群體繼續顯示出分配方式，尤其是那些擁有1000萬至1億個門檻的人，但擁有較大持股的錢包卻扭轉了其行為。自4月8日以來，擁有1億至10億多名的錢包恢復了淨購買。

The number of active addresses in the system has not increased a lot recently. Daily activity matches only 3.4% of the high mark from November 2023. The slow retail buying activity shows the retail market still faces challenges, while larger investors drive these latest price increases.

系統中的活動地址的數量最近沒有增加很多。每日活動僅符合2023年11月起高分的3.4％。零售緩慢的購買活動表明，零售市場仍然面臨挑戰，而較大的投資者推動了這些最新價格上漲。

Metrics Show Divergence Between Cap and Realized Value

指標顯示CAP和實現價值之間的分歧

Between early April and May 6, Dogecoin’s market capitalization rose from $21 billion to $26.4 billion. But the realized cap, which measures coins’ value according to their last move price, fell slightly from $21.5 billion to $21.3 billion.

在4月初至5月6日之間，Dogecoin的市值從210億美元增至264億美元。但是實現的上限根據其上次搬遷的價格來衡量硬幣的價值，從215億美元下降到213億美元。

In particular, this divergence implies a portion of the recent increase of price is driven by speculative trades rather than by strong on-chain fundamentals. The rally is being held by conviction holders rather than widespread retail demand, as long-term holders have not significantly increased selling activity.

特別是，這種分歧意味著最近價格上漲的一部分是由投機行業而不是強大的鏈基本面驅動的。由於長期持有人沒有顯著增加銷售活動，因此由定罪持有人而不是廣泛的零售需求舉行集會。

According to technical analysts, a strong breakout will only happen when DOGE price stays above $0.1850 and reaches $0.20 levels. A successful journey over $0.1850 would signal a path toward a technical retest of $0.28 to $0.30 and push the market towards $0.50 and $1.16 when all conditions turn bullish.

根據技術分析師的說法，只有在Doge價格保持在0.1850美元並達到0.20美元的水平時，才會發生強大的突破。超過$ 0.1850的成功旅程將指示通往0.28美元至0.30美元的技術重新測試的道路，並在所有條件變成看漲時，將市場推向0.50美元和1.16美元。