随着全球市场等待美联储的利率决定，比特币（BTC）价格徘徊在关键阻力水平附近

随着全球市场等待今天晚些时候美国美联储的利率决策，比特币的价格徘徊在关键阻力水平接近关键水平。

The price of Bitcoin is hovering near key resistance levels as global markets await the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to be announced later today and may influence the cryptocurrency's direction over the coming weeks.

随着全球市场等待美国美联储的利率决策，比特币的价格徘徊在关键阻力水平接近关键水平，预计将在今天晚些时候宣布，并可能在未来几周内影响加密货币的方向。

At the same time, traders are growing increasingly anxious as economic uncertainty mounts and inflation remains a concern. All eyes will be on Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming statement, which may have a significant impact on Bitcoin's performance.

同时，随着经济不确定性的增加和通货膨胀仍然是一个问题，交易者日益焦虑。所有人的目光都将在杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）即将发表的陈述上，这可能会对比特币的表现产生重大影响。

Bitcoin rose to $96,921.96 on Wednesday, edging closer to the crucial $100,000 threshold. The rally is positioning traders for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement at 2 P.M. ET.

比特币周三上涨至96,921.96美元，距离至关重要的100,000美元门槛更接近。该集会将联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）公告定位在美国东部时间下午2点。

While the market broadly anticipates the Fed to maintain interest rates at 4.33%, attention has shifted to the tone and detail of Chair Powell's press conference.

尽管市场广泛地预计美联储将利率保持在4.33％，但注意力已转移到鲍威尔新闻发布会主席的语调和细节上。

It is noteworthy that over the past several months, Bitcoin has shown a heightened reaction to macroeconomic data and central bank signals, particularly following the approval of spot Exchange-Traded Funds. This has increased institutional interest and subsequently tightened Bitcoin's link with traditional financial markets.

值得注意的是，在过去的几个月中，比特币表现出对宏观经济数据和中央银行信号的反应增强，尤其是在批准现货交易所交易资金之后。这增加了机构的兴趣，随后加强了比特币与传统金融市场的联系。

Consequently, monetary policy updates now carry more weight for Bitcoin than ever before.

因此，现在的货币政策更新比以往任何时候都具有比比特币更大的重量。

The United States economy declined during the first quarter of 2025, displaying signs of weakness after a stronger finish to 2024. Real GDP fell by 0.3%, and consumer spending slowed sharply.

美国经济在2025年的第一季度下降，在2024年的效果强劲后表现出弱点。真正的GDP下降了0.3％，消费者的支出急剧减慢。

At the same time, inflation has remained persistent. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation measure for the Federal Reserve, rose to 3.5%, well above the central bank's 2% target.

同时，通货膨胀仍然持续。核心个人消费支出（PCE）价格指数是美联储的关键通货膨胀措施，上升到3.5％，远高于中央银行2％的目标。

These numbers place the Fed in a difficult spot. While slowing growth usually prompts a rate cut, rising inflation and new trade tariffs make it harder for the bank to shift toward easier policy. Most economists believe the Fed will need to cut rates eventually, according to a CNBC Fed Survey. However, for now, Polymarket data suggests a 2% chance of a rate cut today.

这些数字将美联储置于困难的位置。尽管增长放缓通常会促使人们降低利率，但通货膨胀和新的贸易关税使银行更难转向更轻松的政策。根据CNBC美联储调查，大多数经济学家认为，美联储最终需要降低利率。但是，目前，Polymarket数据表明今天有2％的机会降低利率。

Bitcoin faces key levels as traders watch for clues

当交易员注意线索时，比特币面对关键水平

Bitcoin's next move may hinge entirely on Powell's tone. If the Fed acknowledges economic weakness and signals a willingness to ease policy later in the year, Bitcoin could break above the $98,000 resistance and retest all-time highs. Some analysts believe it may push beyond $100,000 if dovish guidance and ETF flows align.

比特币的下一步行动可能完全取决于鲍威尔的语气。如果美联储承认经济弱点并表示愿意在今年晚些时候放松政策的意愿，那么比特币可能会超越98,000美元的抵抗力并重新测试。一些分析师认为，如果Dovish指导和ETF的流动保持一致，则可能会超过100,000美元。

However, a more hawkish stance focusing on inflation risks could lead to a drop. Support is currently seen at the $92,000 to $94,000 levels, with further downside possible if traders sell on disappointment. A neutral or vague statement could also cause price swings, especially given the thinner liquidity typical around Fed events.

但是，更加关注通货膨胀风险的鹰派立场可能会导致下降。目前，支持的价格为92,000至94,000美元，如果交易者感到失望，则可能会进一步下行。中性或模糊的声明也可能导致价格波动，特别是考虑到美联储事件周围典型的流动性较薄。

In other developments, two long-dormant Bitcoin wallets from 2013 recently transferred 20,000 BTC, amounting to approximately $325 million, ahead of the Federal Reserve's impending interest rate decision. The wallets, which had been inactive for over a decade, suddenly came to life and executed the massive transfer on Tuesday.

在其他发展中，2013年的两个长期休眠的比特币钱包最近转移了20,000 BTC，总计约3.25亿美元，比美联储即将来临的利率决策。这些钱包已经无活跃了十多年，突然栩栩如生，并在周二进行了大规模转会。

For now, traders are remaining cautious. With Bitcoin at a critical juncture and the Fed's decision just hours away, the market is bracing for heightened volatility.

目前，交易者一直保持谨慎。由于比特币处于关键时刻，而美联储的决定只有几个小时的路程，因此市场正在为增强的波动提供。