今天的比特币（BTC）飙升了近3％。它可以继续上升并超过$ 100,000吗？即将到来的美联储利率决定是关键的催化剂。

5月7日，星期三，比特币（BTC）跃升了近3％，高达97732美元。它接近5月2日高98,000美元。

Bitcoin price today, May 7: BTC climbs almost 3% as it nears $100,000 amid upcoming Fed rate decision

今天5月7日的比特币价格：BTC在即将到来的美联储率决策中近100,000美元，因为它接近100,000美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price rose almost 3% on Wednesday, May 7, trading above $97,732 at the time of writing. It is now nearing the May 2 high of $98,000.

比特币（BTC）的价格在5月7日（星期三）上涨了近3％，在撰写本文时交易超过97,732美元。现在，它接近5月2日的98,000美元。

Since April 23, Bitcoin has been forming an ‘ascending triangle’ pattern, a typical bullish signal that could break upward at any time.

自4月23日以来，比特币一直形成“上升的三角形”模式，这是一个典型的看涨信号，可能随时向上分解。

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet at 2 AM Thursday to vote on interest rates, which could be the catalyst for Bitcoin’s breakout.

联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将于周四上午2点开会，以对利率进行投票，这可能是比特币突破的催化剂。

LMAX Group market strategist Joel Kruger told TradingKey that the market is anticipating the FOMC verdict as a pivotal factor in the next stage of the market.

LMAX集团市场策略师Joel Kruger告诉TradingKey，市场预计FOMC判决是下一阶段的关键因素。

“The market is looking for the FOMC decision as a key catalyst for the next leg of the move. We could get another leg up if the Fed cuts rates by 25 bps, which has a low probability, or if they keep rates unchanged, which is the high probability outcome.”

“市场正在寻找FOMC的决定作为下一步行动的关键催化剂。如果美联储将费率降低25个基点，或者如果他们保持率不变，这是很高的概率结果，我们可以将另一回合提高。”

Due to Bitcoin’s recent low volatility, we may see significant price swings after the FOMC meeting, K33 Research Director Vetle Lunde noted.

K33研究总监Vetle Lunde指出，由于比特币最近的低波动性，我们可能会看到大幅度的价格波动。

“We’re currently seeing low levels of realised volatility and high levels of implied volatility, which indicates that options traders are pricing in more volatility than what has been realised in recent price action.”

“我们目前看到的意识到的波动率和高水平的隐含波动性水平较低，这表明期权交易者的价格比最近的价格行动中实现的更波动性更大。”

Lunde also mentioned that the current negative perpetual contract funding rate might present a buying opportunity for investors.

伦德还提到，目前的负永久合同融资率可能会给投资者带来购买机会。

“Whenever we see this type of setup, where the price is able to hold despite negative funding in the futures market for an extended period, it can be a signal that there is strong demand at these levels, which could lead to a bullish breakout.”

“每当我们看到这种类型的设置时，尽管期货市场在很长时间内在期货市场上的资金负面资金，价格就可以表明这些水平的需求强劲，这可能会导致看涨的突破。”

It’s worth noting that the chance of a rate cut by the Fed is very low. According to CME data, the market sees only a 1.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.3%.

值得注意的是，美联储削减速率的机会非常低。根据CME数据，市场仅占削减25个基点的1.7％的机会，而保持利率不变的可能性为98.3％。

If that happens, the likelihood of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 is small. Even if it breaks that level, it may struggle to hold. But if the Fed cuts rates more than expected, Bitcoin could strengthen further.

如果发生这种情况，那么比特币破损100,000美元的可能性很小。即使它破坏了这个水平，它也可能难以持有。但是，如果美联储削减比预期的要高，则比特币可以进一步加强。

Bitcoin price trend chart, source: TradingView.

比特币价格趋势图表，来源：交易视图。