今天的比特幣（BTC）飆升了近3％。它可以繼續上升並超過$ 100,000嗎？即將到來的美聯儲利率決定是關鍵的催化劑。

5月7日，星期三，比特幣（BTC）躍升了近3％，高達97732美元。它接近5月2日高98,000美元。

Bitcoin price today, May 7: BTC climbs almost 3% as it nears $100,000 amid upcoming Fed rate decision

今天5月7日的比特幣價格：BTC在即將到來的美聯儲率決策中近100,000美元，因為它接近100,000美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price rose almost 3% on Wednesday, May 7, trading above $97,732 at the time of writing. It is now nearing the May 2 high of $98,000.

比特幣（BTC）的價格在5月7日（星期三）上漲了近3％，在撰寫本文時交易超過97,732美元。現在，它接近5月2日的98,000美元。

Since April 23, Bitcoin has been forming an ‘ascending triangle’ pattern, a typical bullish signal that could break upward at any time.

自4月23日以來，比特幣一直形成“上升的三角形”模式，這是一個典型的看漲信號，可能隨時向上分解。

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet at 2 AM Thursday to vote on interest rates, which could be the catalyst for Bitcoin’s breakout.

聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）將於週四上午2點開會，以對利率進行投票，這可能是比特幣突破的催化劑。

LMAX Group market strategist Joel Kruger told TradingKey that the market is anticipating the FOMC verdict as a pivotal factor in the next stage of the market.

LMAX集團市場策略師Joel Kruger告訴TradingKey，市場預計FOMC判決是下一階段的關鍵因素。

“The market is looking for the FOMC decision as a key catalyst for the next leg of the move. We could get another leg up if the Fed cuts rates by 25 bps, which has a low probability, or if they keep rates unchanged, which is the high probability outcome.”

“市場正在尋找FOMC的決定作為下一步行動的關鍵催化劑。如果美聯儲將費率降低25個基點，或者如果他們保持率不變，這是很高的概率結果，我們可以將另一回合提高。”

Due to Bitcoin’s recent low volatility, we may see significant price swings after the FOMC meeting, K33 Research Director Vetle Lunde noted.

K33研究總監Vetle Lunde指出，由於比特幣最近的低波動性，我們可能會看到大幅度的價格波動。

“We’re currently seeing low levels of realised volatility and high levels of implied volatility, which indicates that options traders are pricing in more volatility than what has been realised in recent price action.”

“我們目前看到的意識到的波動率和高水平的隱含波動性水平較低，這表明期權交易者的價格比最近的價格行動中實現的更波動性更大。”

Lunde also mentioned that the current negative perpetual contract funding rate might present a buying opportunity for investors.

倫德還提到，目前的負永久合同融資率可能會給投資者帶來購買機會。

“Whenever we see this type of setup, where the price is able to hold despite negative funding in the futures market for an extended period, it can be a signal that there is strong demand at these levels, which could lead to a bullish breakout.”

“每當我們看到這種類型的設置時，儘管期貨市場在很長時間內在期貨市場上的資金負面資金，價格就可以表明這些水平的需求強勁，這可能會導致看漲的突破。”

It’s worth noting that the chance of a rate cut by the Fed is very low. According to CME data, the market sees only a 1.7% chance of a 25 basis point cut, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.3%.

值得注意的是，美聯儲削減速率的機會非常低。根據CME數據，市場僅佔削減25個基點的1.7％的機會，而保持利率不變的可能性為98.3％。

If that happens, the likelihood of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 is small. Even if it breaks that level, it may struggle to hold. But if the Fed cuts rates more than expected, Bitcoin could strengthen further.

如果發生這種情況，那麼比特幣破損100,000美元的可能性很小。即使它破壞了這個水平，它也可能難以持有。但是，如果美聯儲削減比預期的要高，則比特幣可以進一步加強。

Bitcoin price trend chart, source: TradingView.

比特幣價格趨勢圖表，來源：交易視圖。