除了一般加密市场，以太坊（ETH）还注册了大量的市场回收率

在5月2日的X帖子中，Burak Kesmeci假定以太坊可能会根据短期持有人的活动进入价格上涨延长。

April saw a decent recovery in the general crypto market, with Ethereum (ETH) trading above the $1,800 again at the end of April. After a deep price correction that began in December 2024, the leading altcoin may finally be seeing some bullish momentum to help change the fortunes of investors. Interestingly, prominent crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci has shed some positive light on this development.

四月在普通加密货币市场中获得了不错的复苏，以太坊（ETH）在4月底再次交易了1,800美元。在2024年12月开始进行了深入的价格更正之后，领先的替代币终于看到了一些看涨的势头，以帮助改变投资者的命运。有趣的是，著名的加密分析师Burak Kesmeci对这一发展有一些积极的启示。

According to an X post by Burak Kesmeci on May 2, Ethereum may be entering a prolonged price uptrend based on the short-term holders’ activity. According to the seasoned analyst, the number of ETH short-term holders or traders is headed for a particular threshold that historically signifies a long-term price rally.

根据Burak Kesmeci在5月2日发表的X帖子，以太坊可能会根据短期持有人的活动进入延长价格上涨趋势。根据经验丰富的分析师的说法，ETH短期持有人或交易者的数量正朝着特定的门槛迈进，这在历史上标志着长期价格集会。

In the ETH market, short-term holders are defined as wallets or addresses that have recently acquired ETH, usually less than 155 days. These investors are usually sensitive to market trends and price volatility, often driven by speculation and quick profit-taking rather than long-term conviction. Typically, a rising number of short-term investors indicates renewed market interest due to new market entrants. However, Kesmeci states that ETH short-term holders, presently at 3.92 million, must cross above 4 million to suggest that the ETH market possesses sufficient bullish strength for a robust uptrend.

在ETH市场中，短期持有人被定义为最近获得ETH的钱包或地址，通常不到155天。这些投资者通常对市场趋势和价格波动敏感，这通常是由投机和快速获利而不是长期信念驱动的。通常，不断增加的短期投资者表明由于新的市场进入者而引起的市场兴趣。但是，Kesmeci指出，目前392万的ETH短期持有人必须超过400万，以表明ETH市场具有足够的看涨力量，以实现强劲的上升趋势。

According to the analyst, on previous occasions when this threshold was breached by the short-term holders, the Ethereum price produced strong price rallies. As seen in the chart above, in both 2022 and 2024, periods of sustained rally in the ETH market were seen when the STH numbers rose above 4 million. According to Kesmeci, as long as the ETH short-term holders remain below this threshold, it may reflect insufficient market demand to sustain Ethereum’s current rally.

根据分析师的说法，在以前的情况下，短期持有人违反了该门槛，以太坊的价格产生了强劲的价格集会。如上图所示，在2022年和2024年，当STH数字上升到400万以上时，在ETH市场中持续集会的时期。根据Kesmeci的说法，只要ETH短期持有人仍低于该门槛，它可能反映出市场需求不足以维持以太坊目前的集会。

Meanwhile, the number of Ethereum long-term holders has now reached 104.24 million, indicating a strong market confidence in the asset’s price appreciation prospects. A rise in LTH generally occurs due to coin maturation as short-term holders opt against selling for over 155 days.

同时，以太坊的长期持有人的数量现已达到1.024亿，表明市场对资产的价格升值前景具有强烈的信心。由于硬币的成熟，第LTH的上升通常会增加，因为短期持有人选择不出售超过155天。

According to another X post by Burak Kesmeci, Ethereum is yet to break out of its 365-day simple moving average (SMA 365), which may present another barrier to the ongoing rally. SMA 365 is used to indicate price trends and often acts as a resistance in bearish markets or support in bullish markets. Despite recent market gains, ETH must move above its SMA 365 at $2,849 to confirm any intent of a strong uptrend.

根据Burak Kesmeci的另一篇X帖子，以太坊尚未突破其365天的简单移动平均线（SMA 365），这可能会带来持续集会的另一个障碍。 SMA 365用于指示价格趋势，并且通常是看跌市场的抵抗力或在看涨市场中的支持。尽管最近的市场收益，ETH必须以2,849美元的价格超过其SMA 365，以确认任何强劲上升趋势的意图。

At press time, Ethereum trades at $1,835, reflecting a price decline of 0.80% in the past day. Meanwhile, the asset’s trading volume is down by 15.01%.

发稿时，以太坊的交易价格为1,835美元，反映了过去一天的价格下跌0.80％。同时，资产的交易量下降了15.01％。