Dogecoin（Doge）可能最终处于有意义的突破的边缘

经过几个月的价格动作和侧向合并，Dogecoin（Doge）最终可能会遇到有意义的突破。

After months of sluggish price action and sideways consolidation, Dogecoin (DOGE) may finally be on the verge of a meaningful breakout. Recent price movements, technical signals, and broader macroeconomic trends all appear to be converging in DOGE’s favor.

经过几个月的价格动作和侧向合并，Dogecoin（Doge）最终可能会遇到有意义的突破。最近的价格变动，技术信号和更广泛的宏观经济趋势似乎都融合了Doge的青睐。

Technical Breakout from Descending Channel

从降频道进行技术突破

从降频道进行技术突破

Dogecoin has officially broken out of a descending channel, a formation that has capped price rallies since the beginning of the year. This breakout is further validated by a successful retest of prior resistance, now turned support, suggesting a bullish reversal is underway.

Dogecoin已正式闯入了降落的频道，该渠道自今年年初以来就一直在价格集会。这一突破通过成功的先前抵抗，现在转向支持进一步证实，这表明看涨逆转正在进行中。

The immediate resistance is visible at $0.27, but if buying pressure persists, higher resistance levels at $0.39 and $0.43 could be tested in the coming weeks. On the downside, support is anticipated around $0.17, which could provide a safety net in the event of short-term pullbacks.

即时电阻可见为0.27美元，但是如果购买压力持续存在，则在接下来的几周内可以测试更高的阻力水平为0.39美元和0.43美元。不利的一面是，预计支持约为0.17美元，这可能会在短期回调时提供安全网。

Short-Term Price Action and Elliott Wave Analysis

短期价格动作和Elliott Wave分析

短期价格动作和Elliott Wave分析

Dogecoin is currently in a micro-corrective phase, holding above a key support zone between $0.17 and $0.1777. This region was previously identified as a micro-support level, and the market has reacted accordingly, hinting that the fifth wave up in an Elliott Wave sequence may be starting.

Dogecoin目前处于微校正阶段，在0.17至0.1777美元之间的关键支撑区域上方持有。以前，该区域被确定为微支持水平，市场已经做出了相应的反应，暗示可能开始以Elliott波序列中的第五波浪潮开始。

In the current wave count, analysts identify a potential three-wave move up, with Wave 3 peaking near the 138% Fibonacci extension at $0.196. If this structure holds, Wave 5 could extend toward the 161.8% level at $0.206 or the 178.6% level at $0.213. A confirmed break above $0.185 would strongly mean that the next bullish leg is underway.

在当前的波计数中，分析人员确定了潜在的三波升高，而波3峰值在138％的斐波那契延伸范围内为0.196美元。如果这种结构成立，则Wave 5可以延伸至161.8％的水平，为0.206美元，或178.6％的水平为0.213美元。确认的休息时间高于$ 0.185，这强烈意味着下一个看涨的腿正在进行中。

However, a decisive drop below $0.17 would cause a temporary delay in the anticipated rally. For now, the pullback appears corrective and shallow, which aligns with an ongoing uptrend.

但是，决定性下降到0.17美元以下将导致预期的集会暂时延迟。目前，回调显得纠正和浅，与正在进行的上升趋势一致。

Macro Trends: Bitcoin, Global M2, and Dogecoin Correlation

宏观趋势：比特币，全球M2和Dogecoin相关性

宏观趋势：比特币，全球M2和Dogecoin相关性

Beyond the charts, macroeconomic indicators are adding fuel to the bullish case. One emerging narrative gaining traction among analysts is the correlation between cryptocurrency prices and global M2 money supply — a measure of the world’s money supply that includes cash, checking, and easily convertible near-money.

除了图表之外，宏观经济指标还为看涨案例增加了燃料。分析师之间获得的一种新兴叙事是加密货币价格与全球M2货币供应之间的相关性 - 衡量包括现金，支票和易于转换近乎货币的世界货币供应的量度。

According to one user, when applying a 110-day offset, there appears to be a consistent pattern between increases in M2 and DOGE price rallies — excluding outlier events like the post-Trump-election price surge.

根据一个用户的说法，在应用110天的偏移量时，M2和Doge Price Rallies的增加似乎存在一致的模式 - 不包括诸如TRUMP选举后的价格飙升之类的异常事件。

There has been a lot of talk about the correlation between the price of Bitcoin and the Global M2 money supply. But how about Dogecoin? With a 110 day offset and ignoring the $DOGE price craziness after the Trump election, there is a pattern relationship for when money flows… pic.twitter.com/zoBVGUQHBm

关于比特币与全球M2货币供应价格之间的相关性，已经有很多讨论。但是狗狗币怎么样？特朗普选举后，有110天的偏移并忽略了$ DOGE的价格疯狂，当金钱流动时，有一种模式关系……pic.twitter.com/zobvguqhbm

If money continues flowing into assets like Dogecoin as global liquidity expands, especially during the summer, this correlation could become even more evident — reinforcing the bullish technical setup.

如果随着全球流动性的扩大，金钱继续流入狗狗币之类的资产，尤其是在夏季，这种相关性可能变得更加明显 - 加强了看涨的技术设置。