比特币（BTC）已有很强的音调进入五月，继续向上势头

比特币在五月进入五月，继续于4月下旬开始的向上势头。

May 2, 2024

2024年5月2日

Crypto traders are now focused on the $100,000 mark for Bitcoin (BTC), but one influential analyst is keeping a closer eye on a key support level that could decide whether the trend remains upward or falters.

加密交易员现在专注于比特币（BTC）的100,000美元大关，但一位有影响力的分析师正在密切关注关键支持水平，以确定趋势是上升还是流行。

As traders digest the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market, one analyst's insights into a crucial support level for Bitcoin are providing valuable context for navigating the coin’s price movements.

随着贸易商消化加密货币市场中的最新发展，一位分析师对比特币至关重要的支持水平的见解正在为导航硬币的价格变动提供了宝贵的背景。

111-Day Moving Average Is Key Support At $91,200

111天移动平均值是$ 91,200的关键支持

111天移动平均值是$ 91,200的关键支持

Analyst Burak Kesmeci took to X (formerly Twitter) to share an in-depth look at Bitcoin's chart, focusing on the 111-day moving average as an essential indicator.

分析师Burak Kesmeci登上X（以前是Twitter），分享了比特币图表的深入研究，重点是111天移动平均线作为基本指标。

According to Kesmeci, this level, currently around $91,200, is the most important price floor for Bitcoin in the coming weeks.

根据Kesmeci的说法，此水平目前约为91,200美元，是未来几周比特币最重要的价格。

This moving average is a component of the Pi Cycle Top & Bottom indicator, which uses the 111-day and 350-day moving averages to identify peaks in Bitcoin's market cycles.

该移动平均线是PI循环顶部和底部指标的组成部分，该指示器使用111天和350天的移动平均值来识别比特币市场周期中的峰值。

Typically, when the short-term average crosses above the longer one, it signals the end of bull runs, but that crossover has not yet occurred.

通常，当短期平均值超过更长的平均值时，它标志着牛的末端，但跨界尚未发生。

The two moving averages are now diverging, which Implies that Bitcoin still has room to grow.

现在的两个移动平均值正在分歧，这意味着比特币仍然有生长的空间。

According to Kesmeci, for Bitcoin to sustain this positive trend, it must remain above the $91,200 level for multiple weekly closes. This technical detail could shape the coin's near-term behavior more than the hype surrounding the $100,000 target.

根据凯斯梅奇（Kesmeci）的说法，要维持这种积极的趋势，它必须保持在多个每周关闭的91,200美元以上。与围绕100,000美元目标的炒作相比，这种技术细节可以影响硬币的近期行为。

At the same time, another analyst, known as Checkmate, is highlighting a potential barrier.

同时，另一位称为Checkmate的分析师正在突出潜在的障碍。

Using a supply distribution heatmap, he noted that the $93,000 to $100,000 range is a dense zone where a lot of prior investor cost bases are clustered.

他使用供应分销热图指出，$ 93,000至100,000美元的范围是一个密集的区域，许多先前的投资者成本基础都聚集。

These price bands suggest strong resistance, as many holders might be waiting to sell once prices return to their original buying levels.

这些价格带表明了强烈的抵抗力，因为一旦价格恢复到其原始购买水平，许多持有人可能会等待出售。

This creates a psychological factor. With several investors sitting on previous losses, the incentive to exit at break-even points could trigger a wave of selling in this price range, slowing momentum just as excitement peaks.

这创造了心理因素。由于几个投资者遭受了以前的损失，因此以突破性点退出的动机可能会触发该价格范围内的销售浪潮，就像兴奋的峰值一样，势头放缓。

Despite the crowding in the $93,000-$100,000 range, Checkmate observed that supply drops off sharply beyond $100,000.

尽管拥挤在93,000美元至100,000美元之间，但Checkmate观察到，供应量大幅下降了100,000美元。

This Implies that far fewer coins were bought at higher prices, suggesting lighter resistance. He described the path above $100,000 as "blue skies," which could allow for a swift rally.

这意味着以更高的价格购买的硬币少得多，表明抵抗力较轻。他将100,000美元以上的路径描述为“蓝天”，这可以迅速集会。

However, failing to break through this high-density area could trap Bitcoin in a new phase of sideways movement. Consolidation, while not bearish, would delay the run toward new highs that many are anticipating.

但是，未能突破这一高密度区域可能会在侧向运动的新阶段捕获比特币。合并虽然没有看跌，但会将奔跑延迟到许多人预期的新高点。

As of writing, BTC is trading at $95,888, showing a slight 0.67% decrease over the past 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为95,888美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.67％。