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加密貨幣新聞文章

XDC(符文)價格分析:懸停在關鍵支撐區上等待催化劑

2025/05/06 22:02

XDC延長校正後,XDC在關鍵支持區域上方交易。價格結構表明,基於斐波那契水平的匯合處是基於波浪的逆轉。

XDC(符文)價格分析:懸停在關鍵支撐區上等待催化劑

The higher time frame for XDC (4-hour chart) illustrates a prolonged correction following a five-wave advance that peaked around $0.158. After forming a descending wedge pattern between January and March 2025, XDC broke out with a swift bullish move, aligning with typical post-corrective behavior. However, the breakout failed to sustain momentum past the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($0.076), resulting in sideways price action beneath structural resistance.

XDC的較高時間範圍(4小時圖)說明了五波進展後的延長校正,達到了0.158美元的峰值。在2025年1月至2025年3月之間形成了下降的楔形圖案之後,XDC迅速看漲,與典型的後校正行為保持一致。但是,突破未能維持超過0.618斐波那契反回比(0.076美元)的動量,從而在結構性阻力下側向價格行動。

XDC is now hovering slightly below the 0.618 Fib retracement at $0.0740, which also coincides with a key horizontal structural zone formed by previous support. This zone, ranging from $0.070 to $0.078, also acted as a cluster for several consolidation attempts between February and April, further attesting to its significance.

XDC現在徘徊在0.618 FIB回收期略低於$ 0.0740,這也與以前的支持形成的密鑰水平結構區相吻合。該區域從0.070美元到0.078美元不等,也是2月至4月之間多次合併嘗試的集群,進一步證明了其重要性。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in neutral territory, having recovered slightly from oversold conditions. This potential indicates further upside if a catalyst emerges.

相對強度指數(RSI)仍處於中性區域,並從超售條件下稍微恢復過來。該潛力表明是否出現催化劑。

The prevailing structure shows a completed W-X-Y correction, followed by an impulse up and the current pullback, which could be forming a higher low. The macro low remains valid at $0.0545 (0.786 Fib), but a sustained closure below $0.070 would invalidate the bullish recovery thesis and reopen the possibility of deeper retracement.

盛行的結構顯示了完整的WXY校正,然後進行沖動,並且當前的回調可能形成較高的低點。宏低點的有效期為0.0545美元(0.786 FIB),但持續關閉$ 0.070將無效看漲恢復論文並重新開放更深層回收的可能性。

Zooming into the 1-hour chart, the Elliott Wave count suggests that XDC completed a five-wave impulse up, reaching a peak just above $0.083 (wave v), and has since begun a standard A-B-C corrective pattern. Wave a concluded around $0.0705, and a mild wave b bounce is currently unfolding.

Elliott Wave計數縮放到1小時的圖表中,表明XDC完成了五波衝動,達到了高於$ 0.083的峰值(Wave V),此後已開始使用標準的ABC糾正模式。 Wave A總結了約0.0705美元,而輕度波B反彈目前正在展開。

If the present count is correct, wave C could drive the price lower, potentially reaching the $0.065–$0.060 support cluster, before the next upward leg commences. The RSI is also rebounding from oversold levels, showing temporary relief. However, this bounce lacks volume confirmation, which may indicate that it’s part of a corrective structure rather than a trend reversal.

如果目前的計數正確,則波浪C可以推動價格降低,可能在下一次上下腿之前達到0.065– $ 0.060的支持群集。 RSI也從超售的水平反彈,顯示出暫時的緩解。但是,這種反彈缺乏數量確認,這可能表明它是糾正結構的一部分,而不是趨勢逆轉。

If wave C completes within the key demand zone (highlighted in blue), it would present a textbook long re-entry opportunity, aligned with Fib confluence and previous structural support.

如果波浪C在關鍵需求區域內完成(以藍色突出顯示),它將提供一個教科書長期的重新進入機會,並與FIB匯合處和以前的結構支持保持一致。

If the bulls manage to defend the 0.618 zone and push higher, the next wave extension could target the 0.5 Fib retracement at $0.0921, followed by the 0.382 at $0.1076. Conversely, if they fail to reclaim the $0.078–$0.080 area, it may lead to further price decline towards the 0.786 Fib at $0.0545.

如果公牛設法捍衛0.618區域並將其推高,則下一個波延長可能以0.0921美元的價格將0.5 fib回收率定為0.382,其次為0.1076美元。相反,如果他們未能收回$ 0.078- $ 0.080的面積,則可能會導致價格進一步下降到0.786 FIB的價格為0.0545美元。

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