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XDC延长校正后,XDC在关键支持区域上方交易。价格结构表明,基于斐波那契水平的汇合处是基于波浪的逆转。
The higher time frame for XDC (4-hour chart) illustrates a prolonged correction following a five-wave advance that peaked around $0.158. After forming a descending wedge pattern between January and March 2025, XDC broke out with a swift bullish move, aligning with typical post-corrective behavior. However, the breakout failed to sustain momentum past the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($0.076), resulting in sideways price action beneath structural resistance.
XDC的较高时间范围(4小时图)说明了五波进展后的延长校正,达到了0.158美元的峰值。在2025年1月至2025年3月之间形成了下降的楔形图案之后,XDC迅速看涨,与典型的后校正行为保持一致。但是,突破未能维持超过0.618斐波那契反回比(0.076美元)的动量,从而在结构性阻力下侧向价格行动。
XDC is now hovering slightly below the 0.618 Fib retracement at $0.0740, which also coincides with a key horizontal structural zone formed by previous support. This zone, ranging from $0.070 to $0.078, also acted as a cluster for several consolidation attempts between February and April, further attesting to its significance.
XDC现在徘徊在0.618 FIB回收期略低于$ 0.0740,这也与以前的支持形成的密钥水平结构区相吻合。该区域从0.070美元到0.078美元不等,也是2月至4月之间多次合并尝试的集群,进一步证明了其重要性。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in neutral territory, having recovered slightly from oversold conditions. This potential indicates further upside if a catalyst emerges.
相对强度指数(RSI)仍处于中性区域,并从超售条件下稍微恢复过来。该潜力表明是否出现催化剂。
The prevailing structure shows a completed W-X-Y correction, followed by an impulse up and the current pullback, which could be forming a higher low. The macro low remains valid at $0.0545 (0.786 Fib), but a sustained closure below $0.070 would invalidate the bullish recovery thesis and reopen the possibility of deeper retracement.
盛行的结构显示了完整的WXY校正,然后进行冲动,并且当前的回调可能形成较高的低点。宏低点的有效期为0.0545美元(0.786 FIB),但持续关闭$ 0.070将无效看涨恢复论文并重新开放更深层回收的可能性。
Zooming into the 1-hour chart, the Elliott Wave count suggests that XDC completed a five-wave impulse up, reaching a peak just above $0.083 (wave v), and has since begun a standard A-B-C corrective pattern. Wave a concluded around $0.0705, and a mild wave b bounce is currently unfolding.
Elliott Wave计数缩放到1小时的图表中,表明XDC完成了五波冲动,达到了高于$ 0.083的峰值(Wave V),此后已开始使用标准的ABC纠正模式。 Wave A总结了约0.0705美元,而轻度波B反弹目前正在展开。
If the present count is correct, wave C could drive the price lower, potentially reaching the $0.065–$0.060 support cluster, before the next upward leg commences. The RSI is also rebounding from oversold levels, showing temporary relief. However, this bounce lacks volume confirmation, which may indicate that it’s part of a corrective structure rather than a trend reversal.
如果目前的计数正确,则波浪C可以推动价格降低,可能在下一次上下腿之前达到0.065– $ 0.060的支持群集。 RSI也从超售的水平反弹,显示出暂时的缓解。但是,这种反弹缺乏数量确认,这可能表明它是纠正结构的一部分,而不是趋势逆转。
If wave C completes within the key demand zone (highlighted in blue), it would present a textbook long re-entry opportunity, aligned with Fib confluence and previous structural support.
如果波浪C在关键需求区域内完成(以蓝色突出显示),它将提供一个教科书长期的重新进入机会,并与FIB汇合处和以前的结构支持保持一致。
If the bulls manage to defend the 0.618 zone and push higher, the next wave extension could target the 0.5 Fib retracement at $0.0921, followed by the 0.382 at $0.1076. Conversely, if they fail to reclaim the $0.078–$0.080 area, it may lead to further price decline towards the 0.786 Fib at $0.0545.
如果公牛设法捍卫0.618区域并将其推高,则下一个波延长可能以0.0921美元的价格将0.5 fib回收率定为0.382,其次为0.1076美元。相反,如果他们未能收回$ 0.078- $ 0.080的面积,则可能会导致价格进一步下降到0.786 FIB的价格为0.0545美元。
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