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Stellar(XLM)已經完成了較長的矯正結構,並進入了一個看漲的衝動階段,最近售價接近0.33美元。
Stellar (XLM) has completed a long corrective structure and entered a bullish impulsive phase, recently topping near $0.33. However, the latest pullback might be suggesting the beginning of an ABC correction, with the current price action consolidating above a key trendline and Fibonacci support levels. This setup offers both short-term correction and mid-term continuation possibilities.
Stellar(XLM)已經完成了較長的矯正結構,並進入了一個看漲的衝動階段,最近售價接近0.33美元。但是,最新的回調可能暗示了ABC校正的開始,當前的價格動作鞏固了關鍵趨勢線和斐波那契支持水平。該設置提供短期校正和中期延續可能性。
Stellar Price Analysis: Zooming In
恆星價格分析:放大
As the 4-hour chart of XLM shows, the breakout from the descending wedge structure occurred on April 12, ultimately marking the end of a W-X-Y corrective structure.
正如XLM的4小時圖所示,降級楔形結構的突破發生在4月12日,最終標誌著WXY矯正結構的末端。
After the breakout, Stellar completed a five-wave impulse, ultimately peaking just above the 0.236 Fib resistance at $0.334. The price action got rejected at this level, which then led to the initiation of the current pullback.
突破之後,Stellar完成了五波衝動,最終在0.236 Fib電阻上的峰值達到了0.334美元。價格行動在此級別被拒絕,然後導致了當前回調的啟動。
The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) also confirmed a peak during the final wave (v), and the current drop aligns with the start of a corrective wave.
4小時的相對強度指數(RSI)也證實了在最終波(V)期間的峰值,並且電流滴與糾正波的開始對齊。
The broader trend remains bullish, as long as XLM maintains a higher low structure above the $0.25 zone. If that fails, the price may revisit the $0.229 support, which aligns with the wave (ii) ending point.
只要XLM在$ 0.25的區域上保持較高的低結構,更廣泛的趨勢仍然是看好的。如果失敗,價格可能會重新審視$ 0.229的支持,這與波(II)終點一致。
In summary, Stellar appears to have completed its initial five-wave advance, and this correction is a natural cooldown phase. A bounce from this area and reclaiming the 0.236 Fib resistance could resume the upward trajectory.
總而言之,出色似乎已經完成了最初的五波進步,而這種校正是自然的冷卻階段。該區域的彈跳並收回0.236的纖維電阻可以恢復向上的軌跡。
Stellar Price Prediction: Anticipating the Bounce
出色的價格預測:預期反彈
The 1-hour chart highlights the early stages of an ABC correction, with wave A appearing to have bottomed at $0.281 (0.382 Fib). A potential wave B bounce is now developing, likely to encounter resistance at the $0.300–$0.310 range, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and prior support turned resistance.
1小時的圖表突出了ABC校正的早期階段,波浪A似乎底部為0.281美元(0.382 FIB)。現在正在發展潛在的波動B反彈,可能在0.300- $ 0.310範圍內遇到電阻,這與0.236的斐波那契回縮和先前的支撐相一致。
Following wave B, wave C could extend toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone, placing the most probable targets between $0.266 and $0.251. Notably, $0.251 also aligns with the ascending trendline and marks the 0.618 retracement of the previous bullish impulse, offering strong technical confluence for a potential reversal.
隨後,波C可以延伸到0.5-0.618回回區,將最可能的目標放在0.266美元至0.251美元之間。值得注意的是,$ 0.251還與上升的趨勢線保持一致,並標誌著先前看漲衝動的0.618回波,為潛在的逆轉提供了強大的技術融合。
The RSI on the 1-hour time frame indicates that the oversold conditions are now easing, suggesting a temporary rebound before the correction continues. Momentum indicators favor a short-lived relief rally before sellers likely regain control.
1小時時間範圍內的RSI表明現在的過度銷售條件正在緩解,這表明在校正繼續之前進行了暫時的反彈。動量指標有利於短暫的救濟集會,而賣家可能會重新獲得控制。
If bulls manage to defend the $0.251 level and reverse higher, the macro bullish thesis will remain intact. Following the resumption of the next impulsive wave, the targets will be toward $0.33 and later higher.
如果公牛設法捍衛$ 0.251的水平並扭轉更高,那麼宏觀看漲論文將保持完整。恢復下一個衝動波之後,目標將達到0.33美元,然後更高。
However, if XLM breaks below $0.229 (0.786 Fib), it will signal structural weakness and invalidate the bullish wave count.
但是,如果XLM在0.229美元以下(0.786 FIB)中斷,它將信號結構弱點並使看漲波數無效。
Key Levels to Watch
觀看的關鍵水平
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