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Stellar(XLM)已经完成了较长的矫正结构,并进入了一个看涨的冲动阶段,最近售价接近0.33美元。
Stellar (XLM) has completed a long corrective structure and entered a bullish impulsive phase, recently topping near $0.33. However, the latest pullback might be suggesting the beginning of an ABC correction, with the current price action consolidating above a key trendline and Fibonacci support levels. This setup offers both short-term correction and mid-term continuation possibilities.
Stellar(XLM)已经完成了较长的矫正结构,并进入了一个看涨的冲动阶段,最近售价接近0.33美元。但是,最新的回调可能暗示了ABC校正的开始,当前的价格动作巩固了关键趋势线和斐波那契支持水平。该设置提供短期校正和中期延续可能性。
Stellar Price Analysis: Zooming In
恒星价格分析:放大
As the 4-hour chart of XLM shows, the breakout from the descending wedge structure occurred on April 12, ultimately marking the end of a W-X-Y corrective structure.
正如XLM的4小时图所示,降级楔形结构的突破发生在4月12日,最终标志着WXY矫正结构的末端。
After the breakout, Stellar completed a five-wave impulse, ultimately peaking just above the 0.236 Fib resistance at $0.334. The price action got rejected at this level, which then led to the initiation of the current pullback.
突破之后,Stellar完成了五波冲动,最终在0.236 Fib电阻上的峰值达到了0.334美元。价格行动在此级别被拒绝,然后导致了当前回调的启动。
The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) also confirmed a peak during the final wave (v), and the current drop aligns with the start of a corrective wave.
4小时的相对强度指数(RSI)也证实了在最终波(V)期间的峰值,并且电流滴与纠正波的开始对齐。
The broader trend remains bullish, as long as XLM maintains a higher low structure above the $0.25 zone. If that fails, the price may revisit the $0.229 support, which aligns with the wave (ii) ending point.
只要XLM在$ 0.25的区域上保持较高的低结构,更广泛的趋势仍然是看好的。如果失败,价格可能会重新审视$ 0.229的支持,这与波(II)终点一致。
In summary, Stellar appears to have completed its initial five-wave advance, and this correction is a natural cooldown phase. A bounce from this area and reclaiming the 0.236 Fib resistance could resume the upward trajectory.
总而言之,出色似乎已经完成了最初的五波进步,而这种校正是自然的冷却阶段。该区域的弹跳并收回0.236的纤维电阻可以恢复向上的轨迹。
Stellar Price Prediction: Anticipating the Bounce
出色的价格预测:预期反弹
The 1-hour chart highlights the early stages of an ABC correction, with wave A appearing to have bottomed at $0.281 (0.382 Fib). A potential wave B bounce is now developing, likely to encounter resistance at the $0.300–$0.310 range, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and prior support turned resistance.
1小时的图表突出了ABC校正的早期阶段,波浪A似乎底部为0.281美元(0.382 FIB)。现在正在发展潜在的波动B反弹,可能在0.300- $ 0.310范围内遇到电阻,这与0.236的斐波那契回缩和先前的支撑相一致。
Following wave B, wave C could extend toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone, placing the most probable targets between $0.266 and $0.251. Notably, $0.251 also aligns with the ascending trendline and marks the 0.618 retracement of the previous bullish impulse, offering strong technical confluence for a potential reversal.
随后,波C可以延伸到0.5-0.618回回区,将最可能的目标放在0.266美元至0.251美元之间。值得注意的是,$ 0.251还与上升的趋势线保持一致,并标志着先前看涨冲动的0.618回波,为潜在的逆转提供了强大的技术融合。
The RSI on the 1-hour time frame indicates that the oversold conditions are now easing, suggesting a temporary rebound before the correction continues. Momentum indicators favor a short-lived relief rally before sellers likely regain control.
1小时时间范围内的RSI表明现在的过度销售条件正在缓解,这表明在校正继续之前进行了暂时的反弹。动量指标有利于短暂的救济集会,而卖家可能会重新获得控制。
If bulls manage to defend the $0.251 level and reverse higher, the macro bullish thesis will remain intact. Following the resumption of the next impulsive wave, the targets will be toward $0.33 and later higher.
如果公牛设法捍卫$ 0.251的水平并扭转更高,那么宏观看涨论文将保持完整。恢复下一个冲动波之后,目标将达到0.33美元,然后更高。
However, if XLM breaks below $0.229 (0.786 Fib), it will signal structural weakness and invalidate the bullish wave count.
但是,如果XLM在0.229美元以下(0.786 FIB)中断,它将信号结构弱点并使看涨波数无效。
Key Levels to Watch
观看的关键水平
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