重大轉變：金磚國家如何重新定義全球經濟實力

俄羅斯普列漢諾夫經濟大學政治學與社會學系主任安德烈·科甚金表示，金磚國家的迅速擴張引發了關於 G20 的相關性的爭論。

The rapid economic growth of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) is posing a challenge to the relevance of the G20 (Group of 20) as a global platform, especially considering that BRICS nations are now surpassing the G7 (Group of 7) in economic output when measured by purchasing power parity (PPP).

金磚國家（巴西、俄羅斯、印度、中國和南非）經濟的快速成長對二十國集團（G20）作為全球平台的相關性提出了挑戰，特別是考慮到金磚國家目前正在超越七國集團（ G7）。

As BRICS gains influence, there are increasing discussions about reforming major international organizations, including the G20, the IMF (International Monetary Fund), and the UN (United Nations). According to Andrey Koshkin, head of the Department of Political Science and Sociology at the Plekhanov Russian Economic University, the future of the G20 is becoming uncertain as BRICS unites marginalized regions and shifts global economic dynamics.

隨著金磚國家影響力的增強，關於改革主要國際組織的討論越來越多，包括G20、IMF（國際貨幣基金組織）和UN（聯合國）。俄羅斯普列漢諾夫經濟大學政治學和社會學系主任安德烈·科甚金表示，隨著金磚國家聯合邊緣化地區並改變全球經濟動態，G20的未來變得不確定。

In an interview with the Tass publication, Koshkin shared his views on the matter, highlighting that BRICS is rapidly expanding and shifting the global economic landscape.

科甚金在接受塔斯社採訪時分享了他對此事的看法，強調金磚國家正在迅速擴張並改變全球經濟格局。

“The G20 is in decline. It is going obsolete as a platform that has absorbed everything it was able to,” Koshkin said, adding that the G20 can continue to function in some capacity, but its relevance is being questioned by the emergence of BRICS.

“G20正在衰落。科甚金表示，G20 可以繼續以某種身分發揮作用，但其相關性因金磚國家的出現而受到質疑。

He further explained that many countries agree on the need to reform international organizations like the WTO, IMF, and UN, but no single nation, not even China or Russia, can manage these changes independently. However, Koshkin believes that BRICS can succeed in meeting global expectations for institutional reform.

他進一步解釋說，許多國家都同意需要改革世貿組織、國際貨幣基金組織和聯合國等國際組織，但沒有一個國家，甚至中國或俄羅斯，能夠獨立應對這些變化。不過，科甚金相信金磚國家能夠成功滿足全球對制度改革的期望。

Moreover, Koshkin emphasizes that BRICS is uniting regions that have often been sidelined by the G7. He notes that the economic output of BRICS members is now overtaking that of the G7, which once accounted for 50% of global production in the 1980s but now contributes only 30%.

此外，科甚金強調，金磚國家正在團結經常被七國集團邊緣化的地區。他指出，金磚國家的經濟產量出現已超過七國集團，後者在1980年代一度佔全球生產毛額的50%，但現在僅佔30%。

“BRICS in 2023 contributed something like 35%,” Koshkin said, highlighting a significant shift in global economic trends. “BRICS is already overtaking them,” he added, contrasting the declining influence of the G7 with the rise of the economic bloc.

科甚金表示：「到 2023 年，金磚國家的貢獻約為 35%。」這突顯了全球經濟趨勢的重大轉變。 「金磚國家已經超越了他們，」他補充道，並將七國集團影響力的下降與經濟集團的崛起進行了對比。

He concludes by stating that BRICS is a rapidly developing platform that unites the East and the global South, which the G7 tends to disregard.

他最後指出，金磚國家是一個快速發展的平台，將東方和全球南方團結起來，而七國集團往往忽略這一點。