美國7月CPI上漲0.2%，符合預期

報告發布後，比特幣繼續小幅上漲至 61,300 美元。

U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in July, largely in line with expectations, as the stage continues to be set for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates at its upcoming mid-September meeting.

美國 7 月通膨上升 0.2%，基本上符合預期，聯準會在即將舉行的 9 月中旬會議上開始降息的準備工作仍在繼續。

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in July, according to a U.S. government report Wednesday morning. That's up from a decline of 0.1% in June and against expectations for 0.2%. On a year-over-year basis, the CPI was higher by 2.9% versus 3% expected and 3% in June.

根據美國政府週三上午的報告，7 月消費者物價指數上漲 0.2%。這比 6 月下降 0.1% 有所上升，也高於預期的 0.2%。與去年同期相比，CPI 上漲 2.9%，而預期為 3%，6 月為 3%。

The core CPI – which strips out food and energy costs – was higher by 0.2% in July versus 0.2% expected and 0.1% in June. Year-over-year core CPI was 3.2% against forecasts for 3.2% and June's 3.3%.

7 月核心 CPI（扣除食品和能源成本）上漲 0.2%，預期為 0.2%，6 月為 0.1%。核心 CPI 年成長 3.2%，預期為 3.2%，6 月為 3.3%。

The price of bitcoin (BTC) continued modestly higher for the day at $61,200 following the mostly in line report.

在發布基本一致的報告後，比特幣 (BTC) 價格當天繼續小幅上漲至 61,200 美元。

Prior to this morning's data, the subject of whether the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark fed funds rate range at the bank's next meeting was closed: There was zero percent chance that the range will remain at its current 5.25%-5.50%, according to CME FedWatch, which figures odds based on positions taken in short-term interest rate markets. In fact, the gauge showed a 52.5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut versus 47.5% for a 25 basis point move.

在今天早上的數據公佈之前，關於美聯儲是否會在下次會議上下調基準聯邦基金利率區間的話題已經結束：根據數據，該區間維持在當前 5.25%-5.50% 的可能性為零。聯邦觀察（CME FedWatch）根據短期利率市場的部位計算賠率。事實上，該指標顯示降息 50 個基點的可能性為 52.5%，而降息 25 個基點的可能性為 47.5%。

The report seems unlikely to change those calculations in any major way. Next up in U.S. macro will be tomorrow's initial jobless claims and retail sales reports. Prior to August's end will also see the Fed's Jackson Hole gathering, and previous Fed chair's have on occasion have used the conference to announce or float important policy changes.

該報告似乎不太可能以任何重大方式改變這些計算。美國宏觀經濟的下一步將是明天的首次失業救濟申請和零售銷售報告。 8月底前還將舉行聯準會傑克遜霍爾會議，前聯準會主席有時會利用這次會議宣布或提出重要的政策變更。