美国7月CPI上涨0.2%，符合预期

报告发布后，比特币继续小幅上涨至 61,300 美元。

U.S. inflation rose 0.2% in July, largely in line with expectations, as the stage continues to be set for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates at its upcoming mid-September meeting.

美国 7 月份通胀上升 0.2%，基本符合预期，美联储在即将举行的 9 月中旬会议上开始降息的准备工作仍在继续。

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in July, according to a U.S. government report Wednesday morning. That's up from a decline of 0.1% in June and against expectations for 0.2%. On a year-over-year basis, the CPI was higher by 2.9% versus 3% expected and 3% in June.

根据美国政府周三上午的报告，7 月份消费者价格指数上涨 0.2%。这比 6 月份下降 0.1% 有所上升，也高于预期的 0.2%。与去年同期相比，CPI 上涨 2.9%，而预期为 3%，6 月份为 3%。

The core CPI – which strips out food and energy costs – was higher by 0.2% in July versus 0.2% expected and 0.1% in June. Year-over-year core CPI was 3.2% against forecasts for 3.2% and June's 3.3%.

7 月份核心 CPI（扣除食品和能源成本）上涨 0.2%，而预期为 0.2%，6 月份为 0.1%。核心 CPI 同比增长 3.2%，预期为 3.2%，6 月份为 3.3%。

The price of bitcoin (BTC) continued modestly higher for the day at $61,200 following the mostly in line report.

在发布基本一致的报告后，比特币 (BTC) 价格当天继续小幅上涨至 61,200 美元。

Prior to this morning's data, the subject of whether the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark fed funds rate range at the bank's next meeting was closed: There was zero percent chance that the range will remain at its current 5.25%-5.50%, according to CME FedWatch, which figures odds based on positions taken in short-term interest rate markets. In fact, the gauge showed a 52.5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut versus 47.5% for a 25 basis point move.

在今天上午的数据公布之前，关于美联储是否会在下次会议上下调基准联邦基金利率区间的话题已经结束：根据数据，该区间维持在当前 5.25%-5.50% 的可能性为零。芝加哥商品交易所联邦观察（CME FedWatch）根据短期利率市场的头寸计算赔率。事实上，该指标显示降息 50 个基点的可能性为 52.5%，而降息 25 个基点的可能性为 47.5%。

The report seems unlikely to change those calculations in any major way. Next up in U.S. macro will be tomorrow's initial jobless claims and retail sales reports. Prior to August's end will also see the Fed's Jackson Hole gathering, and previous Fed chair's have on occasion have used the conference to announce or float important policy changes.

该报告似乎不太可能以任何重大方式改变这些计算。美国宏观经济的下一步将是明天的首次失业救济申请和零售销售报告。 8月底之前还将举行美联储杰克逊霍尔会议，前任美联储主席有时会利用这次会议宣布或提出重要的政策变化。