在2025年之前獲得監管批准的機率增加到55％

根據最新的Polmoarket數據，Cardano交易所交易基金（ETF）在2025年之前獲得監管批准的機會已增加到55％。

In a surprising shift, the probability of Cardano’s exchange-traded fund (ETF) getting regulatory approval before 2025 has risen to 55%, according to the latest Polymarket data.

根據最新的PolyMarket數據，在一個令人驚訝的轉變中，Cardano交易所交易基金（ETF）獲得監管批准的可能性已上漲至55％。

This represents a 45% increase from the previous predictions and showcases a clear change in market sentiment towards the Cardano ETF filings.

這比以前的預測增長了45％，並向Cardano ETF申報表展示了市場情緒的明顯變化。

Known for its efficient consensus mechanism and academic approach, Cardano has usually trailed behind both Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETF talks. However, the latest changes in U.S. regulatory rules for crypto ETFs are leading many to believe that ADA-based investment products may soon become available to a broader audience.

Cardano以其有效的共識機制和學術方法而聞名，通常在ETF談話中落後於比特幣和以太坊。但是，美國加密ETF的美國監管規則的最新變化導致許多人認為，基於ADA的投資產品可能很快就會向更廣泛的受眾提供。

Over the past few months, predictions about whether a Cardano ETF will go ahead have gone up and down. Some people see a 30% chance, while others believe it will be closer to 60%.

在過去的幾個月中，關於Cardano ETF是否會繼續下降的預測。有些人看到30％的機會，而另一些人認為它將接近60％。

Recently, the numbers have not changed much, with forecasts remaining in the middle part of the spectrum. However, the latest jump from the previous 37% to 55% shows that both analysts and investors are feeling more positive about the market.

最近，數字並沒有太大變化，頻譜中間的預測還存在。但是，從前37％到55％的最新躍升表明，分析師和投資者對市場都感到更加積極。

On Polymarket, traders can bet on whether an ETF for the Cardano token will be approved by the end of 2025. Currently, “Yes” shares are available for $0.70.

在Polymarket上，交易者可以下注Cardano代幣的ETF是否將在2025年底之前批准。目前，“是”股票的價格為0.70美元。

This price increase indicates that a majority of traders are placing their bets on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving an ADA ETF. On the other hand, some investors are still holding onto their “No” shares, which they are selling for $0.58.

這種價格上漲表明，大多數貿易商都將其賭注放在美國證券交易委員會（SEC）批准ADA ETF上。另一方面，一些投資者仍在持有其“否”股票，他們以0.58美元的價格出售。

If the Cardano ETF is cleared by the end of next year, people with “Yes” shares would get $1.00, highlighting the importance of the market choice.

如果在明年年底之前清除了Cardano ETF，則具有“是”股票的人將獲得1.00美元，並強調市場選擇的重要性。

The pricing difference between “Yes” and “No” shares reflects divergent investor expectations but also underscores growing confidence in regulatory acceptance.

“是”和“否”股之間的定價差異反映了投資者的期望，但也強調了對監管接受的信心越來越大。

This concentration of activity seems to stem from increased interest by institutional investors. Several reports have mentioned that some large asset management firms are examining Cardano to determine its suitability for future ETFs.

這種活動集中似乎源於機構投資者的興趣增加。一些報告提到，一些大型資產管理公司正在研究Cardano，以確定其對未來ETF的適用性。

This occurs as cryptocurrency-based financial products gain more acceptance, largely due to the progress made with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in the U.S. Moreover, the SEC has adopted a more crypto-friendly approach after the exit of Gary Gensler and the advent of pro-crypto Paul Atkins as the new Chairman.

這是因為基於加密貨幣的金融產品獲得了更多的接受，這在很大程度上是由於在美國用比特幣和以太坊ETF取得的進展，SEC在Gary Gensler的退出以及Pro-Crypto Paul Paul Atkins的出現後採取了一種更加加密的方法。

Atkins has vowed to draft clearer regulations for the crypto industry and has put a hold on enforcement actions. Hence, netizens believe that altcoin ETFs, such as Solana, XRP, and Cardano ETFs, could be approved owing to the change in the SEC’s stance after U.S. President Donald Trump took over the White House.

阿特金斯（Atkins）誓言要草擬加密行業的更清晰法規，並暫停了執法行動。因此，網民認為，由於美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）接管白宮之後，由於美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的立場發生了變化，因此可以批准索爾幣ETF，例如Solana，XRP和Cardano ETF。