在2025年之前获得监管批准的几率增加到55％

根据最新的Polmoarket数据，Cardano交易所交易基金（ETF）在2025年之前获得监管批准的机会已增加到55％。

In a surprising shift, the probability of Cardano’s exchange-traded fund (ETF) getting regulatory approval before 2025 has risen to 55%, according to the latest Polymarket data.

根据最新的PolyMarket数据，在一个令人惊讶的转变中，Cardano交易所交易基金（ETF）获得监管批准的可能性已上涨至55％。

This represents a 45% increase from the previous predictions and showcases a clear change in market sentiment towards the Cardano ETF filings.

这比以前的预测增长了45％，并向Cardano ETF申报表展示了市场情绪的明显变化。

Known for its efficient consensus mechanism and academic approach, Cardano has usually trailed behind both Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETF talks. However, the latest changes in U.S. regulatory rules for crypto ETFs are leading many to believe that ADA-based investment products may soon become available to a broader audience.

Cardano以其有效的共识机制和学术方法而闻名，通常在ETF谈话中落后于比特币和以太坊。但是，美国加密ETF的美国监管规则的最新变化导致许多人认为，基于ADA的投资产品可能很快就会向更广泛的受众提供。

Over the past few months, predictions about whether a Cardano ETF will go ahead have gone up and down. Some people see a 30% chance, while others believe it will be closer to 60%.

在过去的几个月中，关于Cardano ETF是否会继续下降的预测。有些人看到30％的机会，而另一些人认为它将接近60％。

Recently, the numbers have not changed much, with forecasts remaining in the middle part of the spectrum. However, the latest jump from the previous 37% to 55% shows that both analysts and investors are feeling more positive about the market.

最近，数字并没有太大变化，频谱中间的预测还存在。但是，从前37％到55％的最新跃升表明，分析师和投资者对市场都感到更加积极。

On Polymarket, traders can bet on whether an ETF for the Cardano token will be approved by the end of 2025. Currently, “Yes” shares are available for $0.70.

在Polymarket上，交易者可以下注Cardano代币的ETF是否将在2025年底之前批准。目前，“是”股票的价格为0.70美元。

This price increase indicates that a majority of traders are placing their bets on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving an ADA ETF. On the other hand, some investors are still holding onto their “No” shares, which they are selling for $0.58.

这种价格上涨表明，大多数贸易商都将其赌注放在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准ADA ETF上。另一方面，一些投资者仍在持有其“否”股票，他们以0.58美元的价格出售。

If the Cardano ETF is cleared by the end of next year, people with “Yes” shares would get $1.00, highlighting the importance of the market choice.

如果在明年年底之前清除了Cardano ETF，则具有“是”股票的人将获得1.00美元，并强调市场选择的重要性。

The pricing difference between “Yes” and “No” shares reflects divergent investor expectations but also underscores growing confidence in regulatory acceptance.

“是”和“否”股之间的定价差异反映了投资者的期望，但也强调了对监管接受的信心越来越大。

This concentration of activity seems to stem from increased interest by institutional investors. Several reports have mentioned that some large asset management firms are examining Cardano to determine its suitability for future ETFs.

这种活动集中似乎源于机构投资者的兴趣增加。一些报告提到，一些大型资产管理公司正在研究Cardano，以确定其对未来ETF的适用性。

This occurs as cryptocurrency-based financial products gain more acceptance, largely due to the progress made with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in the U.S. Moreover, the SEC has adopted a more crypto-friendly approach after the exit of Gary Gensler and the advent of pro-crypto Paul Atkins as the new Chairman.

这是因为基于加密货币的金融产品获得了更多的接受，这在很大程度上是由于在美国用比特币和以太坊ETF取得的进展，SEC在Gary Gensler的退出以及Pro-Crypto Paul Paul Atkins的出现后采取了一种更加加密的方法。

Atkins has vowed to draft clearer regulations for the crypto industry and has put a hold on enforcement actions. Hence, netizens believe that altcoin ETFs, such as Solana, XRP, and Cardano ETFs, could be approved owing to the change in the SEC’s stance after U.S. President Donald Trump took over the White House.

阿特金斯（Atkins）誓言要草拟加密行业的更清晰法规，并暂停了执法行动。因此，网民认为，由于美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）接管白宫之后，由于美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的立场发生了变化，因此可以批准索尔币ETF，例如Solana，XRP和Cardano ETF。