根據美聯儲調整利率的決定，四個比特幣價格方案

2025年5月7日，聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）將結束其為期兩天的會議，做出一個關鍵決定，可能會對股票和加密貨幣市場產生影響。重點是杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）和聯邦貿易委員會（FOMC）是否選擇調整利率。

May 7, 2025, will see the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conclude its two-day meeting with a key decision that could influence both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. The focus will be on whether Jerome Powell and the FOMC will adjust interest rates.

2025年5月7日，聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）將結束其為期兩天的會議，並以一個可能影響股票和加密貨幣市場的關鍵決定。重點將放在杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）和聯邦俱樂部（FOMC）是否會調整利率。

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 97% chance that the FOMC will maintain the interest rates at 4.50%. This will mark the third consecutive meeting without any adjustments since the previous cut in December 2024 from 5.5%.

根據CME FedWatch工具的數據，FOMC的利率有97％的可能性為4.50％。這將標誌著自2024年12月上次削減的5.5％以來的第三次連續會議，而無需進行任何調整。

As the FOMC press conference draws near, Bitcoin has displayed strength, reaching a high of $97,600 before a slight pullback today.

隨著FOMC新聞發布會的臨近，比特幣表現出了強度，今天略有回調，達到了97,600美元。

Four Bitcoin Scenarios Based on Fed’s Decision

基於美聯儲的決定的四個比特幣方案

According to Santiment, there are four possible outcomes for Bitcoin’s price based on the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates:

根據santiment的說法，根據美聯儲的利率決定，比特幣的價格有四個可能的結果：

If the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates, it could have a positive impact on Bitcoin’s price. Lower rates tend to encourage people to invest in higher-risk assets like cryptocurrencies in search of better returns. This shift in investment preference could attract additional funds toward Bitcoin, ultimately driving up its price.

如果美聯儲降低了利率，它可能會對比特幣的價格產生積極影響。較低的利率傾向於鼓勵人們投資於更高風險的資產，例如尋求更好的回報。投資偏好的這種轉變可能會吸引對比特幣的額外資金，最終提高其價格。

If this scenario unfolds, we could witness a substantial surge in Bitcoin’s value. As of late, Bitcoin encountered resistance around the $97,600 mark, which could serve as an indicator for further price increases. If Bitcoin manages to close above the $98,000 level, it could quickly escalate toward $102,000 and potentially reach new all-time highs.

如果這種情況發生了，我們可以看到比特幣價值的大幅增長。截至最近，比特幣遇到了97,600美元的阻力，這可以作為進一步價格上漲的指標。如果比特幣設法超過98,000美元的水平，它可能會迅速升級至102,000美元，並有可能達到新的歷史新高。

If the Federal Reserve maintains the interest rates at their current level, it might not have a significant impact on Bitcoin’s price.

如果美聯儲將利率保持在目前的水平，則可能不會對比特幣的價格產生重大影響。

Moreover, with no substantial changes in macroeconomic conditions, the market could remain stable for a period of time, and Bitcoin’s price is likely to stay within its current range of $93,399 and $97,600.

此外，由於宏觀經濟狀況沒有實質性變化，市場可能會在一段時間內保持穩定，而且比特幣的價格可能會在目前的93,399美元和97,600美元的範圍內保持穩定。

If the Federal Reserve decides to raise interest rates, it could have a negative impact on Bitcoin’s price. Higher interest rates make traditional investments like savings accounts and bonds more appealing, leading to a shift in investment focus away from riskier assets like Bitcoin.

如果美聯儲決定提高利率，則可能會對比特幣的價格產生負面影響。較高的利率使傳統投資（如儲蓄帳戶和債券）更具吸引力，從而使投資重點轉移到比特幣等風險較高的資產上。

This shift in investment preference could result in a decrease in Bitcoin’s price. The first support level is located at around $93,800, while stronger support levels are at $92,000 and $88,000.

投資偏好的這種轉變可能導致比特幣價格下降。第一個支持水平的價格約為93,800美元，而強大的支持水平為92,000美元和88,000美元。

Even if the Fed cuts interest rates, the market might not react the way people anticipate. Sometimes, a rate cut can be a sign that the economy is not doing well, and people might start to worry about inflation, even if it’s not a big concern yet.

即使美聯儲降低了利率，市場也可能不會像人們預期的那樣做出反應。有時，降低稅率可能表明經濟狀況不佳，即使這不是一個大問題，人們也可能開始擔心通貨膨脹。

If this happens, Bitcoin might not go up like usual. Instead, it could have trouble making gains and might even go down a little in the short term.

如果發生這種情況，比特幣可能不會像往常一樣上升。取而代之的是，它可能難以獲得收益，甚至可能在短期內降低。