根据美联储调整利率的决定，四个比特币价格方案

2025年5月7日，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将结束其为期两天的会议，做出一个关键决定，可能会对股票和加密货币市场产生影响。重点是杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和联邦贸易委员会（FOMC）是否选择调整利率。

May 7, 2025, will see the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conclude its two-day meeting with a key decision that could influence both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. The focus will be on whether Jerome Powell and the FOMC will adjust interest rates.

2025年5月7日，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）将结束其为期两天的会议，并以一个可能影响股票和加密货币市场的关键决定。重点将放在杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和联邦俱乐部（FOMC）是否会调整利率。

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 97% chance that the FOMC will maintain the interest rates at 4.50%. This will mark the third consecutive meeting without any adjustments since the previous cut in December 2024 from 5.5%.

根据CME FedWatch工具的数据，FOMC的利率有97％的可能性为4.50％。这将标志着自2024年12月上次削减的5.5％以来的第三次连续会议，而无需进行任何调整。

As the FOMC press conference draws near, Bitcoin has displayed strength, reaching a high of $97,600 before a slight pullback today.

随着FOMC新闻发布会的临近，比特币表现出了强度，今天略有回调，达到了97,600美元。

Four Bitcoin Scenarios Based on Fed’s Decision

基于美联储的决定的四个比特币方案

According to Santiment, there are four possible outcomes for Bitcoin’s price based on the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates:

根据santiment的说法，根据美联储的利率决定，比特币的价格有四个可能的结果：

If the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates, it could have a positive impact on Bitcoin’s price. Lower rates tend to encourage people to invest in higher-risk assets like cryptocurrencies in search of better returns. This shift in investment preference could attract additional funds toward Bitcoin, ultimately driving up its price.

如果美联储降低了利率，它可能会对比特币的价格产生积极影响。较低的利率倾向于鼓励人们投资于更高风险的资产，例如寻求更好的回报。投资偏好的这种转变可能会吸引对比特币的额外资金，最终提高其价格。

If this scenario unfolds, we could witness a substantial surge in Bitcoin’s value. As of late, Bitcoin encountered resistance around the $97,600 mark, which could serve as an indicator for further price increases. If Bitcoin manages to close above the $98,000 level, it could quickly escalate toward $102,000 and potentially reach new all-time highs.

如果这种情况发生了，我们可以看到比特币价值的大幅增长。截至最近，比特币遇到了97,600美元的阻力，这可以作为进一步价格上涨的指标。如果比特币设法超过98,000美元的水平，它可能会迅速升级至102,000美元，并有可能达到新的历史新高。

If the Federal Reserve maintains the interest rates at their current level, it might not have a significant impact on Bitcoin’s price.

如果美联储将利率保持在目前的水平，则可能不会对比特币的价格产生重大影响。

Moreover, with no substantial changes in macroeconomic conditions, the market could remain stable for a period of time, and Bitcoin’s price is likely to stay within its current range of $93,399 and $97,600.

此外，由于宏观经济状况没有实质性变化，市场可能会在一段时间内保持稳定，而且比特币的价格可能会在目前的93,399美元和97,600美元的范围内保持稳定。

If the Federal Reserve decides to raise interest rates, it could have a negative impact on Bitcoin’s price. Higher interest rates make traditional investments like savings accounts and bonds more appealing, leading to a shift in investment focus away from riskier assets like Bitcoin.

如果美联储决定提高利率，则可能会对比特币的价格产生负面影响。较高的利率使传统投资（如储蓄帐户和债券）更具吸引力，从而使投资重点转移到比特币等风险较高的资产上。

This shift in investment preference could result in a decrease in Bitcoin’s price. The first support level is located at around $93,800, while stronger support levels are at $92,000 and $88,000.

投资偏好的这种转变可能导致比特币价格下降。第一个支持水平的价格约为93,800美元，而强大的支持水平为92,000美元和88,000美元。

Even if the Fed cuts interest rates, the market might not react the way people anticipate. Sometimes, a rate cut can be a sign that the economy is not doing well, and people might start to worry about inflation, even if it’s not a big concern yet.

即使美联储降低了利率，市场也可能不会像人们预期的那样做出反应。有时，降低税率可能表明经济状况不佳，即使这不是一个大问题，人们也可能开始担心通货膨胀。

If this happens, Bitcoin might not go up like usual. Instead, it could have trouble making gains and might even go down a little in the short term.

如果发生这种情况，比特币可能不会像往常一样上升。取而代之的是，它可能难以获得收益，甚至可能在短期内降低。