來自方舟投資的2030年比特幣價格預測

方舟投資已經對比特幣長期潛力的信念增加了一倍，這強調了不斷增長的機構採用以及數字資產的發展成主流金融工具。

ARK Invest, known for its bold outlooks on emerging technologies and financial trends, has revised its projections for Bitcoin (BTC) significantly upward. The asset manager now predicts that BTC could reach a potential high of $2.4 million by the end of 2030.

Ark Invest以其在新興技術和財務趨勢方面的大膽前景而聞名，已大大修改了對比特幣（BTC）的預測。資產經理現在預測，到2030年底，BTC可能會達到240萬美元的潛在高價。

This adjustment follows observations of growing institutional adoption and Bitcoin’s evolution into a mainstream financial instrument, further cementing its role as a digital store of value.

這種調整是在觀察到不斷增長的機構採用和比特幣發展為主流金融工具的觀察結果，進一步鞏固了其作為價值數字存儲的作用。

Earlier this year, ARK Invest unveiled its bear, base, and bull case price targets for Bitcoin at the beginning of 2025. At the time, the firm's estimates stood at $300,000, $700,000, and $1.5 million, respectively.

今年早些時候，ARK Invest在2025年初推出了比特幣的熊，基地和公牛案例價格目標。當時，該公司的估計分別為30萬美元，70萬美元和150萬美元。

However, in its latest "Big Ideas 2025" report, the asset manager has adjusted these targets to ~$500,000, ~$1.2 million, and ~$2.4 million. This marks a substantial upward revision.

但是，在其最新的“大創意2025”報告中，資產經理已將這些目標調整為約50萬美元，約120萬美元和約240萬美元。這標誌著大量的向上修訂。

According to David Puell, a research trading analyst at ARK, the forecast is contingent upon Bitcoin’s penetration of key total addressable markets (TAMs). These include institutional investments, nation-state reserves, and corporate treasury holdings.

根據ARK的研究交易分析師David Puell的說法，該預測取決於比特幣對主要可尋址市場（TAMS）的滲透。其中包括機構投資，民族國家儲備和公司財政部持有。

The updated model also considers Bitcoin’s predictable supply schedule, with capped issuance nearing 20.5 million coins by 2030.

更新的模型還考慮了比特幣的可預測供應計劃，到2030年，發布的發行量將接近2050萬個硬幣。

"If we fail to see that level of market adoption for Bitcoin in these three markets, then we may not reach these price levels," Puell stated.

普爾說：“如果我們看不到這三個市場中比特幣的市場採用水平，那麼我們可能不會達到這些價格水平。”

Despite this, ARK remains optimistic that Bitcoin is on track to become a dominant financial asset by the end of the decade, a vision that has been shared by other prominent figures in the cryptocurrency domain.

儘管如此，方舟仍然對比特幣在本世紀末成為主要金融資產的正軌仍然樂觀，這一願景已由加密貨幣領域的其他著名人物共享。