来自方舟投资的2030年比特币价格预测

方舟投资已经对比特币长期潜力的信念增加了一倍，这强调了不断增长的机构采用以及数字资产的发展成主流金融工具。

ARK Invest, known for its bold outlooks on emerging technologies and financial trends, has revised its projections for Bitcoin (BTC) significantly upward. The asset manager now predicts that BTC could reach a potential high of $2.4 million by the end of 2030.

Ark Invest以其在新兴技术和财务趋势方面的大胆前景而闻名，已大大修改了对比特币（BTC）的预测。资产经理现在预测，到2030年底，BTC可能会达到240万美元的潜在高价。

This adjustment follows observations of growing institutional adoption and Bitcoin’s evolution into a mainstream financial instrument, further cementing its role as a digital store of value.

这种调整是在观察到不断增长的机构采用和比特币发展为主流金融工具的观察结果，进一步巩固了其作为价值数字存储的作用。

Earlier this year, ARK Invest unveiled its bear, base, and bull case price targets for Bitcoin at the beginning of 2025. At the time, the firm's estimates stood at $300,000, $700,000, and $1.5 million, respectively.

今年早些时候，ARK Invest在2025年初推出了比特币的熊，基地和公牛案例价格目标。当时，该公司的估计分别为30万美元，70万美元和150万美元。

However, in its latest "Big Ideas 2025" report, the asset manager has adjusted these targets to ~$500,000, ~$1.2 million, and ~$2.4 million. This marks a substantial upward revision.

但是，在其最新的“大创意2025”报告中，资产经理已将这些目标调整为约50万美元，约120万美元和约240万美元。这标志着大量的向上修订。

According to David Puell, a research trading analyst at ARK, the forecast is contingent upon Bitcoin’s penetration of key total addressable markets (TAMs). These include institutional investments, nation-state reserves, and corporate treasury holdings.

根据ARK的研究交易分析师David Puell的说法，该预测取决于比特币对主要可寻址市场（TAMS）的渗透。其中包括机构投资，民族国家储备和公司财政部持有。

The updated model also considers Bitcoin’s predictable supply schedule, with capped issuance nearing 20.5 million coins by 2030.

更新的模型还考虑了比特币的可预测供应计划，到2030年，发布的发行量将接近2050万个硬币。

"If we fail to see that level of market adoption for Bitcoin in these three markets, then we may not reach these price levels," Puell stated.

普尔说：“如果我们看不到这三个市场中比特币的市场采用水平，那么我们可能不会达到这些价格水平。”

Despite this, ARK remains optimistic that Bitcoin is on track to become a dominant financial asset by the end of the decade, a vision that has been shared by other prominent figures in the cryptocurrency domain.

尽管如此，方舟仍然对比特币在本世纪末成为主要金融资产的正轨仍然乐观，这一愿景已由加密货币领域的其他著名人物共享。