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比特幣[BTC]在對瑞士的US-CHINA會談的最新消息進行了潛在的貿易協議之後,在周二短暫地重新測試了97,000美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly retested the $97K level on Tuesday following an update on planned U.S.-China talks in Switzerland for a potential trade deal.
在對瑞士的US-CHINA會談進行了更新後,比特幣(BTC)週二短暫地重新測試了9.7萬美元。
The meeting was confirmed via a statement from the U.S. Treasury Department, which stated,
會議是通過美國財政部的聲明確認的,該聲明說
“While in Switzerland, Secretary Bessent will also meet with the lead representative on economic matters from the People’s Republic of China (PRC).”
“在瑞士期間,貝斯特部長還將就中華人民共和國(PRC)的經濟事項的牽頭代表會面。”
The statement confirmed that the meeting would take place in early May in Switzerland.
聲明確認會議將於5月初在瑞士舉行。
The U.S. Treasury Secretary would meet with the lead representative from China on economic matters to discuss the potential trade deal.
美國財政部長將與來自中國的首席代表會面,討論潛在的貿易協議。
The meeting comes after President Donald Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports in April to 145%. In retaliation, China imposed 125% tariffs on U.S. imports.
會議是在唐納德·特朗普總統在4月對中國進口的關稅提高到145%之後舉行的。在報復中,中國對美國進口徵收了125%的關稅。
The ongoing uncertainty destabilized markets, including Bitcoin and crypto. In fact, BTC slipped 15% from $88K to $74.5K.
持續的不確定性不穩定市場,包括比特幣和加密貨幣。實際上,BTC從$ 88K跌至74.5K $ 15%。
However, the asset stabilized in late April after Trump showed that a potential tariff deal with China was possible.
但是,在特朗普表明與中國達成潛在的關稅協議之後,該資產在4月下旬穩定。
The May meeting would mark the first attempt at resolving the tariff stalemate, a key macro overhang that has capped BTC’s extended recovery.
五月會議將標誌著第一次嘗試解決關稅僵局,這是一種關鍵的宏觀懸垂,已限制了BTC的擴展恢復。
Notably, the Chinese embassy in the U.S. confirmed the meeting and announced,
值得注意的是,中國大使館在美國證實了會議,並宣布
“As China’s lead on China-U.S. economic and trade affairs, Vice Premier He Lifeng will hold talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during his visit to Switzerland from May 9 to 12.”
“隨著中國在中國 - 美國經濟和貿易事務的領導,他的弗萊恩(Lifeng)將於5月9日至12日訪問瑞士時與美國財政部長斯科特·貝森(Scott Bessent)舉行會談。”
Image: Capriole Investment
圖像:capriole投資
The slight macro relief from late April has already pushed BTC from $74K to $96K, reiterated by the positive expansion on the Bitcoin Macro Index.
從4月下旬開始的輕微宏觀緩解已經使BTC從$ 74K提高到$ 96K,這是由於比特幣宏指數的積極擴張重申。
Any further positive macro updates would push BTC higher.
任何進一步的積極宏更新都將使BTC更高。
However, prediction site Polymarket bettors were not overly optimistic about the outcome of the scheduled talks this month.
但是,預測站點多頭市場對本月預定會談的結果並不過分樂觀。
According to the site, there was less than a 30% chance of a U.S.-China trade deal before June.
根據該網站,在6月之前,美國 - 中國貿易協議的機會不到30%。
Source: Polymarket
資料來源:Polymarket
On the Options market, traders were heavily buying calls (bullish bets) as the 25-Delta Risk Reversal (25RR) was positive for end-May and June expiries.
在期權市場上,交易者大量購買了電話(看漲賭注),因為25-DELTA風險逆轉(25RR)對五月和6月到期的呈陽性。
On Deribit, traders priced in a 16% chance of BTC rallying to $110K in May, while the odds for hitting that target increased to 28% in June.
在deribit上,交易者的價格為BTC在5月的16%的可能性達到11萬美元,而擊中目標的機率在6月增加到28%。
Source: Deribit
來源:deribit
However, any negative updates from the U.S.-China trade talks would impact BTC and are worth tracking.
但是,美國 - 中國貿易談判的任何負面更新都會影響BTC,值得跟踪。
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