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加密货币新闻

比特币[BTC]短暂重新测试了$ 97K

2025/05/08 12:00

比特币[BTC]在对瑞士的US-CHINA会谈的最新消息进行了潜在的贸易协议之后,在周二短暂地重新测试了97,000美元。

比特币[BTC]短暂重新测试了$ 97K

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly retested the $97K level on Tuesday following an update on planned U.S.-China talks in Switzerland for a potential trade deal.

在对瑞士的US-CHINA会谈进行了更新后,比特币(BTC)周二短暂地重新测试了9.7万美元。

The meeting was confirmed via a statement from the U.S. Treasury Department, which stated,

会议是通过美国财政部的声明确认的,该声明说

“While in Switzerland, Secretary Bessent will also meet with the lead representative on economic matters from the People’s Republic of China (PRC).”

“在瑞士期间,贝斯特部长还将就中华人民共和国(PRC)的经济事项的牵头代表会面。”

The statement confirmed that the meeting would take place in early May in Switzerland.

声明确认会议将于5月初在瑞士举行。

The U.S. Treasury Secretary would meet with the lead representative from China on economic matters to discuss the potential trade deal.

美国财政部长将与来自中国的首席代表会面,讨论潜在的贸易协议。

The meeting comes after President Donald Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports in April to 145%. In retaliation, China imposed 125% tariffs on U.S. imports.

会议是在唐纳德·特朗普总统在4月对中国进口的关税提高到145%之后举行的。在报复中,中国对美国进口征收了125%的关税。

The ongoing uncertainty destabilized markets, including Bitcoin and crypto. In fact, BTC slipped 15% from $88K to $74.5K.

持续的不确定性不稳定市场,包括比特币和加密货币。实际上,BTC从$ 88K跌至74.5K $ 15%。

However, the asset stabilized in late April after Trump showed that a potential tariff deal with China was possible.

但是,在特朗普表明与中国达成潜在的关税协议之后,该资产在4月下旬稳定。

The May meeting would mark the first attempt at resolving the tariff stalemate, a key macro overhang that has capped BTC’s extended recovery.

五月会议将标志着第一次尝试解决关税僵局,这是一种关键的宏观悬垂,已限制了BTC的扩展恢复。

Notably, the Chinese embassy in the U.S. confirmed the meeting and announced,

值得注意的是,中国大使馆在美国证实了会议,并宣布

“As China’s lead on China-U.S. economic and trade affairs, Vice Premier He Lifeng will hold talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during his visit to Switzerland from May 9 to 12.”

“随着中国在中国 - 美国经济和贸易事务的领导,他的弗莱恩(Lifeng)将于5月9日至12日访问瑞士时与美国财政部长斯科特·贝森(Scott Bessent)举行会谈。”

Image: Capriole Investment

图像:capriole投资

The slight macro relief from late April has already pushed BTC from $74K to $96K, reiterated by the positive expansion on the Bitcoin Macro Index.

从4月下旬开始的轻微宏观缓解已经使BTC从$ 74K提高到$ 96K,这是由于比特币宏指数的积极扩张重申。

Any further positive macro updates would push BTC higher.

任何进一步的积极宏更新都将使BTC更高。

However, prediction site Polymarket bettors were not overly optimistic about the outcome of the scheduled talks this month.

但是,预测站点多头市场对本月预定会谈的结果并不过分乐观。

According to the site, there was less than a 30% chance of a U.S.-China trade deal before June.

根据该网站,在6月之前,美国 - 中国贸易协议的机会不到30%。

Source: Polymarket

资料来源:Polymarket

On the Options market, traders were heavily buying calls (bullish bets) as the 25-Delta Risk Reversal (25RR) was positive for end-May and June expiries.

在期权市场上,交易者大量购买了电话(看涨赌注),因为25-DELTA风险逆转(25RR)对五月和6月到期的呈阳性。

On Deribit, traders priced in a 16% chance of BTC rallying to $110K in May, while the odds for hitting that target increased to 28% in June.

在deribit上,交易者的价格为BTC在5月的16%的可能性达到11万美元,而击中目标的几率在6月增加到28%。

Source: Deribit

来源:deribit

However, any negative updates from the U.S.-China trade talks would impact BTC and are worth tracking.

但是,美国 - 中国贸易谈判的任何负面更新都会影响BTC,值得跟踪。

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