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比特币公牛试图从不到97,000美元的价格上涨,试图确认其在多天整合范围之上的最新突破。在一周多的时间内停滞了近95,000美元后,比特币爆发至97,000美元,然后倒转并形成公允价值差距。
Bitcoin bulls are trying to push higher from just under $97,000, attempting to confirm its latest breakout above a multi-day consolidation range.
比特币公牛试图从不到97,000美元的价格上涨,试图确认其在多天整合范围之上的最新突破。
After stalling near $95,000 for over a week, Bitcoin broke out to $97,000 before reversing and forming a fair value gap (FVG). This has led to a surge in activity on the Bitcoin blockchain, and the next outlook is whether the current structure holds for a continuation to $100,000 or if this momentum could falter at a zone of resistance.
在一周多的时间里停滞了近95,000美元之后,比特币爆发至97,000美元,然后倒转并形成公允价值差距(FVG)。这导致比特币区块链活动的活动激增,下一个前景是当前的结构是否可以延续至100,000美元,或者这种势头是否可以在阻力区域中摇摆。
Bitcoin Reaches 6-Month Peak In Network Activity
比特币在网络活动中达到6个月的高峰
One of the most notable shifts in market dynamics came from the on-chain side. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin just recorded its highest number of active addresses in the past six months.
市场动态中最引人注目的转变之一来自链侧。根据加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)的说法,比特币在过去六个月中刚刚记录了其主动地址数量最高。
As shared in a post on social media platform X, Martinez noted that 925,914 BTC addresses were active within a single day, which is an unusually high level of engagement on the Bitcoin blockchain. The accompanying Glassnode chart reveals how steep this surge has been, building on a gradual climb that started in the last week of April. Interestingly, the spike in Bitcoin activity coincides with its recent reclaim of the $95,000 price range.
正如在社交媒体平台X上的一篇文章中分享的那样,马丁内斯指出,925,914个BTC地址在一天之内就活跃了,这是比特币区块链上异常高的参与度。随附的玻璃节图表揭示了这一激增的陡峭,这是在4月最后一周开始的逐渐攀登的基础上。有趣的是,比特币活动的飙升与最近的95,000美元价格范围的回收相吻合。
Image From X: @ali_charts
x的图像:@ali_charts
Adding to the bullish case, crypto analyst TehThomas shared a compelling technical analysis that pointed to a breakout continuation toward $100,000. Interpretation of the BTCUSDT 4-hour timeframe shows an almost identical structure to the one seen in mid-April.
加密分析师Tehthomas除Bullish案外,还分享了一项令人信服的技术分析,该分析表明,突破延续了100,000美元。 BTCUSDT 4小时的时间框架的解释显示出与4月中旬看到的结构几乎相同的结构。
Back then, Bitcoin consolidated near $86,000, broke out, left behind a fair value gap (FVG), retested the gap, and rallied nearly $10,000. A mirror image of this pattern is currently unfolding. The Bitcoin price compressed below $95,000, broke through resistance, and created a fresh FVG between $94,200 and $95,000.
当时,比特币合并了约86,000美元,爆发了,留下了公允价值差距(FVG),重新测试了差距,并集结了近10,000美元。目前正在展开此模式的镜像。比特币价格压缩到95,000美元以下,打破了电阻,并创造了94,200美元至95,000美元的新鲜FVG。
TehThomas noted that the key is not to chase the breakout but to wait for a clean retest of the new FVG. If buyers defend that area as they did earlier this month, the road to $100,000 is structurally intact. However, even though the structure currently favors the bulls, the situation could turn bearish if Bitcoin drops back into the old range below $94,000.
Tehthomas指出,钥匙不是要追逐突破,而是要等待新的FVG的清洁重新测试。如果买家像本月早些时候为该地区辩护,那么达到100,000美元的道路在结构上是完整的。但是,即使目前的结构有利于公牛,如果比特币降至94,000美元以下的旧产品范围,情况可能会变成看跌。
Bearish Golden Pocket Setup Highlights Risk Ahead
看跌金袋设置突出了未来的风险
Not all analysts are convinced that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 again without a shakeout first. A counterview on the TradingView platform highlights a possible short-term bearish setup based on the BTCUSDT 15-minute chart.
并非所有分析师都坚信比特币将在没有摇晃的情况下再次达到100,000美元。 TradingView平台上的反查看图强调了基于BTCUSDT 15分钟图表的可能短期看跌设置。
According to the analyst, the current upward retracement appears corrective rather than impulsive, forming a classic short setup within a strong fair value gap resistance zone. Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin has retraced into a region that aligns with a bearish fair value gap and the golden pocket zone defined by the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci levels.
根据分析师的说法,当前的向上回试似乎是纠正的,而不是冲动,在强大的公允价值间隙阻力区域内形成了经典的简短设置。技术分析表明,比特币已回落到与看跌公允价值差距和由0.618至0.65斐波那契水平定义的金色袖珍区域相一致的区域。
As it stands, the fair value gap is sitting between $97,000 and $97,450. Should price fail to break through this supply region, it could reverse and catch bulls off guard.
就目前而言,公允价值差距在97,000美元至97,450美元之间。如果价格未能突破这个供应区,它可能会扭转并措手不及。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $96,040.
在写作时,比特币的交易价格为96,040美元。
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