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比特幣(BTC)有一個“體面的機會”在2025年觸及25萬美元或更多的情況下,因為註意力轉向金模仿者動作。
Key points:
要點:
New Bitcoin price targets leverage interplay with gold to deliver $200,000 and higher this year.
新的比特幣價格目標利用與黃金的相互作用,今年可提供20萬美元及以上。
Bitcoin price cycles remain in focus as part of the BTC price “power curve” model.
作為BTC價格“功率曲線”模型的一部分,比特幣價格週期仍然處於關注點。
Eating gold’s market cap could propel BTC/USD to nearly $1 million by the decade's end.
在十年末,進食黃金的市值可能會使BTC/USD近100萬美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) has a “decent chance” of hitting $250,000 or more in 2025 as attention turns to gold copycat moves.
比特幣(BTC)有一個“體面的機會”在2025年觸及25萬美元或更多的情況下,因為註意力轉向金模仿者動作。
In his latest analysis, popular X analytics account Apsk32 argued that the four-year BTC price cycle should provide giant new highs this year.
在他的最新分析中,流行的X Analytics帳戶APSK32認為,四年制BTC價格週期應為今年提供巨型新高。
Bitcoin ‘power curve’ delivers $200,000+ target
比特幣'Power Crve'提供$ 200,000+目標
Bitcoin following gold to new all-time highs is a popular theory among bulls. Historically, BTC/USD follows XAU/USD higher with a delay of several months.
在新的歷史最高高點之後,比特幣是公牛的流行理論。從歷史上看,BTC/USD遵循XAU/USD,延遲了幾個月。
For Apsk32, the implications are considerable this time around — with gold hitting a record $3,500 per ounce, the future for BTC price action is bright.
對於APSK32而言,這次的含義是相當大的 - 金牌達到創紀錄的每盎司3,500美元,BTC價格行動的未來是光明的。
“Bitcoin's position relative to gold has improved considerably since April,” he told X followers alongside his dedicated “power curve” tool.
他告訴X追隨者,他的專用“ Power Curve”工具說:“比特幣相對於黃金的地位已大大提高。”
The power curve concept involves measuring Bitcoin price in gold ounces to avoid the inflationary nature of the U.S. dollar.
功率曲線概念涉及測量黃金盎司的比特幣價格,以避免美元的通貨膨脹性質。
“Here, I’m measuring the value of the Bitcoin network (market cap) in gold ounces and fitting that value to a power curve,” Apsk32 explained in a dedicated X post in March.
APSK32在3月的專用X帖子中解釋說:“在這裡,我正在以黃金盎司的數量來衡量比特幣網絡(市值)的價值,並將該值擬合到功率曲線。”
Among the results is a potential bull market top target that contextualized the old 2017 top of $20,000.
結果之一是潛在的牛市最重要的目標,將2017年舊的20,000美元頂級構成背景。
“If Bitcoin's network value measured in gold continues to follow a power curve, and gold holds its current value, and Bitcoin's price returns to 'five years ahead of support,' we could hit Josh's $444K this year,” it added.
它補充說:“如果黃金中的比特幣的網絡價值繼續遵循一個功率曲線,並且黃金具有其當前價值,並且比特幣的價格回報率提前五年,那麼我們可能會達到喬什(Josh)今年的$ 4444K。”
This week, meanwhile, Apsk32 suggested that a more “reasonable” target for 2025 would be up to $220,000.
同時,本週APSK32建議2025年更“合理”的目標將高達220,000美元。
“If we start getting above $250k, that's what I would consider ‘higher than expected,’” he responded when asked about the outlook.
當被問及前景時,他回答:“如果我們開始獲得超過25萬美元的價格,那就是我認為'高於預期的'。”
Half gold’s future market cap means $1 million BTCCalling for a return to the U.S. dollar, Apsk32 said that he saw no signs of Bitcoin breaking down from a technical perspective.
APSK32表示,Half Gold的未來市值意味著100萬美元的BTCCALL返回美元,他沒有看到比特幣從技術角度崩潰的跡象。
“I think it's still in a decent place to continue making highs this year,” he added.
他補充說:“我認為這仍然是一個不錯的地方,可以在今年繼續保持最高水平。”
Continuing the gold theme, Bitcoin analyst Sam Callahan considered data showing how high BTC/USD could go if it were to capture varying portions of gold’s market cap.
比特幣分析師山姆·卡拉漢(Sam Callahan)繼續使用黃金主題,考慮了數據,顯示了BTC/USD的高度,如果捕獲黃金市值的不同部分。
Related: Bitcoin to $1M by 2028 as Hayes tells Europe to ‘get your money out’
相關:到2028年到2028年的比特幣,正如海耶斯告訴歐洲“賺錢”的那樣
This could come about thanks to a shift toward “digital gold” — something widely anticipated to gain momentum in the coming years.
由於向“數字黃金”的轉變,這可能會發生這種情況,這是在未來幾年中廣泛預期會獲得動力。
“If gold hits $5,000/oz by 2030 and Bitcoin captures 50% of its market cap, that puts BTC at $924K,” Callahan noted alongside the data from the latest report by In Gold We Trust released this week.
卡拉漢(Callahan)指出:“如果到2030年黃金到2030年達到5,000美元/盎司,並且比特幣將捕獲50%的市值,這將使BTC $ 924K。”
The report stated that the data “does not represent a price prediction per se, but rather a scenario based framework – rooted in our established gold model – that offers a clearer sense of what relative revaluations of non-sovereign hard assets might look like by decade’s end.”
該報告指出,數據“本身並不代表價格預測,而是基於場景的框架(植根於我們已建立的黃金模型),該框架對非主管硬資產的相對重新估計的相對重新估計更加清晰,到了十年末。”
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