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加密货币新闻

新的比特币(BTC)价格目标利用黄金的相互作用,今年可提供20万美元及以上。

2025/05/16 15:58

比特币(BTC)有一个“体面的机会”在2025年触及25万美元或更多的情况下,因为注意力转向金模仿者动作。

Key points:

要点:

New Bitcoin price targets leverage interplay with gold to deliver $200,000 and higher this year.

新的比特币价格目标利用与黄金的相互作用,今年可提供20万美元及以上。

Bitcoin price cycles remain in focus as part of the BTC price “power curve” model.

作为BTC价格“功率曲线”模型的一部分,比特币价格周期仍然处于关注点。

Eating gold’s market cap could propel BTC/USD to nearly $1 million by the decade's end.

在十年末,进食黄金的市值可能会使BTC/USD近100万美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) has a “decent chance” of hitting $250,000 or more in 2025 as attention turns to gold copycat moves.

比特币(BTC)有一个“体面的机会”在2025年触及25万美元或更多的情况下,因为注意力转向金模仿者动作。

In his latest analysis, popular X analytics account Apsk32 argued that the four-year BTC price cycle should provide giant new highs this year.

在他的最新分析中,流行的X Analytics帐户APSK32认为,四年制BTC价格周期应为今年提供巨型新高。

Bitcoin ‘power curve’ delivers $200,000+ target

比特币'Power Crve'提供$ 200,000+目标

Bitcoin following gold to new all-time highs is a popular theory among bulls. Historically, BTC/USD follows XAU/USD higher with a delay of several months.

在新的历史最高高点之后,比特币是公牛的流行理论。从历史上看,BTC/USD遵循XAU/USD,延迟了几个月。

For Apsk32, the implications are considerable this time around — with gold hitting a record $3,500 per ounce, the future for BTC price action is bright.

对于APSK32而言,这次的含义是相当大的 - 金牌达到创纪录的每盎司3,500美元,BTC价格行动的未来是光明的。

“Bitcoin's position relative to gold has improved considerably since April,” he told X followers alongside his dedicated “power curve” tool.

他告诉X追随者,他的专用“ Power Curve”工具说:“比特币相对于黄金的地位已大大提高。”

The power curve concept involves measuring Bitcoin price in gold ounces to avoid the inflationary nature of the U.S. dollar.

功率曲线概念涉及测量黄金盎司的比特币价格,以避免美元的通货膨胀性质。

“Here, I’m measuring the value of the Bitcoin network (market cap) in gold ounces and fitting that value to a power curve,” Apsk32 explained in a dedicated X post in March.

APSK32在3月的专用X帖子中解释说:“在这里,我正在以黄金盎司的数量来衡量比特币网络(市值)的价值,并将该值拟合到功率曲线。”

Among the results is a potential bull market top target that contextualized the old 2017 top of $20,000.

结果之一是潜在的牛市最重要的目标,将2017年旧的20,000美元顶级构成背景。

“If Bitcoin's network value measured in gold continues to follow a power curve, and gold holds its current value, and Bitcoin's price returns to 'five years ahead of support,' we could hit Josh's $444K this year,” it added.

它补充说:“如果黄金中的比特币的网络价值继续遵循一个功率曲线,并且黄金具有其当前价值,并且比特币的价格回报率提前五年,那么我们可能会达到乔什(Josh)今年的$ 4444K。”

This week, meanwhile, Apsk32 suggested that a more “reasonable” target for 2025 would be up to $220,000.

同时,本周APSK32建议2025年更“合理”的目标将高达220,000美元。

“If we start getting above $250k, that's what I would consider ‘higher than expected,’” he responded when asked about the outlook.

当被问及前景时,他回答:“如果我们开始获得超过25万美元的价格,那就是我认为'高于预期的'。”

Half gold’s future market cap means $1 million BTCCalling for a return to the U.S. dollar, Apsk32 said that he saw no signs of Bitcoin breaking down from a technical perspective.

APSK32表示,Half Gold的未来市值意味着100万美元的BTCCALL返回美元,他没有看到比特币从技术角度崩溃的迹象。

“I think it's still in a decent place to continue making highs this year,” he added.

他补充说:“我认为这仍然是一个不错的地方,可以在今年继续保持最高水平。”

Continuing the gold theme, Bitcoin analyst Sam Callahan considered data showing how high BTC/USD could go if it were to capture varying portions of gold’s market cap.

比特币分析师山姆·卡拉汉(Sam Callahan)继续使用黄金主题,考虑了数据,显示了BTC/USD的高度,如果捕获黄金市值的不同部分。

Related: Bitcoin to $1M by 2028 as Hayes tells Europe to ‘get your money out’

相关:到2028年到2028年的比特币,正如海耶斯告诉欧洲“赚钱”的那样

This could come about thanks to a shift toward “digital gold” — something widely anticipated to gain momentum in the coming years.

由于向“数字黄金”的转变,这可能会发生这种情况,这是在未来几年中广泛预期会获得动力。

“If gold hits $5,000/oz by 2030 and Bitcoin captures 50% of its market cap, that puts BTC at $924K,” Callahan noted alongside the data from the latest report by In Gold We Trust released this week.

卡拉汉(Callahan)指出:“如果到2030年黄金到2030年达到5,000美元/盎司,并且比特币将捕获50%的市值,这将使BTC $ 924K。”

The report stated that the data “does not represent a price prediction per se, but rather a scenario based framework – rooted in our established gold model – that offers a clearer sense of what relative revaluations of non-sovereign hard assets might look like by decade’s end.”

该报告指出,数据“本身并不代表价格预测,而是基于场景的框架(植根于我们已建立的黄金模型),该框架对非主管硬资产的相对重新估计的相对重新估计更加清晰,到了十年末。”

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